Burnley
Match Timeline
Middlesbrough
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
62.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Burnley Win 37.7%
Draw 24.9%
Middlesbrough Win 37.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burnley1.4
Middlesbrough2.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burnley
WWDLW
10 GF / 22 GA
Middlesbrough
WLDWL
11 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.83
2.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
8
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
5
4.33
Shots on Goal
5.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Burnley
9 matches
Middlesbrough
6 matches
| Burnley | Statistic | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 6 | Losses | 2 |
| 10 | Goals For | 11 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.83 |
| 2.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.83 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 5.33 |
| 15 | Total Shots | 20 |
| 5 | Corners | 7.33 |
| 52.7% | Ball Possession | 64.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Burnley won 5 times, Middlesbrough won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Burnley's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.2%)
Predicted formations: Burnley 4-3-2-1 / Middlesbrough 4-3-3
Missing players: Burnley 9, Middlesbrough 3
H2H summary: Burnley wins 5, draws 5, Middlesbrough wins 5
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
Away
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 16 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 14 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 14 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 10 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 10 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 |
Burnley
Home
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 7 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
| 23 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One