16.04.2026 01:00
Dignity Health Sports Park
Referee: M. Escobar
Los Angeles Galaxy
Match Timeline
Toluca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
J. Gallardo · Assist: F. Romero
Toluca
🔄
46'
C. Garces ↔ E. Wynder
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
54'
Diego Barbosa
Toluca
58'
Paulinho · Assist: Helinho
Toluca
🔄
64'
Helinho ↔ P. Perez
Toluca
64'
Paulinho · Assist: N. Castro
Toluca
🔄
68'
Joao Klauss ↔ R. Ramos
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
68'
E. Thommy ↔ J. Paintsil
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
69'
E. Cerrillo ↔ L. Sanabria
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
73'
M. Reus ↔ I. Parente
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
73'
Paulinho ↔ J. Diaz
Toluca
🔄
73'
J. Angulo ↔ M. Ruiz
Toluca
🟨
82'
Justin Haak
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
82'
Bruno Mendez ↔ A. Briseno
Toluca
🔄
83'
N. Castro ↔ F. Rossi
Toluca

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Los Angeles Galaxy Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Angeles Galaxy1.8
Toluca2.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
WWDLW
34 GF / 23 GA
Toluca Toluca
WLDWL
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
3.33
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
11
BTTS Yes
2
12
Over 2.5
3
6.5
Shots on Goal
7.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 18 matches
Toluca Toluca 3 matches
Los Angeles Galaxy Statistic Toluca
8 Wins 2
5 Draws 0
5 Losses 1
34 Goals For 10
23 Goals Against 5
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 3.33
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
11 BTTS Yes 2
16 Over 1.5 3
12 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
6.5 Shots On Goal 7.67
15.67 Total Shots 21.33
6.58 Corners 5
55.8% Ball Possession 65%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 0 times, Toluca won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:10 from Los Angeles Galaxy's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Los Angeles Galaxy 5-4-1 / Toluca 5-4-1
H2H summary: Los Angeles Galaxy wins 0, draws 0, Toluca wins 3