KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
55.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Migori Youth Win 67.8%
Draw 0%
Kibera Black Stars Win 32.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Migori Youth1.24
Kibera Black Stars0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Migori Youth Migori Youth
WWDLW
50 GF / 26 GA
Kibera Black Stars Kibera Black Stars
WLDWL
29 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
0.88
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
13
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Migori Youth Migori Youth 33 matches
Kibera Black Stars Kibera Black Stars 33 matches
Migori Youth Statistic Kibera Black Stars
21 Wins 15
5 Draws 6
7 Losses 12
50 Goals For 29
26 Goals Against 27
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
13 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 1
15 Clean Sheets 14
7 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kibera Black Stars having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kibera Black Stars. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Migori Youth Analysis

Migori Youth come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 68 points after 33 matches. With 21 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 50:26, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 13 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Kibera Black Stars Analysis

Kibera Black Stars are currently 8 in the standings with 51 points from 33 matches. The record of 15 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 29:27 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Migori Youth won 5 times, Kibera Black Stars won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Migori Youth's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Migori Youth wins 5, draws 1, Kibera Black Stars wins 4
Last matches: Migori Youth
01.06.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
27.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MCF
2
1
W
17.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
26.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
4
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
1
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
0
1
L
23.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Talanta
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
3
2
W
08.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
4
0
W
17.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
4
2
W
11.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Kibera Black Stars
01.06.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
27.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
16.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
3K
1
2
L
10.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
25.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
11.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
2
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
1
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Talanta
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
28.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
1
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Soy United
1
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
1
2
L
24.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
11.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
2
1
W
H2H: Migori Youth vs Kibera Black Stars
23.05.26
H2H
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
17.12.25
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
1
0
L
11.05.25
H2H
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
0
0
D
21.12.24
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
2
0
L
26.05.24
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
W
25.11.23
H2H
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
11.06.23
H2H
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
2
0
W
18.02.23
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
2
0
L
17.07.22
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
W
05.12.21
H2H
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
Last matches: Migori Youth
27.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MCF
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
4
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
1
0
W
23.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Talanta
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
3
2
W
01.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
4
0
W
11.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
12.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
3
2
W
04.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
23.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Vihiga United FC
1
1
D
09.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
29.10.25
Sup
Migori Youth
3K
1
1
D
12.10.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
28.09.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
1
0
W
H2H at home: Migori Youth
23.05.26
H2H
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
11.05.25
H2H
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
0
0
D
25.11.23
H2H
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
11.06.23
H2H
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
2
0
W
05.12.21
H2H
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
Last matches: Kibera Black Stars
01.06.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
10.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
1
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Talanta
2
1
W
07.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
1
2
L
01.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
1
2
L
18.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
21.12.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
13.12.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
04.12.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
3K
0
2
L
30.11.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kabati Youth FC
0
1
L
16.11.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Soy United
0
2
L
01.11.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
MCF
2
0
W
26.10.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Nairobi City Stars
3
2
W
05.10.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
H2H away: Kibera Black Stars
23.05.26
H2H
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
L
11.05.25
H2H
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
0
0
D
25.11.23
H2H
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
L
11.06.23
H2H
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
2
0
L
05.12.21
H2H
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 24 5 7 54:27 27 77
W W W L W
2 36 22 7 7 58:25 33 73
W D D W W
3 36 23 3 10 49:31 18 72
L D W W L
4 36 20 11 5 53:26 27 71
W W D D W
5 36 16 14 6 50:29 21 62
D D L W L
6 36 17 9 10 45:27 18 60
W W W W D
7 36 16 9 11 57:41 16 57
L L L W L
8 36 15 9 12 46:37 9 54
L W W W W
9 36 15 8 13 31:30 1 53
D D L L D
10 36 13 9 14 30:27 3 48
L D W L D
11 36 11 14 11 36:35 1 47
W L L L D
12 36 12 6 18 29:49 -20 42
W L L W D
13 36 11 8 17 32:38 -6 41
W L W L D
14 36 9 12 15 31:36 -5 39
L D D L L
15 36 9 9 18 21:45 -24 36
L D W D D
16 36 9 8 19 29:50 -21 35
W W L L D
17 36 8 8 20 22:47 -25 32
L D W L L
18 36 8 10 18 22:38 -16 31
W L D W L
19 36 9 8 19 28:53 -25 29
L W L W W
20 36 6 7 23 27:59 -32 25
L L L L D