FRANCE LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Louis II
Referee: T. Leonard
Monaco
Match Timeline
Auxerre
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Maghnes Akliouche
Monaco
11'
K. Danois
Auxerre
33'
L. Sinayoko
Auxerre
🔄
46'
A. Bamba ↔ S. Adingra
Monaco
🔄
54'
F. Oppegard ↔ J. Casimir
Auxerre
56'
A. Fati · Assist: M. Akliouche
Monaco
🟨
59'
Denis Zakaria
Monaco
59'
F. Balogun
Monaco
🔄
68'
M. Senaya ↔ L. Sy
Auxerre
🔄
68'
D. Namaso ↔ N. Ahamada
Auxerre
🔄
72'
D. Leon ↔ T. De Percin
Auxerre
🟨
73'
Lassine Sinayoko
Auxerre
🔄
77'
J. Teze ↔ M. Coulibaly
Monaco
🔄
78'
A. Fati ↔ A. Golovin
Monaco
🟨
83'
Lamine Sy
Auxerre
🔄
88'
F. Balogun ↔ M. Biereth
Monaco
🟨
90+5'
Gideon Mensah
Auxerre

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 68.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
68.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Monaco Win 79.1%
Draw 0%
Auxerre Win 20.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monaco1.49
Auxerre1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monaco Monaco
WWDLW
68 GF / 67 GA
Auxerre Auxerre
WLDWL
24 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
27
BTTS Yes
11
27
Over 2.5
12
4.6
Shots on Goal
3.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monaco Monaco 42 matches
Auxerre Auxerre 30 matches
Monaco Statistic Auxerre
19 Wins 5
9 Draws 9
14 Losses 16
68 Goals For 24
67 Goals Against 39
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
27 BTTS Yes 11
30 Over 1.5 17
27 Over 2.5 12
23 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 16
4.6 Shots On Goal 3.27
12.69 Total Shots 10.7
4.67 Corners 4.9
49.9% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Monaco's more proactive style and Auxerre's more cautious structure. Monaco appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Auxerre. Monaco arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 49 points compared to Auxerre in 16 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Monaco expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Auxerre in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Auxerre having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Monaco come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Auxerre.

Monaco Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Monaco have collected 49 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 15 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 50:43 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Balogun (11 goals), A. Fati (8 goals), M. Akliouche (6 goals), with creative support from Aleksandr Golovin (5 assists), L. Camara (4 assists), F. Balogun (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. Although they are without M. Salisu, Caio Henrique, T. Minamino, L. Camara, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

