BELARUS 1. DIVISION
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Stadium FC Minsk

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 75.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
75.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Minsk II Win 49.4%
Draw 25.9%
Ostrovets FC Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Minsk II1.36
Ostrovets FC1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Minsk II Minsk II
WWDLW
21 GF / 32 GA
Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC
WLDWL
19 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
9
BTTS Yes
13
12
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Minsk II Minsk II 17 matches
Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 17 matches
Minsk II Statistic Ostrovets FC
7 Wins 2
1 Draws 9
9 Losses 6
21 Goals For 19
32 Goals Against 26
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
9 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Minsk II come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ostrovets FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ostrovets FC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Minsk II Analysis

Minsk II sit 11 with 22 points after 17 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, while the 21:32 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ostrovets FC Analysis

Ostrovets FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 15 points from 17 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 19:26, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Minsk II won 2 times, Ostrovets FC won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Minsk II's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (75.3%)
H2H summary: Minsk II wins 2, draws 0, Ostrovets FC wins 1
Last matches: Minsk II
02.08.26
1.
Minsk II
BATE II
1
0
W
26.07.26
1.
Minsk II
Uni Minsk
2
1
W
11.07.26
1.
Minsk II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
3
2
W
03.07.26
1.
Minsk II
Gomel II
0
3
L
28.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Orsha
4
0
W
19.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Volna
1
2
L
14.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Smorgon
0
1
L
06.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Bumprom
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Osipovichy
1
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Lida
2
1
W
10.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Niva
1
3
L
02.05.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
6
L
26.04.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
20.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Dinamo Minsk II
0
4
L
11.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
06.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Slonim
0
2
L
Last matches: Ostrovets FC
01.08.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Lida
1
3
L
25.07.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Niva
0
2
L
10.07.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
28.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Dinamo Minsk II
1
1
D
20.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Shakhter Soligorsk
1
4
L
13.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Slonim
1
1
D
06.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
BATE II
0
0
D
31.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Uni Minsk
3
2
W
23.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
3
L
15.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Gomel II
0
0
D
08.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
1
2
L
02.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Volna
2
2
D
24.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Smorgon
0
0
D
18.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Bumprom
3
1
W
11.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Minsk II
1
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Osipovichy
1
1
D
H2H: Minsk II vs Ostrovets FC
11.04.26
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Minsk II
1
2
W
03.08.25
H2H
Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
1
0
W
30.03.25
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Minsk II
4
1
L
Last matches: Minsk II
26.07.26
1.
Minsk II
Uni Minsk
2
1
W
03.07.26
1.
Minsk II
Gomel II
0
3
L
19.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Volna
1
2
L
06.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Bumprom
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Lida
2
1
W
02.05.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
6
L
20.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Dinamo Minsk II
0
4
L
06.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Slonim
0
2
L
H2H at home: Minsk II
03.08.25
H2H
Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Ostrovets FC
25.07.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Niva
0
2
L
04.07.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
20.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Shakhter Soligorsk
1
4
L
13.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Slonim
1
1
D
15.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Gomel II
0
0
D
02.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Volna
2
2
D
18.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Bumprom
3
1
W
04.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Osipovichy
1
1
D
H2H away: Ostrovets FC
03.08.25
H2H
Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
1
0
L

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 3 2 37:18 19 39
W D W D L
2 17 10 5 2 37:19 18 35
L D D W W
3 17 10 3 4 39:19 20 33
W W D W W
4 17 9 3 5 31:20 11 30
L W D L W
5 17 9 3 5 31:27 4 30
W L W D W
6 17 9 2 6 32:27 5 29
W W L W W
7 17 7 5 5 36:25 11 26
L D W L L
8 17 7 4 6 31:23 8 25
D L D L L
9 16 7 4 5 30:22 8 25
L D L W D
10 17 8 1 8 25:31 -6 25
W W L W L
11 17 7 1 9 21:32 -11 22
W W W L W
12 16 5 3 8 19:29 -10 18
W L D W L
13 17 4 5 8 24:27 -3 17
L L D W W
14 17 4 5 8 20:27 -7 17
L W D L W
15 17 4 4 9 15:27 -12 16
D L W D L
16 17 2 9 6 19:26 -7 15
L L D D D
17 17 2 5 10 21:41 -20 11
L L L L L
18 17 3 1 13 20:48 -28 10
W W L L L