🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
02.08.2026 00:30
Allianz Field
Referee: T. Ford
Minnesota United FC
Match Timeline
San Diego
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
T. Chancalay · Assist: W. Trapp
Minnesota United FC
🔄
60'
K. Sargeant ↔ L. Bombino
San Diego
🔄
60'
D. Vazquez ↔ A. Mighten
San Diego
🔄
60'
A. Alvarado Jr ↔ Gabriel Pirani
San Diego
🟨
64'
Drake Callender
Minnesota United FC
🟨
64'
Anders Dreyer
San Diego
64'
A. Dreyer
San Diego
🔄
65'
A. Markanich ↔ D. Padelford
Minnesota United FC
🔄
65'
M. Dieng ↔ K. Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
🔄
80'
K. Duncan ↔ B. Hlongwane
Minnesota United FC
🔄
80'
T. Chancalay ↔ M. Gonzalez
Minnesota United FC
🔄
83'
O. Valakari ↔ A. Godoy
San Diego

Minnesota United FC vs San Diego Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 86.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
86.6%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Minnesota United FC Win 47.4%
Draw 39.2%
San Diego Win 13.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Minnesota United FC1.35
San Diego1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WWDLW
23 GF / 26 GA
San Diego San Diego
WLDWL
40 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
10
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
14
4.59
Shots on Goal
4.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 20 matches
San Diego San Diego 22 matches
Minnesota United FC Statistic San Diego
7 Wins 8
6 Draws 5
7 Losses 9
23 Goals For 40
26 Goals Against 36
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
10 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 11
7 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 5
4.59 Shots On Goal 4.48
13.29 Total Shots 11.38
5.29 Corners 4.67
47.2% Ball Possession 58.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between San Diego's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward San Diego. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Minnesota United FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Minnesota United FC expected to line up in 3-4-3 and San Diego in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Diego having the stronger overall control.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 22 points from 16 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 19:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Kelvin Yeboah (6 goals), Anthony Markanich (4 goals), Joaquín Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Pereyra (4 assists), Tomás Chancalay (3 assists), James Rodríguez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Diego Analysis

San Diego are currently 13 in the standings with 17 points from 16 matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 30:28 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcus Ingvartsen (7 goals), Anders Dreyer (3 goals), David Vazquez (3 goals), with creative support from Anders Dreyer (4 assists), Pedro Soma (2 assists), Onni Valakari (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota United FC won 2 times, San Diego won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Minnesota United FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (86.6%)
Predicted formations: Minnesota United FC 3-4-3 / San Diego 4-3-3
H2H summary: Minnesota United FC wins 2, draws 1, San Diego wins 2

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)