MEXICO LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio BBVA
Referee: D. Quintero
Monterrey
Match Timeline
CF Pachuca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
L. Ocampos
Monterrey
🟨
26'
S. Medina
Monterrey
🟨
26'
S. Rondon
Pachuca
🟨
28'
Eduardo Bauermann
Pachuca
🔄
46'
E. Montiel ↔ A. Bautista
CF Pachuca
54'
Kenedy
CF Pachuca
🔄
64'
J. Corona ↔ S. Canales
Monterrey
🔄
64'
O. Idrissi ↔ A. Dominguez
CF Pachuca
🟨
70'
C. Rivera
Pachuca
72'
A. Bautista · Assist: A. Dominguez
CF Pachuca
🟨
76'
L. Ocampos
Monterrey
🔄
76'
S. Rondon ↔ E. Valencia
CF Pachuca
🔄
78'
L. Reyes ↔ G. Arteaga
Monterrey
🔄
78'
L. Orellano ↔ S. Rodriguez
Monterrey
🔄
79'
L. Ocampos ↔ U. Djurdjevic
Monterrey
🟨
80'
V. Guzman
Pachuca
83'
E. Valencia · Assist: C. Rivera
CF Pachuca
🔄
87'
Kenedy ↔ S. Rodriguez
CF Pachuca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 81.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 91%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
81.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
91%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Monterrey Win 18.5%
Draw 0%
CF Pachuca Win 81.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monterrey1.44
CF Pachuca1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monterrey Monterrey
WWDLW
58 GF / 51 GA
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WLDWL
46 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.66
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
18
BTTS Yes
18
19
Over 2.5
17
5.31
Shots on Goal
4.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monterrey Monterrey 35 matches
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 33 matches
Monterrey Statistic CF Pachuca
15 Wins 15
7 Draws 8
13 Losses 10
58 Goals For 46
51 Goals Against 37
1.66 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
18 BTTS Yes 18
26 Over 1.5 25
19 Over 2.5 17
15 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 10
5.31 Shots On Goal 4.55
13.94 Total Shots 14.27
4.37 Corners 4.64
56.2% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Pachuca. Pachuca carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 28 points while Monterrey sit 13 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Monterrey have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Monterrey Analysis

Monterrey approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 15 points from 14 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 19:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through G. Berterame (13 goals), S. Canales (13 goals), L. Ocampos (5 goals), with creative support from Óliver Torres (8 assists), S. Canales (6 assists), L. Ocampos (6 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

