Cusco vs FBC Melgar Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
53.9%
|
1.89 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.75 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.5%
|
1.36 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.40 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Cusco
FBC Melgar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cusco
32 matches
FBC Melgar
30 matches
| Cusco | Statistic | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 14 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 14 | Losses | 8 |
| 43 | Goals For | 50 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.39 | Shots On Goal | 4.88 |
| 11.94 | Total Shots | 15.08 |
| 3.71 | Corners | 5 |
| 55.3% | Ball Possession | 55.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and FBC Melgar's more proactive style and Cusco's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cusco expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and FBC Melgar in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FBC Melgar having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FBC Melgar. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 24 matches, Cusco have collected 39 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 36:36 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Facundo Callejo (5 goals), Iván Colman (3 goals), José Miguel Manzaneda (2 goals), with creative support from Lucas Colitto (4 assists), Facundo Callejo (2 assists), Iván Colman (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, FBC Melgar have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 39 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 40:28 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Vidales (8 goals), B. Cuesta (5 goals), N. Quagliata (4 goals), with creative support from N. Quagliata (7 assists), B. Cuesta (3 assists), Matias Zegarra (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Cusco won 6 times, FBC Melgar won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from Cusco's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.09 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 19 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Cusco
Home
|
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 15 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 5 |
FBC Melgar
Away
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 14 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 14 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 13 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 12 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 9 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 7 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:21 | -12 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 2 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | -13 | 2 |
L
L
L
D
D
|