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Monza
NS
Padova

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.37
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 2.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.77
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.6%
1.37 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
2.02 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.77 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.2%
1.27 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.85 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Monza Win 64.6%
Draw 8.4%
Padova Win 27.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monza2.33
Padova1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monza Monza
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Padova Padova
WLDWL
4 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.33
2
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monza Monza 3 matches
Padova Padova 3 matches
Monza Statistic Padova
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
7 Goals For 4
6 Goals Against 7
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Monza won 1 times, Padova won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Monza's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Monza 3-4-2-1 / Padova 3-5-2
H2H summary: Monza wins 1, draws 0, Padova wins 2
Last matches: Monza
30.07.26
Fri
Monza
Aris Thessalonikis
1
3
L
24.07.26
Fri
Monza
Galatasaray
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Monza
PRO Vercelli
4
3
W
29.05.26
Ser
Monza
Catanzaro
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Monza
Catanzaro
2
0
W
19.05.26
Ser
Monza
Juve Stabia
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Monza
Juve Stabia
2
2
D
08.05.26
Ser
Monza
Empoli
2
2
D
01.05.26
Ser
Monza
Mantova
2
3
L
24.04.26
Ser
Monza
Modena
1
0
W
17.04.26
Ser
Monza
Sampdoria
3
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Monza
Bari
2
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Monza
Catanzaro
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Monza
Venezia
1
1
D
17.03.26
Ser
Monza
Reggiana
0
0
D
14.03.26
Ser
Monza
Palermo
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ser
Monza
Spezia
2
4
L
03.03.26
Ser
Monza
Cesena
3
1
W
27.02.26
Ser
Monza
Virtus Entella
2
0
W
21.02.26
Ser
Monza
Carrarese
1
0
W
Last matches: Padova
01.08.26
Fri
Padova
Cittadella
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Padova
Ospitaletto
1
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Padova
Sassuolo
1
4
L
08.05.26
Ser
Padova
Cesena
4
3
W
01.05.26
Ser
Padova
Pescara
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Padova
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Padova
Reggiana
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Padova
Empoli
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Padova
Frosinone
0
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Padova
Palermo
0
1
L
17.03.26
Ser
Padova
Venezia
1
3
L
14.03.26
Ser
Padova
Catanzaro
1
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Padova
Avellino
0
1
L
03.03.26
Ser
Padova
Spezia
2
2
D
28.02.26
Ser
Padova
Modena
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Padova
Bari
