UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
28.04.2026 13:00
Rwamwanja stadium
Mbarara City
Match Timeline
Express
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
C. Kamugisha
Mbarara City
17'
K. Kimera
Express
57'
I. Amanya
Mbarara City

Mbarara City vs Express Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 18.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 21.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
18.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
21.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Away / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mbarara City Win 30.9%
Draw 13.6%
Express Win 55.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mbarara City0.86
Express1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mbarara City Mbarara City
WWDLW
19 GF / 38 GA
Express Express
WLDWL
22 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.76
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1
14
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mbarara City Mbarara City 25 matches
Express Express 25 matches
Mbarara City Statistic Express
3 Wins 7
9 Draws 9
13 Losses 9
19 Goals For 22
38 Goals Against 25
0.76 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1
14 BTTS Yes 7
16 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mbarara City won 5 times, Express won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:18 from Mbarara City's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
H2H summary: Mbarara City wins 5, draws 5, Express wins 5

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League