FRANCE LIGUE 1
29.08.2026 18:45
Stade du Moustoir
Referee: Azzedine Souifi
Lorient
Match Timeline
Estac Troyes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
26'
Antoine Mille
Estac Troyes
29'
R. Ripart
Estac Troyes
38'
L. Maronnier · Assist: A. Mille
Estac Troyes
51'
J. Makengo
Lorient
🔄
66'
M. Kone ↔ A. Tosin
Lorient
🔄
66'
G. Bernardeau ↔ I. Jensen
Lorient
🔄
67'
H. Picard ↔ K. Diawara
Estac Troyes
🔄
73'
J. Makengo ↔ P. Katseris
Lorient
🔄
73'
T. Le Bris ↔ S. Faye
Lorient
🔄
78'
A. Mille ↔ D. Karim
Estac Troyes
🔄
84'
N. Cadiou ↔ N. Mbamba
Lorient
🔄
85'
I. Gomis ↔ A. Phliponeau
Estac Troyes
🔄
86'
L. Maronnier ↔ N. Donkor
Estac Troyes
🔄
86'
R. Ripart ↔ Y. Kone
Estac Troyes

Lorient vs Estac Troyes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 43.8%
Odds 1.88
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.07
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
43.8%
1.88
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.07
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Lorient Win 43.8%
Draw 14.8%
Estac Troyes Win 41.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lorient1.31
Estac Troyes1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lorient Lorient
WWDLW
12 GF / 8 GA
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes
WLDWL
14 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
2
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
2
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lorient Lorient 7 matches
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 7 matches
Lorient Statistic Estac Troyes
4 Wins 4
1 Draws 3
2 Losses 0
12 Goals For 14
8 Goals Against 5
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
2 Shots On Goal 2
10 Total Shots 9
3 Corners 6
40% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lorient won 6 times, Estac Troyes won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Lorient's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
Predicted formations: Lorient 3-4-2-1 / Estac Troyes 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Lorient 1, Estac Troyes 3
H2H summary: Lorient wins 6, draws 3, Estac Troyes wins 4

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 7:2 5 10
W W D W
2 4 3 1 0 6:2 4 10
D W W W
3 4 3 1 0 8:5 3 10
W W W D
4 4 2 2 0 6:2 4 8
D W D W
5 4 2 2 0 6:2 4 8
D W W D
6 4 2 1 1 9:8 1 7
D W W L
7 4 1 2 1 6:6 0 5
L W D D
8 4 1 2 1 6:6 0 5
W L D D
9 4 1 2 1 4:4 0 5
D W L D
10 4 1 1 2 8:7 1 4
D L L W
11 4 1 1 2 4:5 -1 4
D L W L
12 4 1 1 2 4:9 -5 4
L L W D
13 4 1 0 3 6:6 0 3
L L L W
14 4 0 3 1 7:8 -1 3
D D L D
15 4 1 0 3 5:11 -6 3
W L L L
16 4 0 2 2 2:4 -2 2
D L D L
17 4 0 2 2 4:7 -3 2
D L D L
18 4 0 2 2 1:5 -4 2
L D L D
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