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ser
Padova
Sampdoria
0
1
L
10.02.26
Ser
Padova
Carrarese
1
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Padova
Juve Stabia
3
3
D
01.02.26
Ser
Padova
Monza
1
2
L
H2H: Monza vs Padova
01.02.26
H2H
Padova
Monza
1
2
W
27.09.25
H2H
Monza
Padova
0
1
L
05.08.18
H2H
Padova
Monza
1
0
L
Last matches: Monza
30.07.26
Fri
Monza
Aris Thessalonikis
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Monza
PRO Vercelli
4
3
W
29.05.26
Ser
Monza
Catanzaro
0
2
L
19.05.26
Ser
Monza
Juve Stabia
2
1
W
08.05.26
Ser
Monza
Empoli
2
2
D
24.04.26
Ser
Monza
Modena
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Monza
Bari
2
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Monza
Venezia
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Monza
Palermo
3
0
W
27.02.26
Ser
Monza
Virtus Entella
2
0
W
15.02.26
Ser
Monza
Juve Stabia
2
1
W
08.02.26
Ser
Monza
Avellino
2
1
W
24.01.26
Ser
Monza
Pescara
3
0
W
17.01.26
Ser
Monza
Frosinone
2
2
D
20.12.25
Ser
Monza
Carrarese
4
1
W
08.12.25
Ser
Monza
Sudtirol
1
1
D
23.11.25
Ser
Monza
Cesena
1
0
W
02.11.25
Ser
Monza
Spezia
1
0
W
25.10.25
Ser
Monza
Reggiana
3
1
W
04.10.25
Ser
Monza
Catanzaro
2
1
W
H2H at home: Monza
27.09.25
H2H
Monza
Padova
0
1
L
Last matches: Padova
01.08.26
Fri
Padova
Cittadella
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Padova
Sassuolo
1
4
L
08.05.26
Ser
Padova
Cesena
4
3
W
25.04.26
Ser
Padova
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Padova
Frosinone
0
2
L
17.03.26
Ser
Padova
Venezia
1
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Padova
Avellino
0
1
L
28.02.26
Ser
Padova
Modena
2
1
W
14.02.26
Ser
Padova
Sampdoria
0
1
L
07.02.26
Ser
Padova
Juve Stabia
3
3
D
25.01.26
Ser
Padova
Sudtirol
0
3
L
27.12.25
Ser
Padova
Palermo
0
1
L
13.12.25
Ser
Padova
Reggiana
2
1
W
29.11.25
Ser
Padova
Pescara
1
0
W
08.11.25
Ser
Padova
Mantova
0
1
L
29.10.25
Ser
Padova
Spezia
1
1
D
19.10.25
Ser
Padova
Catanzaro
1
0
W
04.10.25
Ser
Padova
Bari
1
2
L
27.09.25
Ser
Padova
Monza
1
0
W
31.08.25
Ser
Padova
Carrarese
0
0
D
H2H away: Padova
27.09.25
H2H
Monza
Padova
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.45
Draw 4.84
Home 1.37
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.95
Draw 2.88
Home 1.63
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.86
Away -0.75 2.59
Away -1 2.25
Away -1.25 1.86
Away -1.5 1.73
Away -1.75 1.56
Away -2 1.32
Away -2.25 1.26
Away -2.5 1.21
Away -2.75 1.12
Away -3 1.05
Away -3.25 1.04
Away -3.5 1.03
Away +0 6.25
Away +0.25 6.45
Home -0.25 1.18
Home -0.75 1.39
Home -1 1.53
Home -1.25 1.78
Home -1.5 2.11
Home -1.75 2.44
Home -2 2.93
Home -2.25 3.30
Home -2.5 3.58
Home -2.75 4.64
Home -3 6.65
Home -3.25 7.09
Home -3.5 7.50
Home +0 1.06
Home +0.25 1.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 1.75 1.26
Over 2.0 1.32
Over 2.25 1.58
Over 2.5 1.77
Over 2.75 1.99
Over 3.0 2.24
Over 3.25 2.53
Over 3.5 2.80
Over 3.75 3.42
Over 4.0 4.60
Over 4.25 4.95
Over 4.5 5.35
Over 4.75 7.55
Over 5.0 7.40
Over 5.5 9.20
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.0 7.50
Under 1.25 5.35
Under 1.5 3.80
Under 1.75 3.38
Under 2.0 3.00
Under 2.25 2.39
Under 2.5 2.05
Under 2.75 1.82
Under 3.0 1.55
Under 3.25 1.41
Under 3.5 1.34
Under 3.75 1.23
Under 4.0 1.13
