ECUADOR LIGA PRO
12.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Jocay
Manta FC
Match Timeline
Aucas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
13'
J. Vergés
Manta FC
🟨
45+5'
Juan Jimenez
Manta FC
🔄
62'
Cristhoper Zambrano ↔ Maverick Vera
Aucas
🔄
63'
José Monaga ↔ Feyiseitan Asagidigbi
Manta FC
🔄
63'
Luis Gustavino ↔ Luis Arroyo
Aucas
🔄
63'
José Andrade ↔ Andres Mena
Aucas
🔄
71'
J. Vergés ↔ Robert Burbano
Manta FC
🔄
75'
Piero Andrés Guzmán Arrobo ↔ B. Oyola
Aucas
🔄
75'
Rafael Monti Azpiazú ↔ Alexander Bolaños
Aucas
🔄
75'
Jostin Alman ↔ Jean Carlos Blanco Becerra
Manta FC
🔄
75'
Ángel Ledesma ↔ Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedo
Manta FC
🟨
78'
Thiago Serpa
Aucas
🟨
90+4'
Jeremy Mina
Manta FC

Manta FC vs Aucas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.5%
Odds 2.20
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 2.56
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.5%
2.20
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
2.56
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.1%
1.22
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Manta FC Win 20%
Draw 4.4%
Aucas Win 75.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manta FC0.73
Aucas1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manta FC Manta FC
WWDLW
17 GF / 42 GA
Aucas Aucas
WLDWL
34 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.59
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
9
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
10
2.83
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manta FC Manta FC 29 matches
Aucas Aucas 31 matches
Manta FC Statistic Aucas
5 Wins 15
5 Draws 7
19 Losses 9
17 Goals For 34
42 Goals Against 29
0.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
9 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 14
17 Failed To Score 8
2.83 Shots On Goal 4.17
9.86 Total Shots 11.9
4.21 Corners 4.76
46.2% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Aucas's more proactive style and Manta FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aucas. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Manta FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Aucas in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aucas having the stronger overall control. Aucas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 48 points while Manta FC sit 16 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Manta FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Manta FC Analysis

Manta FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 20 points from 28 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 17:41 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on José Enrique Angulo Caicedo (4 goals), J. Blanco (3 goals), J. Alman (2 goals), with creative support from B. Ramírez (2 assists), Jefferson Alberto Troya Vera (2 assists), R. Burbano (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aucas Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 48 points from 28 games, Aucas bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 14 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 32:27, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Bruno Miranda (5 goals), R. Quiñónez (4 goals), A. Preciado (3 goals), with creative support from A. Preciado (3 assists), P. Guzmán (3 assists), Andrés David Mena Montenegro (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Manta FC won 0 times, Aucas won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:14 from Manta FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Manta FC 4-4-2 / Aucas 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Manta FC wins 0, draws 6, Aucas wins 3

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4
Aucas Away
30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
11 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 36
L W D W L
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs