BRAZIL SERIE B
12.05.2026 22:30
Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias
Referee: M. Lima Barbosa
Londrina
Match Timeline
São Bernardo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
4'
Fabricio Daniel ↔ Pablo Dyego
São Bernardo
7'
Daniel Amorim · Assist: Romisson
São Bernardo
21'
Dudu Miraima
São Bernardo
🟨
25'
Weverton
Londrina
🟨
45+1'
Lucas Marques
Londrina
🔄
45+1'
Heron ↔ Vitinho Mota
Londrina
🔄
46'
E. Rodriguez ↔ Juninho
Londrina
🔄
46'
Weverton ↔ Kaue Leonardo
Londrina
🟨
52'
Foguinho
São Bernardo
59'
Dudu Miraima
São Bernardo
🔄
66'
Foguinho ↔ Marcao Silva
São Bernardo
🔄
66'
Daniel Amorim ↔ Felipe Garcia
São Bernardo
🔄
75'
Dudu Miraima ↔ Lucas Rian
São Bernardo
🔄
76'
Echapora ↔ Lucas Fernandes
São Bernardo
🔄
78'
Lucas Marques ↔ Joao Tavares
Londrina
🔄
85'
Thalis ↔ Paulinho Moccelin
Londrina
85'
Helder Maciel
Londrina
🟨
90+1'
Yago Lincoln
Londrina

Londrina vs São Bernardo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
45.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Londrina Win 11.7%
Draw 19.7%
São Bernardo Win 68.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Londrina0.88
São Bernardo1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Londrina Londrina
WWDLW
7 GF / 11 GA
São Bernardo São Bernardo
WLDWL
11 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
4
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
4
3
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Londrina Londrina 7 matches
São Bernardo São Bernardo 7 matches
Londrina Statistic São Bernardo
1 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
4 Losses 2
7 Goals For 11
11 Goals Against 5
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 1
3 Shots On Goal 3.86
11.29 Total Shots 9.71
6.57 Corners 3.43
46.9% Ball Possession 40.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around São Bernardo's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward São Bernardo. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. São Bernardo look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. São Bernardo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 13 points while Londrina sit 19 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 5 points from 7 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 7:11, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Santos (3 goals), Andre Luiz (1 goals), E. Rodriguez (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (1 assists), Iago (1 assists), Vitinho Mota (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

São Bernardo Analysis

São Bernardo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 13 points after 7 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 11:5, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Foguinho (2 goals), Para (2 goals), Daniel Amorim (1 goals), with creative support from Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Echapora (2 assists), Fabricio Daniel (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Londrina won 1 times, São Bernardo won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Londrina's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (88.3%)
Predicted formations: Londrina 4-3-3 / São Bernardo 4-3-3
H2H summary: Londrina wins 1, draws 3, São Bernardo wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
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