🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
14.05.2026 00:30
Allianz Field
Referee: E. Arreguin
Minnesota United FC
Match Timeline
Colorado Rapids
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Morris Duggan
Minnesota United FC
🟨
21'
Kelvin Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
26'
Rafael Navarro · Assist: P. Aaronson
Colorado Rapids
🔄
46'
M. Boxall ↔ N. Romero
Minnesota United FC
🟨
49'
Connor Ronan
Colorado Rapids
🟨
51'
Jackson Travis
Colorado Rapids
🔄
64'
K. Duncan ↔ B. Hlongwane
Minnesota United FC
🔄
64'
J. Rodriguez ↔ T. Chancalay
Minnesota United FC
🔄
64'
O. Gene ↔ N. Triantis
Minnesota United FC
🔄
64'
J. Travis ↔ K. Thompson
Colorado Rapids
🔄
64'
C. Ronan ↔ D. Sealy
Colorado Rapids
🟨
69'
Kosi Thompson
Colorado Rapids
🟨
75'
Jefferson Díaz
Minnesota United FC
🔄
81'
G. Minoungou ↔ R. Cannon
Colorado Rapids
🟨
82'
Tomás Chancalay
Minnesota United FC
🔄
83'
A. Markanich ↔ M. Dieng
Minnesota United FC
🟨
84'
Wil Trapp
Minnesota United FC
🟨
85'
Rafael Navarro
Colorado Rapids
🔄
90'
P. Aaronson ↔ D. Yapi
Colorado Rapids

Minnesota United FC vs Colorado Rapids Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 36.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 41.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
36.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
41.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Minnesota United FC Win 69.7%
Draw 0%
Colorado Rapids Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Minnesota United FC1.55
Colorado Rapids1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WWDLW
20 GF / 20 GA
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
WLDWL
28 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.87
7
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
10
4.67
Shots on Goal
4.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 15 matches
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 15 matches
Minnesota United FC Statistic Colorado Rapids
7 Wins 5
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 9
20 Goals For 28
20 Goals Against 28
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.87
7 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 4
4.67 Shots On Goal 4.58
13.67 Total Shots 11.33
4.75 Corners 4.75
44.6% Ball Possession 56.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Colorado Rapids's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Colorado Rapids. Minnesota United FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 21 points compared to Colorado Rapids in 11 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Minnesota United FC expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Colorado Rapids in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Colorado Rapids having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Colorado Rapids arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 21 points from 12 games, Minnesota United FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 16:18, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through K. Yeboah (7 goals), Anthony Markanich (4 goals), J. Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from J. Pereyra (4 assists), T. Chancalay (3 assists), J. Rodriguez (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with P. Stroud, J. Gressel, C. Harvey unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

Colorado Rapids approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 13 points from 12 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 22:20 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Rafael Navarro (7 goals), D. Yapi (3 goals), P. Aaronson (3 goals), with creative support from Rafael Navarro (3 assists), D. Yapi (2 assists), W. Frederick (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football. Although they are without T. Ku-DiPietro, J. Atencio, W. Frederick, R. Holding, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota United FC won 7 times, Colorado Rapids won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:23 from Minnesota United FC's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Minnesota United FC 3-4-2-1 / Colorado Rapids 4-4-2
Missing players: Minnesota United FC 4, Colorado Rapids 6
H2H summary: Minnesota United FC wins 7, draws 2, Colorado Rapids wins 6

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)