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UGANDA › PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Lugazi
FT
0 - 1
Mbarara City
Lugazi FC Stadium
Lugazi
Match Timeline
Mbarara City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
50'
C. Kamugisha
Mbarara City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 90.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 47.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
90.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
47.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lugazi Win 9.2%
Draw 40.6%
Mbarara City Win 50.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lugazi1.04
Mbarara City1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lugazi Lugazi
WWDLW
19 GF / 34 GA
Mbarara City Mbarara City
WLDWL
21 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
9
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lugazi Lugazi 26 matches
Mbarara City Mbarara City 26 matches
Lugazi Statistic Mbarara City
5 Wins 4
8 Draws 9
13 Losses 13
19 Goals For 21
34 Goals Against 39
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
9 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 5
15 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Lugazi won 0 times, Mbarara City won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Lugazi's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (90.8%)
H2H summary: Lugazi wins 0, draws 2, Mbarara City wins 2
Last matches: Lugazi
23.05.26
Pre
Lugazi
Maroons
0
1
L
19.05.26
Pre
Lugazi
Express
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Lugazi
BUL
0
0
D
29.04.26
Pre
Lugazi
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Lugazi
Kitara
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pre
Lugazi
SC Villa
0
1
L
15.04.26
Pre
Lugazi
Calvary
0
0
D
10.04.26
Pre
Lugazi
Entebbe UPPC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pre
Lugazi
KCCA
0
3
L
11.03.26
Pre
Lugazi
URA
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pre
Lugazi
NEC
0
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Lugazi
Vipers
0
3
L
18.02.26
Pre
Lugazi
UPDF
1
0
W
12.02.26
Pre
Lugazi
Police
1
2
L
31.01.26
Pre
Lugazi
SC Villa
0
0
D
27.01.26
Pre
Lugazi
BUL
2
1
W
24.01.26
Pre
Lugazi
Mbarara City
0
0
D
07.01.26
Pre
Lugazi
NEC
0
1
L
17.12.25
Pre
Lugazi
Vipers
1
2
L
10.12.25
Pre
Lugazi
Police
1
1
D
Last matches: Mbarara City
23.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
KCCA
1
4
L
19.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
SC Villa
1
3
L
28.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Express
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
NEC
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Maroons
2
2
D
16.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Police
1
2
L
09.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
UPDF
1
3
L
13.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
BUL
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Kitara
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Vipers
1
2
L
04.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
URA
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
12.02.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Calvary
1
0
W
31.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Maroons
1
1
D
28.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
SC Villa
1
6
L
24.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Lugazi
0
0
D
06.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Vipers
0
2
L
17.12.25
Pre
Mbarara City
URA
1
0
W
13.12.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Calvary
1
1
D
H2H: Lugazi vs Mbarara City
06.05.26
H2H
Lugazi
Mbarara City
0
1
L
24.01.26
H2H
Mbarara City
Lugazi
0
0
D
10.05.25
H2H
Mbarara City
Lugazi
1
0
L
12.12.24
H2H
Lugazi
Mbarara City
1
1
D
Last matches: Lugazi
23.05.26
Pre
Lugazi
Maroons
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Lugazi
Kitara
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pre
Lugazi
SC Villa
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pre
Lugazi
Entebbe UPPC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pre
Lugazi
KCCA
0
3
L
06.03.26
Pre
Lugazi
NEC
0
2
L
18.02.26
Pre
Lugazi
UPDF
1
0
W
27.01.26
Pre
Lugazi
BUL
2
1
W
17.12.25
Pre
Lugazi
Vipers
1
2
L
10.12.25
Pre
Lugazi
Police
1
1
D
20.11.25
Pre
Lugazi
Express
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pre
Lugazi
Buhimba Saints
5
2
W
22.10.25
Pre
Lugazi
URA
0
0
D
26.09.25
Pre
Lugazi
Calvary
3
1
W
H2H at home: Lugazi
06.05.26
H2H
Lugazi
Mbarara City
0
1
L
12.12.24
H2H
Lugazi
Mbarara City
1
1
D
Last matches: Mbarara City
23.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
KCCA
1
4
L
24.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
NEC
0
0
D
09.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
UPDF
1
3
L
13.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
BUL
0
0
D
04.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
URA
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Maroons
1
1
D
28.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
SC Villa
1
6
L
06.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Vipers
0
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Calvary
1
1
D
21.11.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Buhimba Saints
2
1
W
05.11.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Express
1
4
L
24.10.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Kitara
2
3
L
26.09.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Police
1
1
D
H2H away: Mbarara City
06.05.26
H2H
Lugazi
Mbarara City
0
1
W
12.12.24
H2H
Lugazi
Mbarara City
1
1
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Vipers
30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2
KCCA
30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3
SC Villa
30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4
Kitara
30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5
Entebbe UPPC
30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6
NEC
30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7
Police
30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8
Maroons
30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9
BUL
30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10
Express
30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11
URA
30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12
Mbarara City Away
30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13
Lugazi Home
30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14
UPDF
30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15
Calvary
30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16
Buhimba Saints
30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League