Under 4.25 1.11
Under 4.5 1.09
Under 4.75 1.05
Under 5.0 1.05
Under 5.5 1.02
GOALS OVER/UNDER FIRST HALF
Over 0.5 1.32
Over 0.75 1.46
Over 1.0 1.71
Over 1.25 2.14
Over 1.5 2.59
Over 1.75 3.26
Over 2.0 5.15
Over 2.25 5.72
Over 2.5 6.35
Over 3.5 12.00
Over 4.5 50.00
Under 0.5 3.10
Under 0.75 2.61
Under 1.0 2.07
Under 1.25 1.63
Under 1.5 1.44
Under 1.75 1.27
Under 2.0 1.11
Under 2.25 1.08
Under 2.5 1.06
Under 3.5 1.02
HT/FT DOUBLE
Away/Away 15.00
Away/Draw 23.00
Away/Home 26.00
Draw/Away 17.50
Draw/Draw 6.85
Draw/Home 3.88
Home/Away 70.00
Home/Draw 21.00
Home/Home 1.85
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
No 1.71
Yes 2.02
EXACT SCORE
0:0 10.00
0:1 15.00
0:10 100.00
0:2 46.00
0:3 100.00
0:4 100.00
0:5 100.00
0:6 100.00
0:7 100.00
0:8 100.00
0:9 100.00
1:0 6.00
1:1 8.00
1:10 100.00
1:2 19.00
1:3 65.00
1:4 100.00
1:5 100.00
1:6 100.00
1:7 100.00
1:8 100.00
1:9 100.00
10:0 100.00
10:1 100.00
10:10 100.00
10:2 100.00
10:3 100.00
10:4 100.00
10:5 100.00
10:6 100.00
10:7 100.00
10:8 100.00
10:9 100.00
2:0 6.00
2:1 7.50
2:10 100.00
2:2 17.00
2:3 65.00
2:4 100.00
2:5 100.00
2:6 100.00
2:7 100.00
2:8 100.00
2:9 100.00
3:0 8.00
3:1 10.00
3:10 100.00
3:2 21.00
3:3 75.00
3:4 100.00
3:5 100.00
3:6 100.00
3:7 100.00
3:8 100.00
3:9 100.00
4:0 13.00
4:1 17.00
4:10 100.00
4:2 46.00
4:3 100.00
4:4 100.00
4:5 100.00
4:6 100.00
4:7 100.00
4:8 100.00
4:9 100.00
5:0 29.00
5:1 41.00
5:10 100.00
5:2 80.00
5:3 100.00
5:4 100.00
5:5 100.00
5:6 100.00
5:7 100.00
5:8 100.00
5:9 100.00
6:0 65.00
6:1 80.00
6:10 100.00
6:2 100.00
6:3 100.00
6:4 100.00
6:5 100.00
6:6 100.00
6:7 100.00
6:8 100.00
6:9 100.00
7:0 100.00
7:1 100.00
7:10 100.00
7:2 100.00
7:3 100.00
7:4 100.00
7:5 100.00
7:6 100.00
7:7 100.00
7:8 100.00
7:9 100.00
8:0 100.00
8:1 100.00
8:10 100.00
8:2 100.00
8:3 100.00
8:4 100.00
8:5 100.00
8:6 100.00
8:7 100.00
8:8 100.00
8:9 100.00
9:0 100.00
9:1 100.00
9:10 100.00
9:2 100.00
9:3 100.00
9:4 100.00
9:5 100.00
9:6 100.00
9:7 100.00
9:8 100.00
9:9 100.00
HIGHEST SCORING HALF
1st Half 3.04
2nd Half 2.01
Draw 3.64
DOUBLE CHANCE
Draw/Away 3.02
Home/Away 1.17
Home/Draw 1.06
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.40
Draw 2.38
Home 1.82
TOTAL - HOME
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1 1.11
Over 1.5 1.53
Over 2 1.93
Over 2.5 2.65
Over 3 4.40
Over 3.5 5.30
Under 0.5 6.40
Under 1 5.65
Under 1.5 2.33
Under 2 1.84
Under 2.5 1.42
Under 3 1.17
Under 3.5 1.11
TOTAL - AWAY
Over 0.5 1.67
Over 1 2.75
Over 1.5 4.10
Under 0.5 1.86
Under 1 1.39
Under 1.5 1.19
ASIAN HANDICAP FIRST HALF
Away -0.25 2.36
Away -0.75 1.57
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.20
Away -1.5 1.14
Away -1.75 1.06
Away -2 1.01
Away +0 4.55
Home -0.25 1.48
Home -0.75 2.22
Home -1 3.26
Home -1.25 3.98
Home -1.5 4.65
Home -1.75 6.49
Home -2 10.00
Home +0 1.14
DOUBLE CHANCE - FIRST HALF
Draw/Away 1.81
Home/Away 1.47
Home/Draw 1.03
ODD/EVEN
Even 1.84
Odd 1.84
ODD/EVEN - FIRST HALF
Even 1.71
Odd 1.99
HOME ODD/EVEN
Even 1.83
Odd 1.85
GOALS OVER/UNDER - SECOND HALF
Over 0.5 1.17
Over 0.75 1.25
Over 1.0 1.35
Over 1.25 1.67
Over 1.5 1.98
Over 1.75 2.34
Over 2.0 3.15
Over 2.25 3.54
Over 2.5 4.10
Under 0.5 4.25
Under 0.75 3.58
Under 1.0 2.94
Under 1.25 2.12
Under 1.5 1.77
Under 1.75 1.53
Under 2.0 1.31
