ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio La Cocha
Referee: Gabriel Ismael Gonzalez Cordero, Ecuador
Macara
Match Timeline
Guayaquil City FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
10'
J. J. Ayovi Caicedo
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
15'
G. Napa
Guayaquil City FC
35'
F. Posse
Macara
🟥
39'
M. Miranda
Macara
🟨
45+10'
E. P. Ladines Calvache
Guayaquil City FC
45+2'
E. Mero · Assist: R. Arias
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
58'
P. Gonzalez
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
58'
J. Estacio
Macara
61'
A. I. Campana · Assist: J. Estacio
Macara
🔄
63'
E. P. Ladines Calvache ↔ R. Caicedo
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
63'
J. Klinger ↔ M. Ayala
Macara
🟨
68'
D. Arroyo
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
78'
A. I. Campana ↔ J. Chala
Macara
🔄
78'
J. Estacio ↔ C. Caicedo
Macara
🔄
79'
P. Gonzalez ↔ A. Naula
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
79'
M. Bolanos ↔ D. Dorregaray
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
79'
J. Quinonez ↔ E. Cabezas
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
85'
J. Mohor ↔ J. Jimenez
Macara
🔄
85'
S. Laurino ↔ P. Mancilla
Guayaquil City FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.29
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.5%
1.53
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.29
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69%
1.46
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Macara Win 70.5%
Draw 6.3%
Guayaquil City FC Win 23.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Macara1.18
Guayaquil City FC0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Macara Macara
WWDLW
30 GF / 26 GA
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
WLDWL
22 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
11
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
8
4.36
Shots on Goal
3.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Macara Macara 24 matches
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 25 matches
Macara Statistic Guayaquil City FC
10 Wins 8
5 Draws 7
9 Losses 10
30 Goals For 22
26 Goals Against 27
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
11 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 9
4.36 Shots On Goal 3.14
12.09 Total Shots 8.09
4.68 Corners 2.95
48.6% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Macara's more proactive style and Guayaquil City FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Macara come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Macara expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Guayaquil City FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Guayaquil City FC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guayaquil City FC.

Macara Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 32 points from 21 games, Macara bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 9 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 24:21, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Franco Posse (6 goals), Federico Paz (3 goals), Luca Ferro (2 goals), with creative support from Matías Miranda (3 assists), Jose Klinger (3 assists), Federico Paz (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

