FRANCE LIGUE 1
29.08.2026 18:45
Groupama Stadium
Referee: François Letexier, France
Lyon
Match Timeline
Le Havre
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
41'
Ayumu Seko
Le Havre
🔄
61'
Kaïl Boudache ↔ Malick Fofana
Lyon
🔄
62'
Mads Bidstrup ↔ Noah Nartey
Lyon
🔄
65'
Kaito Mizuta ↔ Josh Maja
Le Havre
🔄
65'
Djibril Ouziad ↔ Fodé Doucouré
Le Havre
VAR
67'
Corentin Tolisso
Lyon
74'
Ally Samatta · Assist: Fodé Doucouré
Le Havre
🔄
76'
Simon Ebonog ↔ Sota Nakamura
Le Havre
🔄
76'
Timothee Pembele ↔ Enzo Koffi
Le Havre
🔄
80'
Nicolás Tagliafico ↔ Abner Vinícius
Lyon
🔄
80'
Ernest Nuamah ↔ Pavel Šulc
Lyon
87'
Loïs Openda · Assist: Zachary Athekame
Lyon
🟨
90+6'
Fodé Doucouré
Le Havre
VAR
90+4'
Sota Nakamura
Le Havre
🔄
90'
Ally Samatta ↔ Vincent Sasso
Le Havre

Lyon vs Le Havre Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.51
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.79
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.2%
1.51
BTTS Yes
75%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.79
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.22
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Lyon Win 65.2%
Draw 4%
Le Havre Win 30.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lyon1.77
Le Havre1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lyon Lyon
WWDLW
23 GF / 17 GA
Le Havre Le Havre
WLDWL
7 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.09
Average Goals Scored
1
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
6
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
3
5.8
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lyon Lyon 11 matches
Le Havre Le Havre 7 matches
Lyon Statistic Le Havre
6 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
4 Losses 4
23 Goals For 7
17 Goals Against 9
2.09 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
6 BTTS Yes 4
11 Over 1.5 4
7 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
5.8 Shots On Goal 4
14 Total Shots 15
5.2 Corners 7
52.6% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Lyon won 3 times, Le Havre won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:5 from Lyon's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Lyon 4-2-3-1 / Le Havre 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Lyon 4, Le Havre 3
H2H summary: Lyon wins 3, draws 2, Le Havre wins 1

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2
Lyon Home
5 3 2 0 10:2 8 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
8 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
10 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
11 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
12 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
14 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
15 5 1 1 3 9:9 0 4
L D L L W
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
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Relegation