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24.01.2027 16:15
Stade du Moustoir

Lorient vs Marseille Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Lorient Win 0%
Draw 0%
Marseille Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lorient1.41
Marseille1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lorient Lorient
L D W W L
3 GF / 4 GA
Marseille Marseille
W W L W L
11 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
7
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
10
2.78
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lorient Lorient 15 matches
Marseille Marseille 16 matches
Lorient Statistic Marseille
7 Wins 7
3 Draws 0
5 Losses 9
19 Goals For 27
16 Goals Against 26
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
7 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 5
2.78 Shots On Goal 4.25
10.33 Total Shots 12.92
3.67 Corners 4.58
47.3% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lorient won 2 times, Marseille won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:36 from Lorient's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Lorient 3-4-2-1 / Marseille 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Lorient wins 2, draws 3, Marseille wins 10

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 21:10 11 20
W W W W W
2 9 5 3 1 12:6 6 18
W D D W L
3 9 5 2 2 15:7 8 17
W L W L W
4 9 5 2 2 16:10 6 17
W L W L W
5 9 5 1 3 20:19 1 16
L W L W L
6 9 5 0 4 20:13 7 15
W W W W L
7 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
L D L D W
8 9 4 2 3 13:12 1 14
W W L W W
9 9 4 1 4 16:13 3 13
L W W W L
10 9 3 3 3 16:12 4 12
W L D W L
11 9 3 3 3 7:8 -1 12
L D W W L
12 9 2 4 3 12:13 -1 10
L D W D W
13 9 3 1 5 17:19 -2 10
W L L L L
14 9 3 1 5 13:23 -10 10
L D W L W
15 9 2 2 5 9:17 -8 8
L D L L W
16 9 2 2 5 7:16 -9 8
W D L L L
17 9 1 4 4 11:18 -7 7
L D L L W
18 9 0 2 7 9:20 -11 2
L L L L L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation