POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
31.07.2026 18:30
Motor Lublin Arena
Referee: Tomasz Kwiatkowski, Poland
Motor Lublin
Match Timeline
Jagiellonia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
33'
N. Prelec
Jagiellonia
🟨
40'
Guilherme Montóia
Jagiellonia
🔄
62'
R. Conceicao ↔ J. Agbonifo
Jagiellonia
🔄
68'
J. Imaz ↔ A. Klynge
Jagiellonia
🔄
68'
N. Prelec ↔ D. Rallis
Jagiellonia
🔄
79'
T. Santos ↔ M. Aiko
Motor Lublin
🔄
79'
M. Legowski ↔ P. Meyer
Motor Lublin
🟨
82'
Bernardo Vital
Jagiellonia
82'
K. Czubak · Assist: M. Ndiaye
Motor Lublin
85'
S. Lozano · Assist: K. Szmyt
Jagiellonia
🔄
86'
Y. Bourhane ↔ T. Plavotic
Motor Lublin
🔄
87'
Kikis ↔ F. Haxha
Motor Lublin
🔄
87'
S. Lozano ↔ A. Konstantopoulos
Jagiellonia
🔄
87'
K. Szmyt ↔ K. Jozwiak
Jagiellonia
🟨
90+2'
Kamil Jóźwiak
Jagiellonia

Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.4%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Motor Lublin Win 46.7%
Draw 10.7%
Jagiellonia Win 42.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motor Lublin2.25
Jagiellonia1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
WWDLW
23 GF / 7 GA
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
WLDWL
15 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
3.29
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
6
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
4
5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 7 matches
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 10 matches
Motor Lublin Statistic Jagiellonia
6 Wins 7
1 Draws 2
0 Losses 1
23 Goals For 15
7 Goals Against 7
3.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
6 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 6
0 Failed To Score 1
5 Shots On Goal 4
11 Total Shots 11
5 Corners 3
47% Ball Possession 62%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Motor Lublin won 0 times, Jagiellonia won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:14 from Motor Lublin's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)
Predicted formations: Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1 / Jagiellonia 4-4-2
H2H summary: Motor Lublin wins 0, draws 4, Jagiellonia wins 4

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 16:8 8 22
D W W W W
2 9 5 2 2 17:12 5 17
W W D W D
3 8 4 4 0 16:7 9 16
D W D D W
4 7 5 1 1 12:6 6 16
L W W W W
5 8 4 3 1 12:6 6 15
W W D D D
6 8 4 3 1 11:8 3 15
W W D D D
7 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
W L W D W
8 9 4 1 4 16:15 1 13
L W W W D
9 8 4 0 4 16:13 3 12
W L L W W
10 7 4 0 3 11:10 1 12
L W L W L
11 9 1 6 2 13:13 0 9
D D D L D
12 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L L L L W
13 7 2 2 3 7:12 -5 8
W D L L L
14 8 2 2 4 6:15 -9 8
L D W D L
15 9 1 3 5 11:15 -4 6
L L L D D
16 9 1 3 5 9:15 -6 6
D L L L D
17 8 1 2 5 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
18 9 1 0 8 12:21 -9 3
L L W L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation