🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Allianz Field
Referee: T. Ford
Minnesota United FC
Match Timeline
San Diego
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
T. Chancalay · Assist: W. Trapp
Minnesota United FC
🔄
60'
K. Sargeant ↔ L. Bombino
San Diego
🔄
60'
D. Vazquez ↔ A. Mighten
San Diego
🔄
61'
A. Alvarado Jr ↔ Gabriel Pirani
San Diego
64'
A. Dreyer
San Diego
🟨
64'
A. Dreyer
San Diego
🟨
64'
D. Callender
Minnesota United FC
🔄
65'
A. Markanich ↔ D. Padelford
Minnesota United FC
🔄
65'
M. Dieng ↔ K. Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
🔄
80'
T. Chancalay ↔ M. Gonzalez
Minnesota United FC
🔄
80'
K. Duncan ↔ B. Hlongwane
Minnesota United FC
🔄
83'
O. Valakari ↔ A. Godoy
San Diego

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 86.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
86.6%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Minnesota United FC Win 47.4%
Draw 39.2%
San Diego Win 13.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Minnesota United FC1.35
San Diego1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WWDLW
23 GF / 26 GA
San Diego San Diego
WLDWL
40 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
10
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
14
4.59
Shots on Goal
4.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 20 matches
San Diego San Diego 22 matches
Minnesota United FC Statistic San Diego
7 Wins 8
6 Draws 5
7 Losses 9
23 Goals For 40
26 Goals Against 36
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
10 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 11
7 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 5
4.59 Shots On Goal 4.48
13.29 Total Shots 11.38
5.29 Corners 4.62
47.2% Ball Possession 58.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between San Diego's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward San Diego. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Minnesota United FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Minnesota United FC expected to line up in 3-4-3 and San Diego in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Diego having the stronger overall control.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 22 points from 16 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 19:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Kelvin Yeboah (6 goals), Anthony Markanich (4 goals), Joaquín Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Pereyra (4 assists), Tomás Chancalay (3 assists), James Rodríguez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Diego Analysis

