Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
79.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
68.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
79.4%
|
- |
Monaco
Auxerre
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Monaco
42 matches
Auxerre
30 matches
| Monaco | Statistic | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 5 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 14 | Losses | 16 |
| 68 | Goals For | 24 |
| 67 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.8 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 27 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 23 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 4.6 | Shots On Goal | 3.27 |
| 12.69 | Total Shots | 10.7 |
| 4.67 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 49.9% | Ball Possession | 44.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Monaco's more proactive style and Auxerre's more cautious structure. Monaco appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Auxerre. Monaco arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 49 points compared to Auxerre in 16 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Monaco expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Auxerre in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Auxerre having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Monaco come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Auxerre.
From their first 29 matches, Monaco have collected 49 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 15 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 50:43 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Balogun (11 goals), A. Fati (8 goals), M. Akliouche (6 goals), with creative support from Aleksandr Golovin (5 assists), L. Camara (4 assists), F. Balogun (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. Although they are without M. Salisu, Caio Henrique, T. Minamino, L. Camara, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
With 24 points from 29 games and a place of 16, Auxerre still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 23:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Sinayoko (7 goals), D. Namaso (3 goals), Bryan Okoh (2 goals), with creative support from L. Sinayoko (3 assists), D. Namaso (3 assists), I. Osman (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with N. Buayi-Kiala, L. Coulibaly, T. Devernois unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Monaco won 9 times, Auxerre won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:11 from Monaco's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.
Monaco
6
7
3
2
6
3
Lineups
Monaco
Strasbourg
Monaco
Lille
Monaco
Metz
Monaco
Toulouse
Monaco
Paris FC
Monaco
Marseille
Monaco
Lyon
Monaco
Stade Brestois 29
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Angers
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Lens
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Nantes
Monaco
Nice
Monaco
Strasbourg
Monaco
Rennes
Monaco
Juventus
Monaco
Le Havre
Monaco
Real Madrid
Auxerre
Lille
Auxerre
Nice
Auxerre
Angers
Auxerre
Lyon
Auxerre
Nantes
Auxerre
Le Havre
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
Marseille
Auxerre
Strasbourg
Auxerre
Lorient
Auxerre
Rennes
Auxerre
Metz
Auxerre
Paris FC
Auxerre
Toulouse
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
Auxerre
Lens
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
Monaco
Auxerre
Lille
Auxerre
Metz
Monaco
Lille
Monaco
Marseille
Monaco
Stade Brestois 29
Monaco
Angers
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Nantes
Monaco
Rennes
Monaco
Juventus
Monaco
Lorient
Monaco
Lyon
Monaco
Galatasaray
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Lens
Monaco
Paris FC
Monaco
Toulouse
Monaco
Tottenham
Monaco
Nice
Monaco
Manchester City
Monaco
Metz
Monaco
Strasbourg
Auxerre
Lille
Auxerre
Lyon
Auxerre
Le Havre
Auxerre
Marseille
Auxerre
Lorient
Auxerre
Metz
Auxerre
Toulouse
Auxerre
Lens
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
Paris FC
Auxerre
Angers
Auxerre
Strasbourg
Auxerre
Rennes
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
Auxerre
Nantes
Auxerre
Nice
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
Auxerre
Lens
Auxerre
Lille
Auxerre
Rennes
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Monaco
Home
|
34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 |
Auxerre
Away
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|