Monza
Match Timeline
Padova
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
74.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Monza Win 64.6%
Draw 8.4%
Padova Win 27.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monza2.33
Padova1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monza
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Padova
WLDWL
4 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.33
2
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Monza
3 matches
Padova
3 matches
| Monza | Statistic | Padova |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 7 | Goals For | 4 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.33 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Monza won 1 times, Padova won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Monza's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Monza 3-4-3 / Padova 3-5-2
H2H summary: Monza wins 1, draws 1, Padova wins 2
Lineups
Monza
Formation
Padova
S. Pizzignacco
F. Delli Carri
E. Akinsanmiro
S. Birindelli
N. Galazzi
A. Colpani
M. Pessina
A. Petagna
A. Carboni
D. Mota
E. Kouadio
A. Sorrentino
L. Carissoni
M. Lovato
P. Fusi
E. Zuelli
M. Bortolussi
G. Caprari
A. Dellavalle
C. Pastina
G. Giunti
L. Zanimacchia
Monza
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
S. Pizzignacco
15
F. Delli Carri
14
E. Akinsanmiro
19
S. Birindelli
23
N. Galazzi
28
A. Colpani
32
M. Pessina
⚽ 47'
37
A. Petagna
44
A. Carboni
47
D. Mota
⚽ 60'
60
E. Kouadio
Substitutes
20
D. Thiam
43
A. Strajnar
7
R. Mangas
9
G. Varela
10
P. Cutrone
⚽ 67'
11
O. Forson
22
S. Loubao
24
A. Bakoune
29
F. Ondoa
51
L. Colonnese
52
M. Mout
53
N. Ballabio
62
M. Villa
Padova
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
22
A. Sorrentino
2
L. Carissoni
↓ 72'
5
M. Lovato
↓ 72'
8
P. Fusi
9
E. Zuelli
↓ 77'
20
M. Bortolussi
↓ 72'
24
G. Caprari
⚽ 50'
↓ 59'
27
A. Dellavalle
↓ 77'
58
C. Pastina
↓ 77'
86
G. Giunti
↓ 72'
98
L. Zanimacchia
↓ 59'
Substitutes
1
L. Mouquet
12
S. Pettenello
4
E. Silletti
↑ 77'
7
K. Varas
↑ 72'
13
T. Bordoni
15
K. Lasagna
⚽ 65'
⚽ 88'
↑ 59'
17
A. Capelli
↑ 72'
21
J. Bacci
↑ 77'
32
F. Sgarbi
↑ 72'
34
M. Cocchi
↑ 59'
72
C. Faedo
↑ 77'
77
F. Di Mariano
↑ 72'
Last matches: Monza
22.08.26
Ser
Monza
Inter
1
4
L
14.08.26
Cop
Monza
Avellino
3
0
W
30.07.26
Fri
Monza
Aris Thessalonikis
1
3
L
24.07.26
Fri
Monza
Galatasaray
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Monza
PRO Vercelli
4
3
W
29.05.26
Ser
Monza
Catanzaro
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Monza
Catanzaro
2
0
W
19.05.26
Ser
Monza
Juve Stabia
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Monza
Juve Stabia
2
2
D
08.05.26
Ser
Monza
Empoli
2
2
D
01.05.26
Ser
Monza
Mantova
2
3
L
24.04.26
Ser
Monza
Modena
1
0
W
17.04.26
Ser
Monza
Sampdoria
3
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Monza
Bari
2
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Monza
Catanzaro
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Monza
Venezia
1
1
D
17.03.26
Ser
Monza
Reggiana
0
0
D
14.03.26
Ser
Monza
Palermo
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ser
Monza
Spezia
2
4
L
03.03.26
Ser
Monza
Cesena
3
1
W
Last matches: Padova
23.08.26
Ser
Padova
Pisa
1
0
W
15.08.26
Cop
Padova
Udinese
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Padova
Cittadella
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Padova
Ospitaletto
1
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Padova
Sassuolo
1
4
L
08.05.26
Ser
Padova
Cesena
4
3
W
01.05.26
Ser
Padova
Pescara
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Padova
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Padova
Reggiana
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Padova
Empoli
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Padova
Frosinone
0
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Padova
Palermo
0
1
L
17.03.26
Ser
Padova
Venezia
1
3
L
14.03.26
Ser
Padova
Catanzaro
1
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Padova
Avellino
0
1
L
03.03.26
Ser
Padova
Spezia
2
2
D
28.02.26
Ser
Padova
Modena
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Padova
Bari
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ser
Padova
Sampdoria
0
1
L
10.02.26
Ser
Padova
Carrarese
1
0
W
H2H: Monza vs Padova
07.08.26
H2H
Monza
Padova
3
3
D
01.02.26
H2H
Padova
Monza
1
2
W
27.09.25
H2H
Monza
Padova
0
1
L
05.08.18
H2H
Padova
Monza
1
0
L
Last matches: Monza
14.08.26
Cop
Monza
Avellino
3
0
W
30.07.26
Fri
Monza
Aris Thessalonikis
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Monza
PRO Vercelli
4
3
W
29.05.26
Ser
Monza
Catanzaro
0
2
L
19.05.26
Ser
Monza
Juve Stabia
2
1
W
08.05.26
Ser
Monza
Empoli
2
2
D
24.04.26
Ser
Monza
Modena
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Monza
Bari
2
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Monza
Venezia
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Monza
Palermo
3
0
W
27.02.26
Ser
Monza
Virtus Entella
2
0
W
15.02.26
Ser
Monza
Juve Stabia
2
1
W
08.02.26
Ser
Monza
Avellino
2
1
W
24.01.26
Ser
Monza
Pescara
3
0
W
17.01.26
Ser
Monza
Frosinone
2
2
D
20.12.25
Ser
Monza
Carrarese
4
1
W
08.12.25
Ser
Monza
Sudtirol
1
1
D
23.11.25
Ser
Monza
Cesena
1
0
W
02.11.25
Ser
Monza
Spezia
1
0
W
25.10.25
Ser
Monza
Reggiana
3
1
W
H2H at home: Monza
07.08.26
H2H
Monza
Padova
3
3
D
27.09.25
H2H
Monza
Padova
0
1
L
Last matches: Padova
23.08.26
Ser
Padova
Pisa
1
0
W
15.08.26
Cop
Padova
Udinese
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Padova
Cittadella
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Padova
Sassuolo
1
4
L
08.05.26
Ser
Padova
Cesena
4
3
W
25.04.26
Ser
Padova
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Padova
Frosinone
0
2
L
17.03.26
Ser
Padova
Venezia
1
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Padova
Avellino
0
1
L
28.02.26
Ser
Padova
Modena
2
1
W
14.02.26
Ser
Padova
Sampdoria
0
1
L
07.02.26
Ser
Padova
Juve Stabia
3
3
D
25.01.26
Ser
Padova
Sudtirol
0
3
L
27.12.25
Ser
Padova
Palermo
0
1
L
13.12.25
Ser
Padova
Reggiana
2
1
W
29.11.25
Ser
Padova
Pescara
1
0
W
08.11.25
Ser
Padova
Mantova
0
1
L
29.10.25
Ser
Padova
Spezia
1
1
D
19.10.25
Ser
Padova
Catanzaro
1
0
W
04.10.25
Ser
Padova
Bari
1
2
L
H2H away: Padova
07.08.26
H2H
Monza
Padova
3
3
D
27.09.25
H2H
Monza
Padova
0
1
W