CF Pachuca Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 28 points from 14 games, Pachuca bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:13, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Kenedy (7 goals), E. Valencia (5 goals), Oussama Idrissi (5 goals), with creative support from V. Guzman (7 assists), Brian García (4 assists), Oussama Idrissi (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Monterrey won 5 times, CF Pachuca won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:26 from Monterrey's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Monterrey 4-2-3-1 / CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Monterrey wins 5, draws 2, CF Pachuca wins 8
Stats
Monterrey Monterrey
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
7 Corner Kicks 4
13 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 2
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
473 Total passes 395
402 Passes accurate 317
1.55 expected_goals 1.77
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Monterrey
Formation
CF Pachuca
L. Cardenas
L. Cardenas
R. Chavez
R. Chavez
S. Medina
S. Medina
C. Salcedo
C. Salcedo
L. Reyes
L. Reyes
O. Torres
O. Torres
F. Ambriz
F. Ambriz
L. Orellano
L. Orellano
J. Corona
J. Corona
L. Ocampos
L. Ocampos
R. de la Rosa
R. de la Rosa
C. Moreno
C. Moreno
C. Sanchez
C. Sanchez
Eduardo Bauermann
Eduardo Bauermann
S. D. Barreto
S. D. Barreto
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
C. Rivera
🎯
C. Rivera
V. Guzman
V. Guzman
Kenedy
Kenedy
E. Montiel
E. Montiel
O. Idrissi
O. Idrissi
S. Rondon
S. Rondon
Monterrey 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
L. Cardenas
G
2
R. Chavez
D
33
S. Medina
🟨 26'
D
13
C. Salcedo
D
21
L. Reyes
↓ 78'
D
8
O. Torres
M
5
F. Ambriz
M
11
L. Orellano
↓ 78'
M
17
J. Corona
↓ 64'
M
29
L. Ocampos
⚽ 21' ↓ 79' 🟨 76'
M
27
R. de la Rosa
F
Substitutes
25
S. Mele
G
10
S. Canales
↑ 64'
M
20
U. Djurdjevic
↑ 79'
F
3
G. Arteaga
↑ 78'
D
32
S. Rodriguez
↑ 78'
M
194
C. Reyes
M
14
E. Aguirre
M
19
A. Aceves
D
4
V. Guzman
D
246
O. Galvez
M
CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
C. Moreno
G
14
C. Sanchez
D
4
Eduardo Bauermann
🟨 28'
D
2
S. D. Barreto
D
12
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
D
16
C. Rivera
🎯 83' 🟨 70'
M
8
V. Guzman
🟨 80'
M
29
Kenedy
⚽ 54' ↓ 87'
M
28
E. Montiel
↓ 46'
M
11
O. Idrissi
↓ 64'
M
23
S. Rondon
↓ 76' 🟨 26'
F
Substitutes
31
J. Eulogio
G
7
L. Quinones
F
21
R. Lopez
D
187
G. Alvarez
F
18
A. Dominguez
🎯 72' ↑ 64'
F
13
J. Berlanga
D
10
E. Valencia
⚽ 83' ↑ 76'
F
26
A. Bautista
⚽ 72' ↑ 46'
M
184
C. Alfaro
D
188
S. Rodriguez
↑ 87'
Last matches: Monterrey
19.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
Monterrey
Atlante FC
1
1
D
21.06.26
Fri
Monterrey
Cancún
4
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
0
3
L
22.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Puebla
2
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atletico San Luis
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
2
3
L
18.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
2
2
D
11.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
05.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
Leon
1
0
W
12.02.26
CON
Monterrey
Xelajú
2
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club America
0
1
L
05.02.26
CON
Monterrey
Xelajú
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club Tijuana
2
2
D
Last matches: CF Pachuca
18.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
CF Pachuca
Puebla
3
1
W
18.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
15.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Santos Laguna
4
2
W
05.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Puebla
2
1
W
04.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Necaxa
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Mazatlán
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
14.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atlas
3
1
W
08.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
FC Juarez
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
19.01.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club America
0
0
D
H2H: Monterrey vs CF Pachuca
19.04.26
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
13.07.25
H2H
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
3
0
L
28.04.25
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
26.01.25
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
2
3
L
08.07.24
H2H
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
0
1
W
11.02.24
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
3
2
W
05.11.23
H2H
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
0
2
W
13.03.23
H2H
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
1
2
W
24.10.22
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
21.10.22
H2H
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
5
2
L
01.10.22
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
0
0
D
23.04.22
H2H
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
3
0
L
15.08.21
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
3
1
W
19.04.21
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
15.09.20
H2H
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
1
1
D
Last matches: Monterrey
19.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
3
2
W
22.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Puebla
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atletico San Luis
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
2
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
05.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
Leon
1
0
W
12.02.26
CON
Monterrey
Xelajú
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club Tijuana
2
2
D
11.01.26
Lig
Monterrey
Toluca
0
1
L
04.12.25
Lig
Monterrey
Toluca
1
0
W
27.11.25
Lig
Monterrey
Club America
2
0
W
02.11.25
Lig
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
22.10.25
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
4
2
W
19.10.25
Lig
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
28.09.25
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
21.09.25
Lig
Monterrey
Club America
2
2
D
24.08.25
Lig
Monterrey
Necaxa
3
0
W
18.08.25
Lig
Monterrey
Mazatlán
3
2
W
H2H at home: Monterrey
19.04.26
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
28.04.25
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
26.01.25
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
2
3
L
11.02.24
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
3
2
W
24.10.22
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
01.10.22
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
0
0
D
15.08.21
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
3
1
W
19.04.21
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
Last matches: CF Pachuca
18.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
0
W
18.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Mazatlán
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
10.01.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
24.11.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
FC Juarez
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Santos Laguna
0
1
L
27.10.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
2
D
18.10.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
FC Juarez
2
2
D
04.10.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Necaxa
1
0
W
24.09.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Puebla
2
2
D
31.08.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club America
0
2
L
23.08.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Leon
1
1
D
10.08.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atlas
3
0
W
20.07.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
H2H away: CF Pachuca
19.04.26
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
1
3
W
28.04.25
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
1
2
W
26.01.25
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
2
3
W
11.02.24
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
3
2
L
24.10.22
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
0
1
W
01.10.22
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
0
0
D
15.08.21
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
3
1
L
19.04.21
H2H
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
0
1
W

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2 17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3 17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6 17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7 17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8 17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9 17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10 17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11 17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12 17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13 17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14 17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15 17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16 17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17 17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18 17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs