BRAZIL › SERIE C

03.05.2026 22:00

Maringá

4 - 2

AO Itabaiana

Referee: A. C. Pequeno Frutuoso

Maringá

Match Timeline

AO Itabaiana

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Maringá vs AO Itabaiana Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home or Draw

Probability 90.9%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS No

Probability 20%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 19.5%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home or Draw	90.9%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS No	20%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	19.5%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	87.7%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-0	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Maringá Win 50%

Draw 40.9%

AO Itabaiana Win 9.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

Maringá2.15

AO Itabaiana1.45

Recent Form (Last 5)

Maringá

WWDLW

9 GF / 10 GA

AO Itabaiana

WLDWL

3 GF / 8 GA

Key Stats

2.25

Average Goals Scored

0.75

2.5

Average Goals Conceded

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maringá 4 matches

AO Itabaiana 4 matches

Maringá	Statistic	AO Itabaiana
2	Wins	0
0	Draws	1
2	Losses	3
9	Goals For	3
10	Goals Against	8
2.25	Avg Goals Scored	0.75
2.5	Avg Goals Conceded	2
4	BTTS Yes	3
4	Over 1.5	3
4	Over 2.5	2
4	Over 3.5	1
0	Clean Sheets	0
0	Failed To Score	1
0	Shots On Goal	0
0	Total Shots	0
0	Corners	0
0%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Maringá won 1 times, AO Itabaiana won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Maringá's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw

BTTS: BTTS No

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 1X (90.9%)

H2H summary: Maringá wins 1, draws 1, AO Itabaiana wins 0

Standings

Serie C

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Botafogo PB	19	10	3	6	28:19	9	33	W W D D W
2	Brusque	19	9	5	5	28:22	6	32	D D W L W
3	Ferroviária	19	8	6	5	22:15	7	30	W L W D D
4	Maringá Home	19	8	6	5	32:30	2	30	W W D L D
5	Floresta	19	8	6	5	22:20	2	30	W W W L D
6	Inter De Limeira	19	8	6	5	22:20	2	30	D D L W L
7	Paysandu	19	9	2	8	26:27	-1	29	L W L W L
8	Santa Cruz	19	8	5	6	20:15	5	29	D W L D L
9	Ypiranga-RS	19	8	5	6	27:24	3	29	D W D W W
10	Guarani Campinas	19	7	7	5	34:24	10	28	D L D L W
11	Figueirense	19	7	7	5	19:22	-3	28	W D W D W
12	Maranhão	19	7	6	6	19:18	1	27	L W W W D
13	Amazonas	19	7	5	7	21:23	-2	26	D D D W W
14	Caxias	19	6	7	6	17:16	1	25	D L L W L
15	Ituano	19	6	4	9	18:21	-3	22	L L L W L
16	Volta Redonda	19	6	3	10	13:25	-12	21	L L W L L
17	Barra	19	5	6	8	21:21	0	21	W L W L L
18	Anápolis	19	5	4	10	17:22	-5	19	D W L W W
19	AO Itabaiana Away	19	4	5	10	14:27	-13	17	L L L L D
20	Confiança	19	3	4	12	11:20	-9	13	L L D L D

Play-offs

Relegation