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TURKEY › 1. LIG
26.10.2026 17:00

Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Mardin 1969 Win 65.8%
Draw 4.8%
Manisa F.K. Win 29.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mardin 19691.43
Manisa F.K.1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mardin 1969 Mardin 1969
WWDLW
14 GF / 11 GA
Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K.
WLDWL
18 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.64
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
4
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
7
3.27
Shots on Goal
3.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mardin 1969 Mardin 1969 12 matches
Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K. 11 matches
Mardin 1969 Statistic Manisa F.K.
5 Wins 2
3 Draws 4
4 Losses 5
14 Goals For 18
11 Goals Against 20
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
4 BTTS Yes 9
6 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 2
3.27 Shots On Goal 3.91
11.18 Total Shots 13.45
4.82 Corners 4.18
41.4% Ball Possession 52.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Mardin 1969's more proactive style and Manisa F.K.'s more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Mardin 1969 arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 18 points compared to Manisa F.K. in 14 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Manisa F.K.. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mardin 1969 expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Manisa F.K. in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Manisa F.K. having the stronger overall control. Manisa F.K. arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Mardin 1969 Analysis

Mardin 1969 come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 18 points after 10 matches. The return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 12:6, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through O. Kayode (3 goals), Z. Dimitrov (3 goals), T. Teklić (3 goals), with creative support from O. Kayode (2 assists), Z. Dimitrov (1 assists), E. Taşdemir (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Manisa F.K. Analysis

With 10 points from 10 games and a place of 14, Manisa F.K. still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 15:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Anziani (3 goals), C. Sylla (2 goals), A. Çankaya (1 goals), with creative support from C. Sylla (1 assists), A. Çankaya (1 assists), K. Yurdakul (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Mardin 1969 4-4-2 / Manisa F.K. 4-1-4-1

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 2 1 24:7 17 26
D W W W W
2 11 7 2 2 15:8 7 23
W D W D W
3 10 7 1 2 20:9 11 22
W L W D W
4 11 6 2 3 22:19 3 20
D W L L L
5 10 5 3 2 12:6 6 18
W W L L W
6 11 6 0 5 17:17 0 18
W L W W W
7 10 4 5 1 19:10 9 17
D W D D W
8 11 4 4 3 14:15 -1 16
D L D W D
9 11 3 5 3 16:8 8 14
L D W L D
10 11 3 5 3 13:10 3 14
W W L D W
11 11 2 7 2 15:14 1 13
D D W D D
12 10 3 4 3 13:13 0 13
L D W D L
13 10 2 6 2 9:11 -2 12
L D D D D
14 10 2 4 4 15:16 -1 10
D L L D L
15 10 2 4 4 9:10 -1 10
W D W L
16 10 2 4 4 12:19 -7 10
L L D D W
17 10 1 6 3 6:11 -5 9
D W L D L
18 11 2 3 6 10:22 -12 7
L W L L D
19 11 1 2 8 9:26 -17 5
L L L W L
20 10 0 1 9 3:22 -19 1
L L L D
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation