Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Draw 0%
Burnley Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.6
Burnley1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough
WWDLW
1 GF / 1 GA
Burnley
WLDWL
4 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.5
1
BTTS Yes
4
0
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Middlesbrough
1 matches
Burnley
4 matches
| Middlesbrough | Statistic | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 0 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 0 | Losses | 3 |
| 1 | Goals For | 4 |
| 1 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.5 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 5 times, Burnley won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:14 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1 / Burnley -
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 5, draws 5, Burnley wins 5
Last matches: Middlesbrough
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
16.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
1
3
L
09.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
Last matches: Burnley
26.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Ajax
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
1
4
L
12.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
1
3
L
24.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
1
3
L
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
11.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
11.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
3
2
W
07.02.26
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
0
2
L
02.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Sunderland
0
3
L
H2H: Middlesbrough vs Burnley
29.12.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
0
0
D
06.12.24
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
07.04.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
2
L
17.12.22
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
3
1
L
08.04.17
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
0
0
D
26.12.16
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
19.04.16
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
09.01.16
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
2
L
15.12.15
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
0
W
12.04.14
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
0
1
W
26.12.13
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
0
W
19.02.13
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
21.08.12
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
3
2
W
14.01.12
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
0
2
L
10.09.11
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
0
2
W
Last matches: Middlesbrough
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Norwich
1
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Preston
4
0
W
04.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
4
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
26.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
3
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
2
4
L
08.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
1
1
D
17.10.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
1
W
H2H at home: Middlesbrough
29.12.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
0
0
D
07.04.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
2
L
08.04.17
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
0
0
D
09.01.16
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
2
L
15.12.15
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
0
W
26.12.13
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
0
W
21.08.12
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
3
2
W
14.01.12
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
0
2
L
Last matches: Burnley
26.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Ajax
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
1
4
L
12.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
1
3
L
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
11.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
3
2
W
02.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Sunderland
0
3
L
17.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Liverpool
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
20.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
1
1
D
06.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Newcastle
1
2
L
29.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
1
3
L
08.11.25
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
2
3
L
26.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
3
2
W
05.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
1
2
L
H2H away: Burnley
29.12.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
0
0
D
07.04.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
2
W
08.04.17
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
0
0
D
09.01.16
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
2
W
15.12.15
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
0
L
26.12.13
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
0
L
21.08.12
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
3
2
L
14.01.12
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
0
2
W