BRAZIL SERIE B
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Referee: B. Arleu

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 47.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
47.3%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Londrina Win 36.4%
Draw 16.4%
Operario-PR Win 47.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Londrina1.24
Operario-PR1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Londrina Londrina
WWDLW
29 GF / 36 GA
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WLDWL
31 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
13
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
15
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Londrina Londrina 24 matches
Operario-PR Operario-PR 25 matches
Londrina Statistic Operario-PR
5 Wins 10
6 Draws 7
13 Losses 8
29 Goals For 31
36 Goals Against 32
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
13 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 17
15 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 6
3.67 Shots On Goal 4.36
13 Total Shots 14.2
5.25 Corners 5.12
45.9% Ball Possession 52.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Londrina expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Operario-PR in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Operario-PR having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Operario-PR. Operario-PR carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 36 points while Londrina sit 18 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina sit 18 with 21 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats with a 29:36 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), João Vitor (2 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Operario-PR Analysis

Operario-PR sit 8 with 36 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 30:31, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Gabriel Boschilia (9 goals), Pablo (5 goals), Vinicius Diniz (3 goals), with creative support from Mikael Doka (3 assists), Aylon (2 assists), Gabriel Feliciano (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Londrina won 5 times, Operario-PR won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from Londrina's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
Predicted formations: Londrina 4-1-4-1 / Operario-PR 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Londrina wins 5, draws 5, Operario-PR wins 5

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
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