BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Moto Club
Match Timeline
Maracanã
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
Vinicius Caninde
Maracanã
52'
Alison
Maracanã
90'
Valderrama
Moto Club

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Moto Club Win 64.2%
Draw 13.3%
Maracanã Win 22.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moto Club0.78
Maracanã1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moto Club Moto Club
WWDLW
7 GF / 12 GA
Maracanã Maracanã
WLDWL
8 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moto Club Moto Club 8 matches
Maracanã Maracanã 8 matches
Moto Club Statistic Maracanã
2 Wins 3
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 1
7 Goals For 8
12 Goals Against 5
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
3 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 1
3 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Maracanã's more proactive style and Moto Club's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Maracanã. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maracanã having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Moto Club Analysis

Moto Club come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 9 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Jojo (3 goals), Bacurau (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Maracanã Analysis

Placed 2 with 10 points from 7 outings, Maracanã continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 7:5 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through Vinicius Caninde (2 goals), Alison (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Moto Club won 0 times, Maracanã won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Moto Club's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
H2H summary: Moto Club wins 0, draws 0, Maracanã wins 2
Last matches: Moto Club
07.06.26
Ser
Moto Club
Parnahyba
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
0
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
IAPE
2
2
D
10.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Iguatu
1
3
L
06.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Iguatu
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
IAPE
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
Maracanã
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
Parnahyba
1
1
D
Last matches: Maracanã
27.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
IAPE
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Moto Club
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
IAPE
2
2
D
26.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Maranhão
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Altos
1
3
L
29.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
2
1
W
14.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
08.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
2
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
0
0
D
25.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
H2H: Moto Club vs Maracanã
30.05.26
H2H
Moto Club
Maracanã
1
2
L
11.04.26
H2H
Maracanã
Moto Club
2
0
L
Last matches: Moto Club
16.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
IAPE
2
2
D
06.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Iguatu
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
Parnahyba
1
1
D
H2H at home: Moto Club
30.05.26
H2H
Moto Club
Maracanã
1
2
L
Last matches: Maracanã
20.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
IAPE
2
2
D
19.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Maranhão
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
31.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
0
0
D
18.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
2
3
L
10.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Altos
0
1
L
19.04.25
Ser
Maracanã
Tocantinópolis
2
2
D
H2H away: Maracanã
30.05.26
H2H
Moto Club
Maracanã
1
2
W