AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL
29.08.2026 05:00
Avenger park
Avondale
Match Timeline
Hume City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
44'
A. Zimarino
Avondale
84'
B. Carpenter
Avondale

Avondale vs Hume City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.39
0 agree / 1 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.9%
1.17
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.39
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.15
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Avondale Win 49%
Draw 11.1%
Hume City Win 39.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avondale2.06
Hume City1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avondale Avondale
WWDLW
63 GF / 34 GA
Hume City Hume City
WLDWL
51 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
2.52
Average Goals Scored
2.04
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
14
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avondale Avondale 25 matches
Hume City Hume City 25 matches
Avondale Statistic Hume City
14 Wins 15
2 Draws 4
9 Losses 6
63 Goals For 51
34 Goals Against 34
2.52 Avg Goals Scored 2.04
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
14 BTTS Yes 18
24 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 16
13 Over 3.5 12
7 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hume City having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Hume City. Hume City arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Avondale Analysis

Avondale arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 41 points after 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, while the 61:34 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Hume City Analysis

With 46 points from 24 games and a place of 3, Hume City still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 48:32, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Avondale won 10 times, Hume City won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:14 from Avondale's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.46 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
H2H summary: Avondale wins 10, draws 2, Hume City wins 1

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 6 4 56:24 32 54
W L W W D
2 26 15 6 5 41:19 22 51
L D D W W
3 26 15 4 7 51:36 15 49
L L W W W
4 26 15 2 9 65:34 31 47
W W W W L
5 26 13 2 11 39:36 3 41
L W L L W
6 26 11 7 8 42:34 8 40
L W W L L
7 26 9 11 6 35:34 1 38
W L W D D
8 26 10 7 9 35:31 4 37
W D W W D
9 26 9 7 10 36:43 -7 34
W W D L W
10 26 8 6 12 42:42 0 30
L L L L L
11 26 7 7 12 28:42 -14 28
D L L D W
12 26 6 6 14 27:51 -24 24
L W D D L
13 26 4 6 16 23:52 -29 18
W L L D D
14 26 4 3 19 23:65 -42 15
L L L L L