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20.10.2026 19:00
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.09
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.30
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.3%
1.09 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.30 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.79 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.36 ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
6.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 64.3%
Draw 3.5%
AEK Athens FC Win 32.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City1.78
AEK Athens FC1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City Manchester City
WWDLW
30 GF / 14 GA
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
WLDWL
37 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
2.18
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
8
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
12
6.22
Shots on Goal
5.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester City Manchester City 12 matches
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 17 matches
Manchester City Statistic AEK Athens FC
10 Wins 11
1 Draws 4
1 Losses 2
30 Goals For 37
14 Goals Against 12
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.18
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
8 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 9
0 Failed To Score 2
6.22 Shots On Goal 5.3
16.56 Total Shots 16.6
6.11 Corners 4.5
63.3% Ball Possession 55.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-2-3-1 / AEK Athens FC 4-4-2

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 10:3 7 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 9:2 7 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 9:2 7 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 6:1 5 6
W W
5 2 2 0 0 8:4 4 6
W W
6 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
7 2 2 0 0 4:0 4 6
W W
8 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
9 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
10 2 1 1 0 8:3 5 4
D W
11 2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
W D
12 2 1 0 1 6:4 2 3
L W
13 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
14 2 1 0 1 5:4 1 3
W L
15 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
W L
16 2 1 0 1 6:6 0 3
W L
17 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
L W
18 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
L W
19 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
L W
20 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
L W
21 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
22 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
23 2 1 0 1 4:7 -3 3
W L
24 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
W L
25 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
L D
26 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
27 2 0 1 1 4:6 -2 1
D L
28 2 0 1 1 1:7 -6 1
L D
29 2 0 0 2 4:6 -2 0
L L
30 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
31 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
32 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
L L
33 2 0 0 2 3:7 -4 0
L L
34 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
L L
35 2 0 0 2 2:7 -5 0
L L
36 2 0 0 2 1:9 -8 0
L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)