So far, Guayaquil City FC have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 27 points from 21 matches. The record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 19:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Edinson Mero (7 goals), Damián Díaz (4 goals), Pablo González (3 goals), with creative support from Junior Ayovi (4 assists), Edinson Mero (2 assists), Damián Díaz (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Macara won 6 times, Guayaquil City FC won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Macara's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: Macara 4-1-4-1 / Guayaquil City FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Macara wins 6, draws 4, Guayaquil City FC wins 5
Stats
Macara Macara
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
7 Corner Kicks 0
16 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Goal 2
11 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 1
13 Shots insidebox 1
8 Shots outsidebox 7
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
422 Total passes 362
370 Passes accurate 297
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Macara
Formation
Guayaquil City FC
Rodrigo Rodríguez
Rodrigo Rodríguez
Denilson Bolaños
Denilson Bolaños
Santiago Etchebarne
Santiago Etchebarne
Marlon Medranda
Marlon Medranda
Jordán Mohor
Jordán Mohor
Jose Cazares
Jose Cazares
Jean Carlos Estacio
🎯
Jean Carlos Estacio
Agustin Campana
Agustin Campana
Matías Miranda
Matías Miranda
Jose Klinger
Jose Klinger
Franco Posse
Franco Posse
Gilmar Napa
Gilmar Napa
Junior Ayovi
Junior Ayovi
Yardely Rodriguez
Yardely Rodriguez
Joshue Quinonez
Joshue Quinonez
Erick Ladines
Erick Ladines
Roger Arias
🎯
Roger Arias
Miller Bolaños
Miller Bolaños
Dixon Arroyo
Dixon Arroyo
Santiago Laurino
Santiago Laurino
Pablo González
Pablo González
Edinson Mero
Edinson Mero
Macara 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Rodrigo Rodríguez
G
25
Denilson Bolaños
D
21
Santiago Etchebarne
D
26
Marlon Medranda
D
27
Jordán Mohor
↓ 85'
D
16
Jose Cazares
M
5
Jean Carlos Estacio
🎯 61' ↓ 78' 🟨 58'
M
28
Agustin Campana
⚽ 61' ↓ 78'
M
10
Matías Miranda
🟥 39'
M
87
Jose Klinger
↓ 63'
M
9
Franco Posse
⚽ 35'
F
Substitutes
13
Luis Ayala
↑ 63'
D
50
Carlos Caicedo
↑ 78'
M
77
Jeison Chalá
↑ 78'
F
4
John Jiménez
↑ 85'
D
12
Darwin Cuero
G
14
José Luis Marrufo
D
3
Juan Espinoza
D
30
Tommy Chamba
M
18
Matias Cabeza
F
22
Luca Ferro
F
19
Patricio Ramos
F
52
Bruss Coello
M
Guayaquil City FC 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
Gilmar Napa
🟨 15'
G
17
Junior Ayovi
D
3
Yardely Rodriguez
D
29
Joshue Quinonez
↓ 79'
D
4
Erick Ladines
D
6
Roger Arias
🎯 45+2'
D
23
Miller Bolaños
↓ 79'
M
14
Dixon Arroyo
🟨 68'
M
20
Santiago Laurino
↓ 85'
M
80
Pablo González
↓ 79' 🟨 58'
M
11
Edinson Mero
⚽ 45+2'
F
Substitutes
33
Romario Caicedo
↑ 63'
D
51
Esnaider Cabezas
↑ 79'
D
19
Anderson Naula
↑ 79'
M
21
Diego Dorregaray
↑ 79'
F
70
Pablo Mancilla
↑ 85'
D
12
Rodrigo Perea
G
50
Frank Rivadeneira
M
15
Kevin Sambonino
M
9
Manuel Palma
F
Last matches: Macara
26.07.26
Lig
Macara
Aucas
4
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
3
0
W
18.07.26
Lig
Macara
Delfin SC
1
2
L
14.07.26
Lig
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
11.07.26
Lig
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
05.07.26
Lig
Macara
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
01.06.26
Lig
Macara
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
24.05.26
Lig
Macara
Emelec
0
2
L
16.05.26
Lig
Macara
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
10.05.26
Lig
Macara
Manta FC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Macara
Orense SC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Macara
Libertad
3
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Macara
Universidad Catolica
0
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Macara
Barcelona SC
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
1
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Macara
Aucas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
18.03.26
Lig
Macara
Delfin SC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
Last matches: Guayaquil City FC
27.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
0
0
D
23.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
19.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
1
0
W
16.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
11.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
08.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
0
1
L
31.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
2
4
L
23.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
19.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Orense SC
0
1
L
09.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
21.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
1
4
L
23.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
0
0
D
18.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
H2H: Macara vs Guayaquil City FC
12.04.26
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
2
1
L
06.08.22
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
0
0
D
20.03.22
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
W
24.07.21
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
0
2
L
20.02.21
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
3
1
L
02.11.20
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
08.03.20
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
1
1
D
09.07.19
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
W
09.02.19
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
1
1
D
27.05.18
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
0
2
W
10.04.18
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
W
13.05.17
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
08.04.17
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
3
0
L
12.10.14
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
3
0
W
10.09.14
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
2
0
L
Last matches: Macara
22.07.26
Lig
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
3
0
W
14.07.26
Lig
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
05.07.26
Lig
Macara
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
16.05.26
Lig
Macara
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Macara
Orense SC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Macara
Libertad
3
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Macara
Barcelona SC
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Macara
Aucas
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Macara
Delfin SC
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Macara
Leones del Norte
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
H2H at home: Macara
20.03.22
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
W
24.07.21
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
0
2
L
02.11.20
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
09.07.19
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
W
10.04.18
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
W
13.05.17
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
12.10.14
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
3
0
W
Last matches: Guayaquil City FC
23.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
16.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
08.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
0
1
L
23.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
02.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
21.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
3
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
1
4
L
18.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
01.02.26
Fri
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
H2H away: Guayaquil City FC
20.03.22
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
L
24.07.21
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
0
2
W
02.11.20
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
09.07.19
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
L
10.04.18
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
L
13.05.17
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
L
12.10.14
H2H
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
3
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.97
Draw 3.88
Home 1.53
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.49
Draw 2.22
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.41
Over 1.75 1.52
Over 2.0 1.70
Over 2.25 2.00
Over 2.5 2.29
Over 2.75 2.68
Over 3.5 4.18
Under 1.5 2.89
Under 1.75 2.54
Under 2.0 2.18
Under 2.25 1.84
Under 2.5 1.64
Under 2.75 1.48
Under 3.5 1.23
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 3.75
Home 1.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 2.20
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.40
Home 1.91
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.5 2.25
Over 3.5 4.00
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 21.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.5 1.62
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.38
Draw 3.82
Home 1.54
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.80
Draw 2.07
Home 2.06
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.95
Draw 2.43
Home 1.86
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 0.75 1.05
Over 1.0 1.07
Over 1.25 1.23
Over 1.5 1.38
Over 1.75 1.48
Over 2.0 1.64
Over 2.25 1.94
Over 2.5 2.19
Over 2.75 2.54
Over 3.0 3.20
Over 3.25 3.54
Over 3.5 3.94
Over 3.75 4.92
Over 4.0 6.89
Over 4.25 7.20
Over 4.5 7.50
Over 5.5 16.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 7.30
Under 0.75 6.65
Under 1.0 6.07
Under 1.25 3.52
Under 1.5 2.73
Under 1.75 2.42
Under 2.0 2.10
Under 2.25 1.80
Under 2.5 1.63
Under 2.75 1.45
Under 3.0 1.29
Under 3.25 1.23
Under 3.5 1.19
Under 3.75 1.11
Under 4.0 1.05
Under 4.25 1.03
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 3.65
Home 1.53
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.10
Over 3.5 3.80
Under 1.5 2.85
Under 2.5 1.62
Under 3.5 1.21

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 19 1 3 56:22 34 58
W W W W W
2 23 11 6 6 38:19 19 39
W D W W W
3 23 11 5 7 30:23 7 38
W W W L W
4 23 11 5 7 26:25 1 38
W L L W L
5 22 9 7 6 23:17 6 34
L L W D D
6 22 9 5 8 21:17 4 32
W D L L D
7 22 8 7 7 23:21 2 31
W D W D W
8 23 9 4 10 21:28 -7 31
L W L L D
9 23 8 6 9 24:26 -2 30
W W W L W
10 23 7 7 9 29:34 -5 28
W L D W L
11 23 7 7 9 20:25 -5 28
L D D W D
12 23 7 5 11 27:35 -8 26
L L W L L
13 23 8 2 13 20:29 -9 26
L W L L L
14 23 7 7 9 19:28 -9 25
L L D L W
15 22 6 5 11 13:21 -8 23
L L W W L
16 23 3 5 15 9:29 -20 14
L L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs