Login Register
NORWAY › 1. DIVISION
26.07.2026 15:00
Referee: H. Pedersen
Moss
Match Timeline
Raufoss
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
R. Zekhnini · Assist: E. Sildnes
Raufoss
🟨
26'
J. Musbaudeen
Moss
⚽
31'
J. Laegreid
Moss
🔄
46'
P. Andersen ↔ L. Overgaard
Moss
🔄
46'
E. Sildnes ↔ M. Aanesland
Raufoss
⚽
53'
R. Zekhnini
Raufoss
🟨
59'
R. Zekhnini
Raufoss
🔄
62'
R. Zekhnini ↔ Y. Agyeman
Raufoss
🟨
77'
H. Holter
Raufoss
🔄
79'
S. Gronli ↔ H. Vold Krohg
Moss
🔄
79'
T. Engebakken ↔ A. Rogulj
Raufoss
🔄
88'
H. Holter ↔ E. Gjerde
Raufoss
🔄
90+4'
J. Musbaudeen ↔ K. Harrison
Moss
🔄
90+4'
R. Hermanstad ↔ E. Chidi
Moss

Moss vs Raufoss Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Moss Win 55.8%
Draw 26.5%
Raufoss Win 17.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moss1.75
Raufoss1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moss Moss
WWDLW
44 GF / 56 GA
Raufoss Raufoss
WLDWL
36 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.57
2.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
18
BTTS Yes
13
20
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moss Moss 26 matches
Raufoss Raufoss 23 matches
Moss Statistic Raufoss
8 Wins 9
4 Draws 4
14 Losses 10
44 Goals For 36
56 Goals Against 42
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
2.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
18 BTTS Yes 13
25 Over 1.5 19
20 Over 2.5 16
15 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Raufoss. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Moss expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Raufoss in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Raufoss having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Moss Analysis

Moss approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 17 points from 14 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 23:32, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Raufoss Analysis

Raufoss approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 13 points from 14 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 17:31, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Moss won 3 times, Raufoss won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Moss's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (82.2%)
Predicted formations: Moss 4-3-3 / Raufoss 3-4-3
H2H summary: Moss wins 3, draws 3, Raufoss wins 3

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 2 5 78:40 38 59
W D W W W
2 26 17 6 3 71:33 38 57
W W W W W
3 26 17 5 4 77:42 35 56
L W W W D
4 26 15 4 7 63:34 29 49
W D L W L
5 26 13 6 7 53:39 14 45
W W W W L
6 26 12 3 11 35:34 1 39
D L W W W
7 26 10 5 11 42:52 -10 35
D L L L L
8 26 9 6 11 39:50 -11 33
D W L L D
9 26 9 5 12 64:65 -1 32
D L W W D
10 26 8 6 12 46:58 -12 30
W D D L D
11
Moss Home
26 8 5 13 40:55 -15 29
D W L W L
12 26 8 4 14 40:57 -17 28
L L L L W
13 26 7 5 14 37:50 -13 26
L D D L L
14 25 6 5 14 39:56 -17 23
L L L D L
15 26 6 5 15 37:60 -23 23
L W L L D
16 25 6 2 17 28:64 -36 20
D L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation