Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
43.9%
|
2.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.1%
|
2.54 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
10.00 |
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estudiantes L.P.
43 matches
Flamengo
43 matches
| Estudiantes L.P. | Statistic | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 28 |
| 11 | Draws | 11 |
| 12 | Losses | 4 |
| 56 | Goals For | 85 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.98 |
| 0.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 39 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 18 | Clean Sheets | 18 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.15 | Shots On Goal | 5.74 |
| 14.23 | Total Shots | 15.69 |
| 4.38 | Corners | 5.03 |
| 54.1% | Ball Possession | 56.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Flamengo have the edge after taking the first leg 1-0, leaving Estudiantes L.P. needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. In the previous meeting, Flamengo controlled more possession in the first leg (67% against 33%). Flamengo carried the greater threat on target, finishing with 4 shots on goal compared to 1. Flamengo circulated the ball more often, making 451 passes to 217 and completing 389. Flamengo look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Flamengo. Flamengo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 16 points while Estudiantes L.P. sit 2 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Estudiantes L.P. enter this tie with a season profile built on 9 points from 6 matches, placing them 2 in their league. The return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 6:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Tiago Palacios (3 goals), A. Castro (2 goals), Mikel Amondarain (1 goals), with creative support from Mikel Amondarain (2 assists), A. Castro (1 assists), T. Palacios (1 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Flamengo come into this tie placed 1 in their league with 16 points from 6 matches. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 14:2 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking influence is driven by Bruno Henrique (5 goals), G. de Arrascaeta (3 goals), Lucas Paquetá (3 goals), with creative support from Bruno Henrique (2 assists), Ayrton Lucas (2 assists), G. de Arrascaeta (1 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes L.P. won 1 times, Flamengo won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Estudiantes L.P.'s perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
Away
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 |
Estudiantes L.P.
Home
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
L
L
D
L
L
|