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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
26.10.2026 01:00
BMO Stadium

Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Los Angeles FC Win 64.7%
Draw 10.6%
Los Angeles Galaxy Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Angeles FC1.61
Los Angeles Galaxy1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
WWDLW
71 GF / 45 GA
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
WLDWL
68 GF / 70 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.51
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
22
BTTS Yes
28
22
Over 2.5
29
4.74
Shots on Goal
5.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 43 matches
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 45 matches
Los Angeles FC Statistic Los Angeles Galaxy
19 Wins 17
14 Draws 13
10 Losses 15
71 Goals For 68
45 Goals Against 70
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.51
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
22 BTTS Yes 28
32 Over 1.5 39
22 Over 2.5 29
14 Over 3.5 14
17 Clean Sheets 12
7 Failed To Score 7
4.74 Shots On Goal 5.21
13.77 Total Shots 12.97
5.82 Corners 5.16
46.6% Ball Possession 48.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Los Angeles FC's more proactive style and Los Angeles Galaxy's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Los Angeles Galaxy. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Los Angeles FC Analysis

From their first 31 matches, Los Angeles FC have collected 46 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses, while the 48:33 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Bouanga (15 goals), Son Heung-Min (6 goals), David Martínez Morales (4 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-Min (10 assists), J. Shaffelburg (4 assists), D. Bouanga (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy sit 8 with 40 points after 31 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses, while the 43:52 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Reus (7 goals), J. Paintsil (5 goals), Gabriel Pec (4 goals), with creative support from M. Reus (6 assists), Gabriel Pec (2 assists), Harbor Miller (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles FC won 7 times, Los Angeles Galaxy won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:29 from Los Angeles FC's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)
Predicted formations: Los Angeles FC 4-2-3-1 / Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Los Angeles FC wins 7, draws 3, Los Angeles Galaxy wins 5

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 7 7 63:31 32 55
W D D L D
2 30 14 9 7 56:41 15 51
L D W W W
3 30 14 9 7 55:47 8 51
D W L W D
4 30 13 9 8 52:42 10 48
D D D W D
5 30 13 8 9 41:39 2 47
D D D L D
6 31 12 10 9 48:33 15 46
D W D L D
7 30 11 9 10 39:37 2 42
D L W W W
8 31 10 10 11 43:52 -9 40
D W L W W
9 30 11 6 13 41:41 0 39
D D D L D
10 30 10 6 14 45:48 -3 36
W D L W L
11 30 9 7 14 51:56 -5 34
D L D L L
12 30 8 10 12 53:56 -3 34
D D L D D
13 30 8 10 12 47:55 -8 34
W D D L L
14 30 7 10 13 38:56 -18 31
L L L D D
15 30 6 4 20 36:75 -39 22
L L D L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)