San Diego are currently 13 in the standings with 17 points from 16 matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 30:28 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcus Ingvartsen (7 goals), Anders Dreyer (3 goals), David Vazquez (3 goals), with creative support from Anders Dreyer (4 assists), Pedro Soma (2 assists), Onni Valakari (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota United FC won 2 times, San Diego won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Minnesota United FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (86.6%)
Predicted formations: Minnesota United FC 3-4-3 / San Diego 4-3-3
H2H summary: Minnesota United FC wins 2, draws 1, San Diego wins 2
Stats
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
San Diego San Diego
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 4
8 Fouls 3
0 Offsides 3
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 9
1 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
337 Total passes 727
274 Passes accurate 653
0.92 expected_goals 1.47
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Minnesota United FC
Formation
San Diego
Drake Callender
Drake Callender
Kyle Duncan
Kyle Duncan
Jefferson Díaz
Jefferson Díaz
Michael Boxall
Michael Boxall
Morris Duggan
Morris Duggan
Anthony Markanich
Anthony Markanich
Joaquín Pereyra
Joaquín Pereyra
Wil Trapp
🎯
Wil Trapp
Owen Gene
Owen Gene
Tomás Chancalay
Tomás Chancalay
Mamadou  Dieng
Mamadou Dieng
CJ Dos Santos
CJ Dos Santos
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
Christopher McVey
Christopher McVey
Manu Duah
Manu Duah
Kieran Sargeant
Kieran Sargeant
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
Jeppe Tverskov
Jeppe Tverskov
Onni Valakari
Onni Valakari
Anders Dreyer
Anders Dreyer
Marcus Ingvartsen
Marcus Ingvartsen
David Vazquez
David Vazquez
Minnesota United FC 5-4-1
Starting XI
12
Drake Callender
🟨 64'
G
3
Kyle Duncan
↓ 80'
D
28
Jefferson Díaz
D
15
Michael Boxall
D
23
Morris Duggan
D
13
Anthony Markanich
↓ 65'
D
26
Joaquín Pereyra
M
20
Wil Trapp
🎯 3'
M
30
Owen Gene
M
8
Tomás Chancalay
⚽ 3' ↓ 80'
M
29
Mamadou Dieng
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
2
Devin Padelford
↑ 65'
D
9
Kelvin Yeboah
↑ 65'
F
18
Mauricio González
↑ 80'
F
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
↑ 80'
F
1
Alec Smir
G
24
Julian Gressel
M
67
Carlos Harvey
M
7
Dominik Fitz
M
22
Marcus Caldeira
F
San Diego 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
CJ Dos Santos
G
3
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
D
97
Christopher McVey
D
26
Manu Duah
D
5
Kieran Sargeant
D
70
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
↓ 61'
M
6
Jeppe Tverskov
M
8
Onni Valakari
↓ 83'
M
10
Anders Dreyer
⚽ 64' 🟨 64'
F
7
Marcus Ingvartsen
F
19
David Vazquez
↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
27
Luca Bombino
↑ 60'
D
12
Gabriel Pirani
↑ 61'
M
77
Alex Mighten
↑ 60'
F
20
Aníbal Godoy
↑ 83'
M
18
Duran Ferree
G
33
Oscar Verhoeven
D
25
Ian Pilcher
D
9
Lewis Morgan
F
14
Bryan Zamblé
F
Last matches: Minnesota United FC
30.08.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Orlando City SC
3
3
D
23.08.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
5
1
W
20.08.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
L
16.08.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
26.07.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
0
D
23.07.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
23.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
16.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
New England Revolution
1
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
10.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
02.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
25.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
23.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
1
0
W
19.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
6
L
08.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
1
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
Last matches: San Diego
30.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
1
W
23.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Colorado Rapids
3
0
W
20.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Portland Timbers
1
3
L
16.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
1
0
W
26.07.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
1
0
W
23.07.26
Maj
San Diego
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
24.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
4
L
17.05.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
14.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Austin
5
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
03.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
4
L
12.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
2
L
05.04.26
Maj
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
19.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
0
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
3
3
D
12.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
3
2
W
H2H: Minnesota United FC vs San Diego
02.08.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
1
1
D
12.04.26
H2H
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
2
W
25.11.25
H2H
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
0
L
14.09.25
H2H
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
3
W
15.06.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
2
4
L
Last matches: Minnesota United FC
30.08.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Orlando City SC
3
3
D
20.08.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
L
26.07.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
0
D
23.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
14.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
10.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
25.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
0
0
D
28.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
H2H at home: Minnesota United FC
02.08.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
1
1
D
15.06.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
2
4
L
Last matches: San Diego
20.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Portland Timbers
1
3
L
16.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
1
0
W
23.07.26
Maj
San Diego
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
10.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
23.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
4
L
05.04.26
Maj
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
L
19.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
0
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
3
3
D
08.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
11.02.26
CON
San Diego
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
H2H away: San Diego
02.08.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
1
1
D
15.06.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
2
4
W

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 4 4 48:18 30 43
W W L W D
2 22 12 3 7 30:26 4 39
D L W W W
3 23 10 6 7 36:22 14 36
D D L L D
4 22 10 4 8 39:33 6 34
D L L L L
5 21 9 6 6 38:34 4 33
L W W D L
6 21 9 6 6 30:27 3 33
W D W D W
7 22 10 1 11 31:28 3 31
W L W W W
8 22 8 6 8 40:33 7 30
W W L W D
9 22 7 8 7 30:32 -2 29
D W L D D
10 21 8 4 9 34:33 1 28
L L L D D
11 22 8 4 10 39:39 0 28
L D W L W
12 21 7 5 9 24:29 -5 26
D D L L L
13 23 6 8 9 28:35 -7 26
L D W L D
14 22 6 6 10 28:41 -13 24
W D W L L
15 22 4 3 15 20:54 -34 15
L L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)