ECUADOR LIGA PRO
02.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: A. Aragon
Macara
Match Timeline
Manta FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
augustin campana · Assist: Jean Estacio
Macara
🔄
27'
Jean Estacio ↔ Carlos Caicedo
Macara
43'
Jostin Alman · Assist: Robert Burbano
Manta FC
🟨
45+5'
Jeremy Mina
Manta FC
🔄
45'
T. Chamba ↔ Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar
Macara
🔄
45'
Jefferson Nazareno ↔ Josué Martin Chala Alomia
Manta FC
🟨
48'
Carlos Caicedo
Macara
VAR
53'
Jostin Alman
Manta FC
55'
Jean Carlos Blanco Becerra
Manta FC
61'
Franco Posse
Macara
61'
Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar
Macara
🔄
64'
Jeremy Mina ↔ Jefferson Troya
Manta FC
🔄
64'
Jean Carlos Blanco Becerra ↔ Ángel Ledesma
Manta FC
🔄
67'
M. Viera ↔ J. Klinger
Macara
🔄
72'
Robert Burbano ↔ M. Valencia
Manta FC
🔄
73'
Jostin Alman ↔ Walter Chalá
Manta FC
80'
S. Etchebarne · Assist: Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar
Macara
🟨
83'
S. Etchebarne
Macara
85'
Ángel Ledesma
Manta FC
🔄
86'
Marlon Medranda ↔ Jose Marrufo
Macara
🔄
86'
Franco Posse ↔ Nestor David Caicedo Mina
Macara
89'
S. Etchebarne · Assist: Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar
Macara

Macara vs Manta FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.5%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.04
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.5%
1.50
BTTS Yes
75.1%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.04
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.3%
1.26
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Macara Win 85.5%
Draw 4.2%
Manta FC Win 10.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Macara1.32
Manta FC0.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Macara Macara
WWDLW
37 GF / 31 GA
Manta FC Manta FC
WLDWL
14 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
0.52
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
15
BTTS Yes
8
15
Over 2.5
7
4.63
Shots on Goal
2.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Macara Macara 29 matches
Manta FC Manta FC 27 matches
Macara Statistic Manta FC
13 Wins 5
6 Draws 5
10 Losses 17
37 Goals For 14
31 Goals Against 37
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 0.52
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
15 BTTS Yes 8
22 Over 1.5 14
15 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 16
4.63 Shots On Goal 2.81
12.67 Total Shots 9.81
4.59 Corners 4.3
48% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Macara's more proactive style and Manta FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Manta FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Macara expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Manta FC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Manta FC having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Manta FC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Macara arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 42 points compared to Manta FC in 16 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Macara Analysis

Macara approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 42 points after 26 outings. The return of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 33:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Franco Posse (9 goals), Agustin Campana (4 goals), Federico Paz (3 goals), with creative support from Franco Posse (3 assists), Matías Miranda (3 assists), Jose Klinger (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Manta FC Analysis

Manta FC sit 16 with 17 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 12:37, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through José Angulo (3 goals), Jean Carlos Blanco (2 goals), Jostin Alman (1 goals), with creative support from Braian Ramírez (2 assists), Jean Carlos Blanco (1 assists), Jostin Alman (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Macara won 7 times, Manta FC won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:20 from Macara's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Macara 4-1-4-1 / Manta FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Macara wins 7, draws 3, Manta FC wins 5

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
L W W D D
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W W L W W
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
L D D D W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
W D W D L
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
W L W D L
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
D L D W L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
D W L L W
10 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
D L D D W
11 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 36
L L W D W
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D D L W L
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
D W L L W
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D D L W L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs