NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: H. Pedersen
Moss
Match Timeline
Raufoss
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
R. Zekhnini · Assist: E. Sildnes
Raufoss
🟨
26'
J. Musbaudeen
Moss
31'
J. Laegreid
Moss
🔄
46'
P. Andersen ↔ L. Overgaard
Moss
🔄
46'
E. Sildnes ↔ M. Aanesland
Raufoss
53'
R. Zekhnini
Raufoss
🟨
59'
R. Zekhnini
Raufoss
🔄
62'
R. Zekhnini ↔ Y. Agyeman
Raufoss
🟨
77'
H. Holter
Raufoss
🔄
79'
S. Gronli ↔ H. Vold Krohg
Moss
🔄
79'
T. Engebakken ↔ A. Rogulj
Raufoss
🔄
88'
H. Holter ↔ E. Gjerde
Raufoss
🔄
90+4'
J. Musbaudeen ↔ K. Harrison
Moss
🔄
90+4'
R. Hermanstad ↔ E. Chidi
Moss

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.8%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Moss Win 55.8%
Draw 26.5%
Raufoss Win 17.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moss1.75
Raufoss1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moss Moss
WWDLW
44 GF / 56 GA
Raufoss Raufoss
WLDWL
36 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.57
2.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
18
BTTS Yes
13
20
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moss Moss 26 matches
Raufoss Raufoss 23 matches
Moss Statistic Raufoss
8 Wins 9
4 Draws 4
14 Losses 10
44 Goals For 36
56 Goals Against 42
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
2.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
18 BTTS Yes 13
25 Over 1.5 19
20 Over 2.5 16
15 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Raufoss. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Moss expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Raufoss in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Raufoss having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Moss Analysis

Moss approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 17 points from 14 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 23:32, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Raufoss Analysis

Raufoss approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 13 points from 14 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 17:31, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Moss won 3 times, Raufoss won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Moss's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (82.2%)
Predicted formations: Moss 4-3-3 / Raufoss 3-4-3
H2H summary: Moss wins 3, draws 3, Raufoss wins 3