Auxerre Analysis

With 24 points from 29 games and a place of 16, Auxerre still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 23:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Sinayoko (7 goals), D. Namaso (3 goals), Bryan Okoh (2 goals), with creative support from L. Sinayoko (3 assists), D. Namaso (3 assists), I. Osman (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with N. Buayi-Kiala, L. Coulibaly, T. Devernois unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Monaco won 9 times, Auxerre won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:11 from Monaco's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Monaco 3-4-2-1 / Auxerre 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Monaco 8, Auxerre 4
H2H summary: Monaco wins 9, draws 2, Auxerre wins 0
Stats
Monaco Monaco
Auxerre Auxerre
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
3
11 Corner Kicks 3
19 Fouls 8
4 Offsides 2
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 7
3 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
541 Total passes 254
467 Passes accurate 185
2.24 expected_goals 0.65
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Monaco
Formation
Auxerre
L. Hradecky
L. Hradecky
T. Kehrer
T. Kehrer
D. Zakaria
D. Zakaria
W. Faes
W. Faes
K. Diatta
K. Diatta
J. Teze
J. Teze
A. Bamba
A. Bamba
C. Mawissa
C. Mawissa
M. Akliouche
🎯
M. Akliouche
A. Fati
A. Fati
F. Balogun
F. Balogun
D. Leon
D. Leon
M. Senaya
M. Senaya
S. Diomande
S. Diomande
B. Okoh
B. Okoh
G. Mensah
G. Mensah
E. Owusu
E. Owusu
K. Danois
K. Danois
R. Faivre
R. Faivre
D. Namaso
D. Namaso
F. Oppegard
F. Oppegard
L. Sinayoko
L. Sinayoko
Monaco 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
L. Hradecky
G
5
T. Kehrer
D
6
D. Zakaria
🟨 59'
D
25
W. Faes
D
27
K. Diatta
M
4
J. Teze
↓ 77'
M
23
A. Bamba
↓ 46'
M
13
C. Mawissa
M
11
M. Akliouche
🎯 56' 🟨 7'
F
31
A. Fati
⚽ 56' ↓ 78'
F
9
F. Balogun
⚽ 59' ↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
16
P. Kohn
G
8
P. Pogba
M
3
E. Dier
D
14
M. Biereth
↑ 88'
F
41
P. Cabral
M
10
A. Golovin
↑ 78'
M
24
S. Adingra
↑ 46'
F
28
M. Coulibaly
↑ 77'
M
49
I. Toure
M
Auxerre 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
D. Leon
↓ 72'
G
29
M. Senaya
↓ 68'
D
20
S. Diomande
D
24
B. Okoh
D
14
G. Mensah
🟨 90+5'
D
42
E. Owusu
M
5
K. Danois
⚽ 11'
M
28
R. Faivre
M
19
D. Namaso
↓ 68'
M
22
F. Oppegard
↓ 54'
M
10
L. Sinayoko
⚽ 33' 🟨 73'
F
Substitutes
30
T. Negrel
G
40
T. De Percin
↑ 72'
G
18
A. Diousse
M
4
F. Sierralta
D
7
J. Casimir
↑ 54'
F
27
L. Sy
↑ 68' 🟨 83'
D
8
N. Ahamada
↑ 68'
M
9
S. Mara
F
44
M. Cissokho
F
Last matches: Monaco
17.05.26
Lig
Monaco
Strasbourg
4
5
L
10.05.26
Lig
Monaco
Lille
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Monaco
Metz
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Monaco
Toulouse
2
2
D
10.04.26
Lig
Monaco
Paris FC
1
4
L
05.04.26
Lig
Monaco
Marseille
2
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Monaco
Lyon
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
Monaco
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
06.03.26
Lig
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Monaco
Angers
2
0
W
25.02.26
UEF
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
2
2
D
21.02.26
Lig
Monaco
Lens
3
2
W
17.02.26
UEF
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
2
3
L
13.02.26
Lig
Monaco
Nantes
3
1
W
08.02.26
Lig
Monaco
Nice
0
0
D
05.02.26
Cou
Monaco
Strasbourg
1
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
Monaco
Rennes
4
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Monaco
Juventus
0
0
D
24.01.26
Lig
Monaco
Le Havre
0
0
D
20.01.26
UEF
Monaco
Real Madrid
1
6
L
Last matches: Auxerre
17.05.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lille
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Auxerre
Nice
2
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Auxerre
Angers
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lyon
2
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Auxerre
Nantes
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Auxerre
Le Havre
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
3
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Marseille
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Strasbourg
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lorient
2
2
D
22.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Rennes
0
3
L
15.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Metz
3
1
W
08.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Paris FC
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Toulouse
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
0
1
L
17.01.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lens
0
1
L
04.01.26
Lig
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
21.12.25
Cou
Auxerre
Monaco
1
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
Auxerre
Lille
3
4
L
07.12.25
Lig
Auxerre
Metz
3
1
W
H2H: Monaco vs Auxerre
19.04.26
H2H
Monaco
Auxerre
2
2
D
21.12.25
H2H
Auxerre
Monaco
1
2
W
13.09.25
H2H
Auxerre
Monaco
1
2
W
01.02.25
H2H
Monaco
Auxerre
4
2
W
14.09.24
H2H
Auxerre
Monaco
0
3
W
01.02.23
H2H
Monaco
Auxerre
3
2
W
28.12.22
H2H
Auxerre
Monaco
2
3
W
13.04.13
H2H
Auxerre
Monaco
0
2
W
10.11.12
H2H
Monaco
Auxerre
2
0
W
15.01.11
H2H
Auxerre
Monaco
1
1
D
29.08.10
H2H
Monaco
Auxerre
2
0
W
Last matches: Monaco
10.05.26
Lig
Monaco
Lille
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Monaco
Marseille
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
Monaco
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
Monaco
Angers
2
0
W
17.02.26
UEF
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
2
3
L
13.02.26
Lig
Monaco
Nantes
3
1
W
31.01.26
Lig
Monaco
Rennes
4
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Monaco
Juventus
0
0
D
16.01.26
Lig
Monaco
Lorient
1
3
L
03.01.26
Lig
Monaco
Lyon
1
3
L
09.12.25
UEF
Monaco
Galatasaray
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
1
0
W
08.11.25
Lig
Monaco
Lens
1
4
L
01.11.25
Lig
Monaco
Paris FC
0
1
L
25.10.25
Lig
Monaco
Toulouse
1
0
W
22.10.25
UEF
Monaco
Tottenham
0
0
D
05.10.25
Lig
Monaco
Nice
2
2
D
01.10.25
UEF
Monaco
Manchester City
2
2
D
21.09.25
Lig
Monaco
Metz
5
2
W
31.08.25
Lig
Monaco
Strasbourg
3
2
W
H2H at home: Monaco
19.04.26
H2H
Monaco
Auxerre
2
2
D
01.02.25
H2H
Monaco
Auxerre
4
2
W
01.02.23
H2H
Monaco
Auxerre
3
2
W
10.11.12
H2H
Monaco
Auxerre
2
0
W
29.08.10
H2H
Monaco
Auxerre
2
0
W
Last matches: Auxerre
17.05.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lille
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lyon
2
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
Auxerre
Le Havre
1
1
D
13.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Marseille
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lorient
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Metz
3
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Toulouse
0
0
D
17.01.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lens
0
1
L
04.01.26
Lig
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
29.11.25
Lig
Auxerre
Paris FC
1
1
D
09.11.25
Lig
Auxerre
Angers
0
2
L
29.10.25
Lig
Auxerre
Strasbourg
0
3
L
19.10.25
Lig
Auxerre
Rennes
2
2
D
27.09.25
Lig
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
30.08.25
Lig
Auxerre
Nantes
0
1
L
23.08.25
Lig
Auxerre
Nice
1
3
L
17.05.25
Lig
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
27.04.25
Lig
Auxerre
Lens
4
0
W
20.04.25
Lig
Auxerre
Lille
1
3
L
06.04.25
Lig
Auxerre
Rennes
1
0
W
H2H away: Auxerre
19.04.26
H2H
Monaco
Auxerre
2
2
D
01.02.25
H2H
Monaco
Auxerre
4
2
L
01.02.23
H2H
Monaco
Auxerre
3
2
L
10.11.12
H2H
Monaco
Auxerre
2
0
L
29.08.10
H2H
Monaco
Auxerre
2
0
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Monaco 8 missing
-
M. Salisu
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Caio Henrique
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
T. Minamino
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Vanderson
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
K. Ouattara
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
P. Brunner
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
L. Camara
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
S. Idumbo
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Auxerre 4 missing
-
N. Buayi-Kiala
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
L. Coulibaly
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
T. Devernois
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
O. El Azzouzi
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT