Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Burnley Win 0%
Draw 0%
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burnley1.53
Middlesbrough1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burnley
WWDLW
6 GF / 13 GA
Middlesbrough
WLDWL
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.67
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
5
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Burnley
6 matches
Middlesbrough
3 matches
| Burnley | Statistic | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 0 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 1 |
| 6 | Goals For | 5 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 2.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.33 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Burnley won 5 times, Middlesbrough won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Burnley's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Burnley - / Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Burnley wins 5, draws 5, Middlesbrough wins 5
Last matches: Burnley
02.08.26
Fri
Burnley
Torino
0
1
L
29.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Espanyol
2
2
D
26.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Ajax
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
1
4
L
12.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
1
3
L
24.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
1
3
L
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
11.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
11.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
3
2
W
Last matches: Middlesbrough
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
H2H: Burnley vs Middlesbrough
29.12.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
0
0
D
06.12.24
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
07.04.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
2
W
17.12.22
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
3
1
W
08.04.17
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
0
0
D
26.12.16
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
19.04.16
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
09.01.16
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
2
W
15.12.15
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
0
L
12.04.14
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
0
1
L
26.12.13
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
1
0
L
19.02.13
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
21.08.12
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
3
2
L
14.01.12
H2H
Middlesbrough
Burnley
0
2
W
10.09.11
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
0
2
L
Last matches: Burnley
02.08.26
Fri
Burnley
Torino
0
1
L
29.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Espanyol
2
2
D
24.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
0
2
L
24.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Tottenham
2
2
D
10.01.26
FA
Burnley
Millwall
5
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester United
2
2
D
30.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Newcastle
1
3
L
27.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
0
D
13.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
2
3
L
03.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
2
L
18.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
2
0
W
H2H at home: Burnley
06.12.24
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
17.12.22
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
3
1
W
26.12.16
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
19.04.16
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
12.04.14
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
0
1
L
19.02.13
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
10.09.11
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
0
2
L
Last matches: Middlesbrough
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
16.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
1
3
L
09.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
21.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
1
W
16.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
West Brom
3
2
W
10.01.26
FA
Middlesbrough
Fulham
1
3
L
01.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Derby
0
1
L
20.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
0
2
L
09.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
2
1
W
05.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
4
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
1
1
D
04.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
H2H away: Middlesbrough
06.12.24
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
17.12.22
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
3
1
L
26.12.16
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
19.04.16
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
12.04.14
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
0
1
W
19.02.13
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
10.09.11
H2H
Burnley
Middlesbrough
0
2
W
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 |
Middlesbrough
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 |
Burnley
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One