Lineups

Moss
Formation
Raufoss
M. Eriksen
M. Eriksen
M. Cassidy
M. Cassidy
K. Strande
K. Strande
O. Jebali
O. Jebali
W. Kvale
W. Kvale
P. Andersen
P. Andersen
J. Musbaudeen
J. Musbaudeen
R. Hermanstad
R. Hermanstad
J. Laegreid
J. Laegreid
S. Gronli
S. Gronli
N. Semmen
N. Semmen
A. Klemensson
A. Klemensson
E. Froysa
E. Froysa
A. Achinioti-Jonsson
A. Achinioti-Jonsson
S. Gjelsvik
S. Gjelsvik
J. Sjol
J. Sjol
T. Engebakken
T. Engebakken
N. Fremstad
N. Fremstad
E. Asvestad
E. Asvestad
E. Sildnes
🎯
E. Sildnes
R. Zekhnini
⚽ 2
R. Zekhnini
H. Holter
H. Holter
Moss 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
M. Eriksen
2
M. Cassidy
3
K. Strande
5
O. Jebali
D
16
W. Kvale
D
17
P. Andersen
↓ 46'
14
J. Musbaudeen
↓ 90+4' 🟨 26'
23
R. Hermanstad
↓ 90+4'
F
7
J. Laegreid
⚽ 31'
F
21
S. Gronli
↓ 79'
20
N. Semmen
Substitutes
12
M. Rylandsholm
4
K. Harrison
↑ 90+4'
D
8
H. Vold Krohg
↑ 79'
M
9
O. Aga
F
15
A. A. Engesvik
19
L. Overgaard
↑ 46'
M
26
E. Chidi
↑ 90+4'
D
31
J. Harveg
35
M. Christiansen
Raufoss 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
A. Klemensson
G
6
E. Froysa
D
13
A. Achinioti-Jonsson
D
4
S. Gjelsvik
D
2
J. Sjol
18
T. Engebakken
↓ 79'
11
N. Fremstad
M
3
E. Asvestad
M
7
E. Sildnes
🎯 9' ↓ 46'
F
27
R. Zekhnini
⚽ 9' ⚽ 53' ↓ 62' 🟨 59'
F
8
H. Holter
↓ 88' 🟨 77'
Substitutes
12
M. G. Synstelien D.
5
E. Gjerde
↑ 88'
9
A. Rogulj
↑ 79'
F
10
M. Aanesland
↑ 46'
F
14
Y. Agyeman
↑ 62'
D
15
D. de Ornelas de Conno
16
M. Larsen
25
T. E. Engebakken
32
E. Martinsen
Last matches: Moss
02.08.26
1.
Moss
hodd
1
2
L
04.07.26
1.
Moss
Egersund
0
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Moss
Strommen
2
3
L
21.06.26
1.
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
4
L
14.06.26
1.
Moss
Sogndal
4
2
W
30.05.26
1.
Moss
Stabaek
2
2
D
25.05.26
1.
Moss
Haugesund
1
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Moss
Stromsgodset
1
1
D
16.05.26
1.
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
3
2
W
10.05.26
1.
Moss
Bryne
2
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Moss
Ranheim
0
4
L
26.04.26
1.
Moss
Lyn
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Moss
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
12.04.26
1.
Moss
hodd
1
0
W
06.04.26
1.
Moss
Asane
3
2
W
29.03.26
Fri
Moss
Stabaek
0
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Moss
Lyn
1
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Moss
FH hafnarfjordur
1
1
D
04.03.26
Fri
Moss
Thor Akureyri
2
3
L
Last matches: Raufoss
02.08.26
1.
Raufoss
Stabaek
0
2
L
03.07.26
1.
Raufoss
Strommen
1
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Raufoss
Sandnes ULF
0
3
L
21.06.26
1.
Raufoss
Sogndal
3
1
W
14.06.26
1.
Raufoss
Stromsgodset
1
6
L
31.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Haugesund
3
4
L
25.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Asane
0
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Bryne
3
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Stabaek
2
1
W
10.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Lyn
0
1
L
06.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Egersund
1
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Raufoss
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
26.04.26
1.
Raufoss
hodd
1
1
D
17.04.26
1.
Raufoss
Ranheim
1
5
L
13.04.26
1.
Raufoss
Kongsvinger
1
3
L
29.03.26
Fri
Raufoss
Mjondalen
3
2
W
21.03.26
Fri
Raufoss
Sogndal
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Raufoss
Kjelsås
1
4
L
07.03.26
Fri
Raufoss
Strommen
3
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Raufoss
Moss
3
3
D
H2H: Moss vs Raufoss
26.07.26
H2H
Moss
Raufoss
1
2
L
27.02.26
H2H
Raufoss
Moss
3
3
D
08.11.25
H2H
Moss
Raufoss
1
1
D
01.04.25
H2H
Raufoss
Moss
3
2
L
08.03.25
H2H
Raufoss
Moss
1
0
L
02.11.24
H2H
Moss
Raufoss
3
2
W
16.05.24
H2H
Raufoss
Moss
0
2
W
03.09.23
H2H
Raufoss
Moss
1
1
D
29.05.23
H2H
Moss
Raufoss
1
0
W
28.03.20
H2H
Raufoss
Moss
0
0
D
Last matches: Moss
21.06.26
1.
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
4
L
30.05.26
1.
Moss
Stabaek
2
2
D
20.05.26
1.
Moss
Stromsgodset
1
1
D
10.05.26
1.
Moss
Bryne
2
3
L
26.04.26
1.
Moss
Lyn
2
1
W
12.04.26
1.
Moss
hodd
1
0
W
17.02.26
Fri
Moss
Arendal
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Moss
Follo
6
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Moss
Strommen
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Moss
Kjelsås
0
3
L
H2H at home: Moss
26.07.26
H2H
Moss
Raufoss
1
2
L
08.11.25
H2H
Moss
Raufoss
1
1
D
02.11.24
H2H
Moss
Raufoss
3
2
W
29.05.23
H2H
Moss
Raufoss
1
0
W
Last matches: Raufoss
27.06.26
1.
Raufoss
Sandnes ULF
0
3
L
14.06.26
1.
Raufoss
Stromsgodset
1
6
L
25.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Asane
0
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Stabaek
2
1
W
06.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Egersund
1
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Raufoss
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
17.04.26
1.
Raufoss
Ranheim
1
5
L
21.03.26
Fri
Raufoss
Sogndal
1
1
D
H2H away: Raufoss
26.07.26
H2H
Moss
Raufoss
1
2
W
08.11.25
H2H
Moss
Raufoss
1
1
D
02.11.24
H2H
Moss
Raufoss
3
2
L
29.05.23
H2H
Moss
Raufoss
1
0
L