Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Mazatlán Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mazatlán0.82
Toluca1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mazatlán
WWDLW
12 GF / 22 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
43 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
2.05
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
5
BTTS Yes
12
6
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mazatlán
19 matches
Toluca
21 matches
| Mazatlán | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 11 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 4 |
| 12 | Goals For | 43 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 0.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.05 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Mazatlán won 4 times, Toluca won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:31 from Mazatlán's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.77 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Mazatlán 5-4-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Mazatlán wins 4, draws 2, Toluca wins 7
Last matches: Mazatlán
25.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Tigres UANL
1
5
L
23.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Toluca
4
3
W
18.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Necaxa
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
16.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Club America
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Leon
4
2
W
04.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Atletico San Luis
1
4
L
28.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Tijuana
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Atlas
0
1
L
17.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Monterrey
1
5
L
13.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Puebla
1
2
L
10.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
FC Juarez
1
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Necaxa
1
1
D
02.11.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
25.10.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Club America
2
2
D
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
H2H: Mazatlán vs Toluca
23.04.26
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
4
3
W
28.09.25
H2H
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
1
L
25.01.25
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
2
1
W
05.01.25
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
3
L
18.07.24
H2H
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
0
L
20.01.24
H2H
Toluca
Mazatlán
4
1
L
11.11.23
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
0
W
12.03.23
H2H
Toluca
Mazatlán
4
1
L
17.09.22
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
1
D
22.01.22
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
2
L
17.08.21
H2H
Toluca
Mazatlán
2
2
D
07.02.21
H2H
Toluca
Mazatlán
4
1
L
08.08.20
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
2
1
W
Last matches: Mazatlán
23.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Toluca
4
3
W
18.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Leon
4
2
W
28.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
17.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Monterrey
1
5
L
10.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
FC Juarez
1
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Necaxa
1
1
D
25.10.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Club America
2
2
D
22.10.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Santos Laguna
2
2
D
04.10.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
20.09.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Atlas
1
1
D
13.09.25
Lig
Mazatlán
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
4
L
24.08.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Tigres UANL
2
2
D
10.08.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Tijuana
2
2
D
19.07.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Puebla
2
1
W
17.04.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Tijuana
0
2
L
12.04.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
29.03.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Atlas
3
2
W
H2H at home: Mazatlán
23.04.26
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
4
3
W
25.01.25
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
2
1
W
05.01.25
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
3
L
11.11.23
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
0
W
17.09.22
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
1
D
22.01.22
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
2
L
08.08.20
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
2
1
W
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
22.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Puebla
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
12.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
04.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
0
1
L
H2H away: Toluca
23.04.26
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
4
3
L
25.01.25
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
2
1
L
05.01.25
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
3
W
11.11.23
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
0
L
17.09.22
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
1
D
22.01.22
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
2
W
08.08.20
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
2
1
L
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39:12 | 27 | 42 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Away
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 31 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 30 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Mazatlán
Home
|
17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 14 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs