Monaco
Match Timeline
Marseille
Monaco vs Marseille Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
69.6%
|
1.40 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.60 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
71.7%
|
1.25 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Probability Distribution
Monaco Win 51.2%
Draw 18.4%
Marseille Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monaco1.83
Marseille1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monaco
WWDLW
19 GF / 13 GA
Marseille
WLDWL
10 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.11
Average Goals Scored
2
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
5
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
5
6.33
Shots on Goal
8
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Monaco
9 matches
Marseille
5 matches
| Monaco | Statistic | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 19 | Goals For | 10 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 2.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 6.33 | Shots On Goal | 8 |
| 14.67 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 4.33 | Corners | 3 |
| 55.3% | Ball Possession | 67% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Monaco won 7 times, Marseille won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:18 from Monaco's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.6%)
Predicted formations: Monaco 4-2-3-1 / Marseille 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Monaco 4, Marseille 2
H2H summary: Monaco wins 7, draws 2, Marseille wins 5
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
Home
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 11 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 |
Marseille
Away
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 3 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation