Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
96.4%
|
1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.79 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.24 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
12.00 |
Motor Lublin
Legia Warszawa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Motor Lublin
12 matches
Legia Warszawa
19 matches
| Motor Lublin | Statistic | Legia Warszawa |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 11 |
| 2 | Draws | 7 |
| 3 | Losses | 1 |
| 27 | Goals For | 36 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 2.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.89 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 5.17 |
| 14.83 | Total Shots | 17.17 |
| 4.17 | Corners | 5.17 |
| 45.5% | Ball Possession | 52% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Legia Warszawa's more proactive style and Motor Lublin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Legia Warszawa. Legia Warszawa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 12 points while Motor Lublin sit 13 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Motor Lublin expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Legia Warszawa in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Legia Warszawa having the stronger overall control.
Motor Lublin sit 13 with 5 points after 5 league matches. The record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 6:8 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Karol Czubak (3 goals), with creative support from Mbaye Ndiaye (2 assists), Ivo Rodrigues (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Legia Warszawa come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 12 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, while the 12:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Łukasz Zjawiński (3 goals), Bartosz Kapustka (2 goals), Rafał Adamski (2 goals), with creative support from Paweł Wszołek (4 assists), Rafał Augustyniak (1 assists), Rúben Vinagre (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Motor Lublin won 1 times, Legia Warszawa won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:21 from Motor Lublin's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.43 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 22 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Legia Warszawa
Away
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 11 | 19 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 12 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | -13 | 8 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 6 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 |
Motor Lublin
Home
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 6 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12:21 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|