ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
20.09.2026 14:00
Narva Kalev-Fama staadion
Referee: K. Tohver

Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.1%
Odds 1.21
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.46
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.1%
1.21
BTTS No
50.8%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.46
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
4.19
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.00
Correct Score 0-3
-
7.50
Probability Distribution
Trans Narva Win 20.3%
Draw 3.6%
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 76.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Trans Narva0.91
FC Levadia Tallinn2.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Trans Narva Trans Narva
WWDLW
33 GF / 78 GA
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WLDWL
102 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
2.76
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
18
BTTS Yes
22
24
Over 2.5
28
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trans Narva Trans Narva 36 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 37 matches
Trans Narva Statistic FC Levadia Tallinn
6 Wins 27
7 Draws 6
23 Losses 4
33 Goals For 102
78 Goals Against 33
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 2.76
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
18 BTTS Yes 22
31 Over 1.5 34
24 Over 2.5 28
12 Over 3.5 20
5 Clean Sheets 14
15 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Trans Narva's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. FC Levadia Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 68 points while Trans Narva sit 10 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Levadia Tallinn having the stronger overall control. FC Levadia Tallinn look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Levadia Tallinn. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Trans Narva Analysis

With 18 points from 28 games and a place of 10, Trans Narva still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 20 defeats with a 21:64 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 68 points after 27 matches. They have recorded 21 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, with a 74:20 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 12 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Trans Narva won 1 times, FC Levadia Tallinn won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:38 from Trans Narva's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
H2H summary: Trans Narva wins 1, draws 2, FC Levadia Tallinn wins 12

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 22 5 1 80:20 60 71
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 29 15 6 8 48:36 12 51
W W L W L
4 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
5 28 14 2 12 36:44 -8 44
L W L W L
6 29 11 2 16 40:47 -7 35
D W L L W
7 28 10 4 14 37:54 -17 34
L L W W D
8 29 8 5 16 31:49 -18 29
D L L W D
9 29 9 1 19 47:68 -21 28
L L W L L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga