SWEDEN ETTAN - SöDRA
25.09.2026 17:00
Klostergardens Idrottsplats

Lund vs Kristianstad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.2%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lund Win 77.2%
Draw 3.9%
Kristianstad Win 18.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lund1.7
Kristianstad1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lund Lund
WWDLW
60 GF / 38 GA
Kristianstad Kristianstad
WLDWL
49 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
18
BTTS Yes
20
17
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lund Lund 32 matches
Kristianstad Kristianstad 32 matches
Lund Statistic Kristianstad
15 Wins 11
9 Draws 9
8 Losses 12
60 Goals For 49
38 Goals Against 46
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
18 BTTS Yes 20
25 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 21
12 Over 3.5 12
11 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Lund's more proactive style and Kristianstad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Lund come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Kristianstad. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kristianstad having the stronger overall control. Lund arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 41 points compared to Kristianstad in 14 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Lund Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 41 points from 22 games, Lund bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 11 wins, 8 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 46:26, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Kristianstad Analysis

With 21 points from 22 games and a place of 14, Kristianstad still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats with a 25:34 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Lund won 5 times, Kristianstad won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:6 from Lund's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
H2H summary: Lund wins 5, draws 1, Kristianstad wins 1

Standings

South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 14 6 3 49:27 22 48
W W W L W
2 23 13 3 7 43:27 16 42
L W L W W
3 23 12 6 5 46:33 13 42
W L W D L
4
Lund Home
23 11 8 4 46:27 19 41
L W W D W
5 23 9 8 6 42:34 8 35
W L D D D
6 23 9 8 6 39:33 6 35
D L L W W
7 23 9 7 7 37:34 3 34
W W W W L
8 23 9 6 8 30:33 -3 33
L L D W D
9 22 8 6 8 26:20 6 30
W D L W D
10 23 9 3 11 40:44 -4 30
D W L W L
11 22 8 4 10 36:40 -4 28
W L L L D
12 22 6 9 7 24:32 -8 27
L W W D W
13 23 6 6 11 28:36 -8 24
W L D L W
14 23 6 4 13 30:41 -11 22
L D W L D
15 22 3 8 11 25:41 -16 17
L L L L L
16 23 1 6 16 18:57 -39 9
L D L D L