ECUADOR LIGA PRO
30.08.2026 00:00
Estadio Jocay
Referee: A. Cajas
Manta FC
Match Timeline
Barcelona SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
J. Verges · Assist: J. Troya
Manta FC
🟨
19'
J. Nazareno
Manta FC
🟨
25'
B. Castillo
Barcelona SC
VAR
28'
A. Ledesma
Manta FC
🟨
40'
O. Moscarelli
Manta FC
🟨
43'
T. Rodriguez
Barcelona SC
🟨
43'
A. Medina
Manta FC
🔄
46'
E. Mendoza ↔ L. Cano
Barcelona SC
🔄
46'
J. Perlaza ↔ R. Perlaza
Barcelona SC
🔄
54'
J. Verges ↔ M. Valencia
Manta FC
🔄
54'
A. Ledesma ↔ J. Angulo
Manta FC
🔄
65'
J. Chala ↔ G. Mina
Manta FC
🔄
67'
B. Castillo ↔ M. Mejia
Barcelona SC
🔄
67'
T. Martinez ↔ S. Diaz
Barcelona SC
72'
J. Angulo
Manta FC
🔄
74'
J. Alman ↔ J. Nazareno
Manta FC
🔄
74'
J. Nazareno ↔ J. Rialpe
Manta FC
🔄
80'
J. Wila ↔ W. Vargas
Barcelona SC
🟨
90+3'
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
Barcelona SC

Manta FC vs Barcelona SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.97
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.26
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.6%
1.97
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.26
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.5%
1.25
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Manta FC Win 14.2%
Draw 26.2%
Barcelona SC Win 59.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manta FC0.66
Barcelona SC1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manta FC Manta FC
WWDLW
12 GF / 37 GA
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
WLDWL
38 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.46
Average Goals Scored
0.95
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
8
BTTS Yes
16
7
Over 2.5
14
2.77
Shots on Goal
3.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manta FC Manta FC 26 matches
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 40 matches
Manta FC Statistic Barcelona SC
4 Wins 15
5 Draws 11
17 Losses 14
12 Goals For 38
37 Goals Against 38
0.46 Avg Goals Scored 0.95
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
8 BTTS Yes 16
13 Over 1.5 23
7 Over 2.5 14
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 15
16 Failed To Score 13
2.77 Shots On Goal 3.44
9.73 Total Shots 12.28
4.38 Corners 3.92
46.8% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Barcelona SC's more proactive style and Manta FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Manta FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Barcelona SC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Barcelona SC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 39 points while Manta FC sit 16 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Manta FC Analysis

Manta FC sit 16 with 17 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 12:37, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through José Angulo (3 goals), Jean Carlos Blanco (2 goals), Jostin Alman (1 goals), with creative support from Braian Ramírez (2 assists), Jean Carlos Blanco (1 assists), Jostin Alman (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barcelona SC Analysis

Barcelona SC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 39 points after 26 matches. The record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 28:20 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Darío Benedetto (4 goals), Jhonny Quiñónez (2 goals), Milton Celiz (2 goals), with creative support from Tomás Martínez (2 assists), Darío Benedetto (1 assists), Jhonny Quiñónez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Manta FC won 2 times, Barcelona SC won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:26 from Manta FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: Manta FC 4-4-2 / Barcelona SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Manta FC wins 2, draws 3, Barcelona SC wins 9

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
L W W D D
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W W L W W
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
L D D D W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
W D W D L
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
W L W D L
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
D L D W L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
D W L L W
10 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
D L D D W
11 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 36
L L W D W
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D D L W L
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
D W L L W
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D D L W L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs