Luton
Match Timeline
Port Vale
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Luton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Port Vale Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luton1.24
Port Vale1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luton
WWDLW
28 GF / 28 GA
Port Vale
WLDWL
17 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
0.85
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
9
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
7
3.62
Shots on Goal
3.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Luton
21 matches
Port Vale
20 matches
| Luton | Statistic | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 10 |
| 28 | Goals For | 17 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.85 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.62 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 11.62 | Total Shots | 12.75 |
| 6.33 | Corners | 5.15 |
| 54.8% | Ball Possession | 45.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Luton won 1 times, Port Vale won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Luton's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Luton 4-2-3-1 / Port Vale 4-4-2
H2H summary: Luton wins 1, draws 2, Port Vale wins 1
Stats
Luton
Port Vale
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
2
2
Blocked Shots
4
4
Lineups
Luton
Formation
Port Vale
J. Keeley
N. Lonwijk
T. Mengi
M. Andersen
K. Naismith
L. Walsh
G. Saville
M. Alli
G. Kodua
C. Bramall
J. Brown
B. Amos
Kyle John
B. Heneghan
C. Hall
J. Headley
G. Hall
F. Ojo
G. Byers
B. Waine
D. Cole
R. Paton
Luton
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
G
17
N. Lonwijk
D
↓ 71'
15
T. Mengi
D
5
M. Andersen
D
⚽ 70'
3
K. Naismith
D
8
L. Walsh
M
🎯 70'
↓ 86'
23
G. Saville
M
↓ 62'
7
M. Alli
M
↓ 46'
30
G. Kodua
M
33
C. Bramall
M
⚽ 26'
19
J. Brown
F
↓ 62'
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
14
S. Morris
F
↑ 46'
18
J. Clark
M
↑ 62'
🟨 65'
20
L. Nordas
F
↑ 86'
21
N. Wells
F
↑ 62'
22
L. Fanne
M
↑ 71'
28
C. Makosso
D
Port Vale
4-4-2
Starting XI
13
B. Amos
G
24
Kyle John
D
↓ 85'
4
B. Heneghan
D
🟨 15'
5
C. Hall
D
3
J. Headley
D
33
G. Hall
M
↓ 76'
14
F. Ojo
M
↓ 34'
7
G. Byers
M
🟨 77'
19
B. Waine
M
⚽ 42'
↓ 85'
44
D. Cole
F
⚽ 54'
17
R. Paton
F
🎯 42'
↓ 76'
Substitutes
46
J. Gauci
G
9
J. Stockley
F
↑ 85'
10
D. Brown
F
↑ 76'
12
R. Walters
M
↑ 34'
18
R. Croasdale
M
22
J. Debrah
D
↑ 85'
36
M. Faal
F
↑ 76'
Last matches: Luton
15.08.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
4
3
W
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
Last matches: Port Vale
15.08.26
Lea
Port Vale
Oldham
0
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Port Vale
Blackpool
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Port Vale
Real Murcia
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Port Vale
Wigan
3
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Port Vale
Tamworth
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Port Vale
Lincoln
0
2
L
28.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Stockport County
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Plymouth
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Cardiff
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Wigan
0
0
D
16.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Peterborough
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Barnsley
0
0
D
07.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Rotherham
1
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Port Vale
Chelsea
0
7
L
28.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Wycombe
0
4
L
24.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Doncaster
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Bolton
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Blackpool
2
3
L
14.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Huddersfield
0
0
D
11.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Bradford
0
2
L
H2H: Luton vs Port Vale
28.02.26
H2H
Port Vale
Luton
1
1
D
13.12.25
H2H
Luton
Port Vale
2
2
D
30.12.17
H2H
Port Vale
Luton
4
0
L
12.09.17
H2H
Luton
Port Vale
2
0
W
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Luton
Blackpool
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Luton
Lincoln
2
2
D
10.01.26
Lea
Luton
Stevenage
2
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
3
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
4
0
W
29.11.25
Lea
Luton
Bolton
1
1
D
25.11.25
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
2
1
W
15.11.25
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
31.10.25
FA
Luton
Forest Green
4
3
W
18.10.25
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
0
2
L
H2H at home: Luton
13.12.25
H2H
Luton
Port Vale
2
2
D
12.09.17
H2H
Luton
Port Vale
2
0
W
Last matches: Port Vale
15.08.26
Lea
Port Vale
Oldham
0
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Port Vale
Blackpool
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Port Vale
Wigan
3
1
W
28.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Stockport County
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Plymouth
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Cardiff
0
1
L
16.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Peterborough
3
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Port Vale
Chelsea
0
7
L
28.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Wycombe
0
4
L
24.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Doncaster
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Blackpool
2
3
L
24.02.26
Lea
Port Vale
Northampton
1
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Port Vale
Stevenage
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lea
Port Vale
Leyton Orient
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Port Vale
Mansfield Town
0
3
L
29.12.25
Lea
Port Vale
Bradford
0
1
L
26.12.25
Lea
Port Vale
Huddersfield
0
5
L
29.11.25
Lea
Port Vale
Lincoln
0
1
L
08.11.25
Lea
Port Vale
Bolton
0
4
L
18.10.25
Lea
Port Vale
Wigan
0
1
L
H2H away: Port Vale
13.12.25
H2H
Luton
Port Vale
2
2
D
12.09.17
H2H
Luton
Port Vale
2
0
L
Standings
League One: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Luton
Home
|
46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 |
Port Vale
Away
|
46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two