Under 2.25 1.23
Under 2.5 1.18
CORRECT SCORE - FIRST HALF
0:0 3.10
0:1 9.00
0:2 41.00
0:3 100.00
0:4 100.00
0:5 100.00
1:0 3.25
1:1 10.00
1:2 41.00
1:3 100.00
1:4 100.00
1:5 100.00
2:0 6.50
2:1 19.00
2:2 65.00
2:3 100.00
2:4 100.00
2:5 100.00
3:0 17.00
3:1 41.00
3:2 100.00
3:3 100.00
3:4 100.00
3:5 100.00
4:0 41.00
4:1 100.00
4:2 100.00
4:3 100.00
4:4 100.00
4:5 100.00
5:0 100.00
5:1 100.00
5:2 100.00
5:3 100.00
5:4 100.00
5:5 100.00
DOUBLE CHANCE - SECOND HALF
Draw/Away 2.04
Home/Away 1.33
Home/Draw 1.04
BOTH TEAMS SCORE - FIRST HALF
No 1.13
Yes 5.20
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE - SECOND HALF
No 1.22
Yes 3.84
CORNERS OVER UNDER
Over 10 2.10
Over 10.5 2.35
Over 11 2.85
Over 11.5 3.16
Over 12 4.17
Over 12.5 4.54
Over 13 6.54
Over 13.5 6.97
Over 6.5 1.08
Over 7 1.10
Over 7.5 1.24
Over 8 1.31
Over 8.5 1.50
Over 9 1.64
Over 9.5 1.85
Under 10 1.65
Under 10.5 1.51
Under 11 1.34
Under 11.5 1.27
Under 12 1.14
Under 12.5 1.12
Under 13 1.03
Under 13.5 1.02
Under 6.5 5.25
Under 7 4.76
Under 7.5 3.32
Under 8 2.97
Under 8.5 2.37
Under 9 2.12
Under 9.5 1.85
AWAY ODD/EVEN
Even 1.50
Odd 2.38
CORRECT SCORE - SECOND HALF
0:0 4.25
0:1 10.20
0:2 46.00
0:3 100.00
0:4 100.00
0:5 100.00
1:0 3.44
1:1 8.50
1:2 41.00
1:3 100.00
1:4 100.00
1:5 100.00
2:0 5.85
2:1 14.20
2:2 60.00
2:3 100.00
2:4 100.00
2:5 100.00
3:0 14.20
3:1 34.00
3:2 100.00
3:3 100.00
3:4 100.00
3:5 100.00
4:0 43.00
4:1 85.00
4:2 100.00
4:3 100.00
4:4 100.00
4:5 100.00
5:0 100.00
5:1 100.00
5:2 100.00
5:3 100.00
5:4 100.00
5:5 100.00
ODD/EVEN - SECOND HALF
Even 1.77
Odd 1.92
ASIAN HANDICAP (2ND HALF)
Away -0.25 2.66
Away -0.75 1.79
Away -1 1.47
Away -1.25 1.33
Away -1.5 1.25
Away -1.75 1.14
Away -2 1.03
Away -2.5 1.01
Away +0 4.80
Home -0.25 1.38
Home -0.75 1.89
Home -1 2.46
Home -1.25 2.98
Home -1.5 3.42
Home -1.75 4.58
Home -2 7.50
Home -2.5 8.70
Home +0 1.12
HOME TEAM TOTAL GOALS(1ST HALF)
Over 0.5 1.55
Over 1 2.40
Over 1.5 3.60
Over 2 8.70
Under 0.5 2.30
Under 1 1.51
Under 1.5 1.23
Under 2 1.02
AWAY TEAM TOTAL GOALS(1ST HALF)
Over 0.5 2.85
Over 1 8.90
Under 0.5 1.37
Under 1 1.02
HOME TEAM TOTAL GOALS(2ND HALF)
Over 0.5 1.38
Over 1 1.83
Over 1.5 2.75
Over 2 5.50
Over 2.5 6.90
Under 0.5 2.80
Under 1 1.87
Under 1.5 1.38
Under 2 1.10
Under 2.5 1.06
AWAY TEAM TOTAL GOALS(2ND HALF)
Over 0.5 2.40
Over 1 6.40
Over 1.5 8.80
Under 0.5 1.51
Under 1 1.07
Under 1.5 1.02
CORNERS. ODD/EVEN
Even 1.80
Odd 1.80
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.45
Draw 4.84
Home 1.37
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.40
Draw 2.38
Home 1.82
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.95
Draw 2.88
Home 1.63
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 1.75 1.26
Over 2.0 1.32
Over 2.25 1.58
Over 2.5 1.77
Over 2.75 1.99
Over 3.0 2.24
Over 3.25 2.53
Over 3.5 2.80
Over 3.75 3.42
Over 4.0 4.60
Over 4.25 4.95
Over 4.5 5.35
Over 4.75 7.55
Over 5.0 7.40
Over 5.5 9.20
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.0 7.50
Under 1.25 5.35
Under 1.5 3.80
Under 1.75 3.38
Under 2.0 3.00
Under 2.25 2.39
Under 2.5 2.05
Under 2.75 1.82
Under 3.0 1.55
Under 3.25 1.41
Under 3.5 1.34
Under 3.75 1.23
Under 4.0 1.13
Under 4.25 1.11
Under 4.5 1.09
Under 4.75 1.05
Under 5.0 1.05
Under 5.5 1.02