Londrina vs Fortaleza EC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
77.5%
|
2.62 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
34.5%
|
2.38 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.11 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
11.00 |
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Londrina
28 matches
Fortaleza EC
28 matches
| Londrina | Statistic | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 13 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 14 | Losses | 6 |
| 38 | Goals For | 31 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 4.14 |
| 13.75 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 5.57 | Corners | 5.39 |
| 46.5% | Ball Possession | 47% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Fortaleza EC's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Fortaleza EC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 47 points while Londrina sit 18 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Fortaleza EC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Londrina expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Fortaleza EC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza EC having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
With 25 points from 27 games and a place of 18, Londrina still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 32:39 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), João Vitor (3 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 4 place with 47 points from 27 games, Fortaleza EC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 30:22, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Vitinho (5 goals), Maílton (4 goals), J. Miritello (3 goals), with creative support from Mauricio Junior (2 assists), Maílton (1 assists), João Ricardo (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Londrina won 0 times, Fortaleza EC won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Londrina's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 4 |
Fortaleza EC
Away
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 48 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 |
Londrina
Home
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 28 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 16:62 | -46 | 10 |
L
L
L
L
L
|