COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
02.02.2026 20:00
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Referee: Carlos Ortega, Colombia
Millonarios
Match Timeline
Independiente Medellin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
Yony González
Independiente Medellin
🟨
39'
Léider Berrío
Independiente Medellin
🟨
45+2'
Dewar Victoria
Millonarios
🔄
46'
D. S. Victoria Palacios ↔ S. Viveros
Millonarios
🔄
46'
Yony Gonzalez ↔ J. Montano
Independiente Medellin
🟨
50'
Leonardo Castro
Millonarios
🔄
56'
A. Llinas ↔ S. Mosquera
Millonarios
🔄
56'
L. Castro ↔ R. Falcao
Millonarios
🟨
57'
Sebastián del Castillo
Millonarios
🟨
68'
Rodrigo Ureña
Millonarios
🟨
77'
Francisco Chaverra
Independiente Medellin
🔄
78'
J. Angulo ↔ B. D. Castro Espinosa
Millonarios
🟨
87'
Rodrigo Ureña
Millonarios
🟥
87'
Rodrigo Ureña
Millonarios
🟨
90'
Jorge Arias
Millonarios
🔄
90+1'
A. Castro ↔ S. Vega
Millonarios
🔄
90+2'
L. Berrio ↔ E. Larrosa
Independiente Medellin

Millonarios vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Millonarios Win 0%
Draw 0%
Independiente Medellin Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Millonarios1.08
Independiente Medellin1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Millonarios Millonarios
WWDLW
3 GF / 7 GA
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
WLDWL
7 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
3
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
4
3
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Millonarios Millonarios 5 matches
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 5 matches
Millonarios Statistic Independiente Medellin
0 Wins 1
1 Draws 1
4 Losses 3
3 Goals For 7
7 Goals Against 9
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
3 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
3 Shots On Goal 4.33
12.67 Total Shots 15.33
5 Corners 4.67
42.7% Ball Possession 54.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Millonarios won 5 times, Independiente Medellin won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from Millonarios's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Millonarios 4-2-3-1 / Independiente Medellin 3-4-3
H2H summary: Millonarios wins 5, draws 5, Independiente Medellin wins 4

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W D L W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L W W L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L W W D L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D L W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W L L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D D D L L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W L W W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D L L W D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D W W D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
D L W D L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W L L D L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W W D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L W L L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D L D D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L L L D D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W L W W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D W L L W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W L L D L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D D L D
Post season qualification