Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Molde
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Molde
23 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF
25 matches
| Molde | Statistic | Sarpsborg 08 FF |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 13 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 41 | Goals For | 37 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.78 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.85 | Shots On Goal | 4.38 |
| 13.23 | Total Shots | 12.08 |
| 5.23 | Corners | 4.69 |
| 59.2% | Ball Possession | 43.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Molde's more proactive style and Sarpsborg 08 FF's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Molde expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sarpsborg 08 FF in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarpsborg 08 FF having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sarpsborg 08 FF. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Placed 5 with 20 points from 13 outings, Molde continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 21:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Emil Breivik (4 goals), Eirik Hestad (4 goals), Fredrik Gulbrandsen (4 goals), with creative support from Emil Breivik (2 assists), Eirik Hestad (2 assists), Sondre Milian Granaas (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 7 with 18 points after 13 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 14:16 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Daniel Karlsbakk (3 goals), Victor Emanuel Halvorsen (2 goals), Claus Niyukuri (1 goals), with creative support from Claus Niyukuri (3 assists), Sondre Sörli (2 assists), Sander Christiansen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Molde won 7 times, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:24 from Molde's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 47:14 | 33 | 44 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 42:18 | 24 | 43 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 34:20 | 14 | 35 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Molde
Home
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36:29 | 7 | 30 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 5 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 26 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 26 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 24 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Away
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 23 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:32 | -6 | 23 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 31:38 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:23 | -8 | 19 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17:29 | -12 | 16 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 28:43 | -15 | 15 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 20:39 | -19 | 13 |
W
L
L
W
L
|