Marseille
Match Timeline
Athletic Club
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
63%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 33.8%
Draw 3.1%
Athletic Club Win 63%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille0.73
Athletic Club3.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille
WWDLW
2 GF / 4 GA
Athletic Club
WLDWL
24 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
4
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.33
1
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Marseille
2 matches
Athletic Club
6 matches
| Marseille | Statistic | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 0 |
| 2 | Goals For | 24 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 4 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 3 times, Athletic Club won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Marseille's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.9%)
Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Athletic Club 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 3, draws 1, Athletic Club wins 1
Lineups
Marseille
Formation
Athletic Club
J. De Lange
L. Balerdi
D. Cornelius
Emerson
T. Weah
P. Hojbjerg
A. Harit
H. Abdelli
A. Gomes
I. Paixao
A. Gouiri
A. Padilla
H. Rincon
Y. Alvarez
A. Paredes
Y. Berchiche
M. Jauregizar
P. Canales
I. Williams
O. Sancet
R. Navarro
G. Guruzeta
Marseille
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
12
J. De Lange
5
L. Balerdi
↓ 64'
13
D. Cornelius
↓ 46'
33
Emerson
↓ 70'
22
T. Weah
↓ 64'
23
P. Hojbjerg
↓ 82'
77
A. Harit
↓ 70'
8
H. Abdelli
↓ 46'
7
A. Gomes
⚽ 10'
↓ 70'
14
I. Paixao
⚽ 40'
↓ 69'
9
A. Gouiri
↓ 46'
Substitutes
92
T. Vermot
40
J. Van Neck
U. Garcia
↑ 70'
4
M. Baradji
↑ 82'
2
K. Bezahaf
↑ 64'
20
A. Koum Mbondo
↑ 70'
N. Maupay
↑ 46'
11
T. Mmadi
⚽ 86'
↑ 69'
6
T. Nnadi
↑ 46'
19
G. Kondogbia
↑ 46'
27
Q. Timber
↑ 64'
K. Abdallah
↑ 70'
Athletic Club
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
27
A. Padilla
32
H. Rincon
↓ 63'
5
Y. Alvarez
↓ 77'
4
A. Paredes
17
Y. Berchiche
↓ 64'
18
M. Jauregizar
↓ 63'
28
P. Canales
↓ 86'
9
I. Williams
↓ 64'
8
O. Sancet
⚽ 34'
↓ 77'
23
R. Navarro
↓ 77'
11
G. Guruzeta
↓ 64'
Substitutes
26
M. Santos
7
A. Berenguer
↑ 64'
12
J. Areso
↑ 63'
16
I. Ruiz de Galarreta
↑ 63'
19
A. Boiro
21
M. Sannadi
↑ 64'
22
N. Serrano
24
B. Prados Diaz
29
B. Gerenabarrena
↑ 77'
30
A. Rego
↑ 77'
31
J. Louis-Jean
↑ 64'
44
S. Sanchez
↑ 86'
47
I. Monreal
49
A. Djalo
↑ 77'
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
Last matches: Athletic Club
27.08.26
La
Athletic Club
Barcelona
0
2
L
22.08.26
La
Athletic Club
Sevilla
1
3
L
14.08.26
Fri
Athletic Club
Atalanta
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Athletic Club
Burgos
3
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Athletic Club
Racing Santander
3
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Athletic Club
Eibar
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Athletic Club
Sestao River
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Athletic Club
Leioa
11
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Athletic Club
Derio
3
0
W
23.05.26
La
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
2
4
L
17.05.26
La
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
1
1
D
13.05.26
La
Athletic Club
Espanyol
0
2
L
10.05.26
La
Athletic Club
Valencia
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Athletic Club
Alaves
4
2
W
25.04.26
La
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
2
3
L
21.04.26
La
Athletic Club
Osasuna
1
0
W
12.04.26
La
Athletic Club
Villarreal
1
2
L
05.04.26
La
Athletic Club
Getafe
0
2
L
22.03.26
La
Athletic Club
Real Betis
2
1
W
14.03.26
La
Athletic Club
Girona
0
3
L
H2H: Marseille vs Athletic Club
09.08.26
H2H
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
15.03.18
H2H
Athletic Club
Marseille
1
2
W
08.03.18
H2H
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
25.02.16
H2H
Athletic Club
Marseille
1
1
D
18.02.16
H2H
Marseille
Athletic Club
0
1
L
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Lens
3
1
W
21.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Liverpool
0
3
L
04.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
25.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Newcastle
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
3
0
W
H2H at home: Marseille
09.08.26
H2H
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
08.03.18
H2H
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
18.02.16
H2H
Marseille
Athletic Club
0
1
L
Last matches: Athletic Club
27.08.26
La
Athletic Club
Barcelona
0
2
L
14.08.26
Fri
Athletic Club
Atalanta
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Athletic Club
Burgos
3
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Athletic Club
Racing Santander
3
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Athletic Club
Sestao River
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Athletic Club
Leioa
11
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Athletic Club
Derio
3
0
W
23.05.26
La
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
2
4
L
13.05.26
La
Athletic Club
Espanyol
0
2
L
02.05.26
La
Athletic Club
Alaves
4
2
W
25.04.26
La
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
2
3
L
05.04.26
La
Athletic Club
Getafe
0
2
L
14.03.26
La
Athletic Club
Girona
0
3
L
04.03.26
Cop
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
0
1
L
28.02.26
La
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
15.02.26
La
Athletic Club
Oviedo
2
1
W
04.02.26
Cop
Athletic Club
Valencia
2
1
W
24.01.26
La
Athletic Club
Sevilla
1
2
L
21.01.26
UEF
Athletic Club
Atalanta
3
2
W
17.01.26
La
Athletic Club
Mallorca
2
3
L
H2H away: Athletic Club
09.08.26
H2H
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
L
08.03.18
H2H
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
L
18.02.16
H2H
Marseille
Athletic Club
0
1
W