12.09.2026 00:00
Referee: G. Mendoza
Real Potosí
Match Timeline
Oriente Petrolero
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Gerardo Maximiliano Gómez
Real Potosí
🟥
-5'
Gerardo Maximiliano Gómez
Real Potosí
🟨
-5'
Joel Bernal
Oriente Petrolero
🟥
-5'
José Flores
Oriente Petrolero
🟨
3'
Marco Velasco
Oriente Petrolero
24'
I. Cardenas
Oriente Petrolero
30'
J. Rojas · Assist: C. Vedia
Real Potosí
🟨
44'
José Flores
Oriente Petrolero
🟨
45+2'
Cristian Vedia
Real Potosí
🔄
46'
M. Gomez ↔ B. Condori
Real Potosí
🔄
46'
J. Flores ↔ J. Virreira
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
46'
M. Velasco ↔ B. Mamani
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
60'
J. Berdecio ↔ J. Herrera
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
63'
L. Ali ↔ V. Castellon
Real Potosí
🔄
63'
J. Thomas ↔ J. Vargas
Real Potosí
🟨
65'
Dieguito Rodriguez
Oriente Petrolero
🟨
69'
Francisco Lopez
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
74'
J. Rivas ↔ S. Plaza
Real Potosí
🔄
80'
↔ N. Nacif
Oriente Petrolero
🟨
82'
Jeferson Virreira
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
85'
↔ O. Siles
Oriente Petrolero
🟨
90+13'
Omar Siles
Oriente Petrolero
🟨
90+8'
Jeferson Virreira
Oriente Petrolero
🟥
90+8'
Jeferson Virreira
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
90'
↔ J. Alipaz
Real Potosí
90'
S. Plaza
Real Potosí

Real Potosí vs Oriente Petrolero Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 59.7%
Odds 2.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
59.7%
2.25
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.48
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.45
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
11.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Real Potosí Win 40.3%
Draw 19.1%
Oriente Petrolero Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Potosí1.34
Oriente Petrolero1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Potosí Real Potosí
WWDLW
23 GF / 13 GA
Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero
WLDWL
41 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.95
0.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
8
BTTS Yes
13
6
Over 2.5
16
3.28
Shots on Goal
2.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Potosí Real Potosí 18 matches
Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 21 matches
Real Potosí Statistic Oriente Petrolero
6 Wins 10
8 Draws 3
4 Losses 8
23 Goals For 41
13 Goals Against 30
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
0.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
8 BTTS Yes 13
13 Over 1.5 18
6 Over 2.5 16
2 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 4
3.28 Shots On Goal 2.22
11.06 Total Shots 5.94
3.39 Corners 1.5
29.8% Ball Possession 19.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Potosí expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Oriente Petrolero in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Oriente Petrolero having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Oriente Petrolero. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Real Potosí Analysis

Real Potosí arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 25 points after 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, while the 22:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luis Alí (4 goals), Felix Imanol Cárdenas (3 goals), Jeferson Rivas (3 goals), with creative support from Jose Andres Alipaz (2 assists), Erlan Boris Condori (2 assists), Gonzalo Reynaldo Añasgo (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Oriente Petrolero Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 27 points from 17 games, Oriente Petrolero bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:23, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by José Flores (1 goals), Adrián Peña (1 goals), Leandro Otormín (1 goals), with creative support from Jamir Berdecio (1 assists), Leonardo Vaca (1 assists), Nahuel Roldán (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Real Potosí won 3 times, Oriente Petrolero won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:26 from Real Potosí's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Real Potosí 5-4-1 / Oriente Petrolero 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Real Potosí wins 3, draws 2, Oriente Petrolero wins 8

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 6 1 47:13 34 45
W W W D D
2 20 14 3 3 54:22 32 45
W W W W W
3 20 12 6 2 39:22 17 42
W W W W W
4 20 8 8 4 27:14 13 32
W W D L D
5 20 9 3 8 36:27 9 30
W L L D W
6 20 7 9 4 31:27 4 30
L W W D D
7 20 8 5 7 32:39 -7 29
W L D L D
8 20 6 9 5 30:22 8 27
D W L D D
9 20 8 3 9 30:28 2 27
L W W L W
10 20 7 4 9 27:35 -8 25
L L L W L
11 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L L W D L
12 20 6 2 12 31:45 -14 20
L L W L D
13 20 6 2 12 21:40 -19 20
W L L L L
14 20 5 3 12 26:39 -13 18
D W L W L
15 20 4 4 12 15:39 -24 16
L L L W D
16 20 2 8 10 21:37 -16 14
L L L D D