BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: S. Sampaio
Londrina
Match Timeline
Avai
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Joao Tavares
Londrina
🟨
14'
Paulo Vitor
Avai
🔄
17'
Daniel Penha ↔ Thayllon
Avai
32'
Andre Luiz · Assist: Lucas Marques
Londrina
🔄
44'
Leo Aragao ↔ Igor Bohn
Avai
45'
Thayllon
Avai
🔄
46'
Joao Tavares ↔ Murilo Sousa
Londrina
🔄
46'
Paulo Vitor ↔ Romildo Del Piage
Avai
46'
Luiz Henrique
Londrina
🟨
49'
Kaue Leonardo
Londrina
🔄
52'
Lucas Marques ↔ Andre Cardoso
Londrina
🟨
60'
DG
Avai
64'
Thayllon
Avai
🔄
67'
Vitinho Mota ↔ Paulinho Moccelin
Londrina
🔄
78'
DG ↔ Wenderson
Avai
🔄
78'
Luiz Henrique ↔ William
Avai
🔄
81'
Andre Luiz ↔ E. Rodriguez
Londrina
85'
Bruno Santos · Assist: Paulinho Moccelin
Londrina

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 80.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
80.3%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.5%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Londrina Win 19.7%
Draw 40.9%
Avai Win 39.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Londrina1.17
Avai1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Londrina Londrina
WWDLW
12 GF / 20 GA
Avai Avai
WLDWL
12 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
6
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
6
3.33
Shots on Goal
3.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Londrina Londrina 12 matches
Avai Avai 12 matches
Londrina Statistic Avai
2 Wins 2
2 Draws 4
8 Losses 6
12 Goals For 12
20 Goals Against 17
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
6 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 4
3.33 Shots On Goal 3.25
11.33 Total Shots 11.42
5.58 Corners 3.42
45.8% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Londrina expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Avai in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Avai having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Avai. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina sit 18 with 8 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 12:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago (2 goals), Andre Cardoso (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), Iago (1 assists), Paulinho Moccelin (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Avai Analysis

Avai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 10 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 11:15 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Walace Franca (3 goals), Luiz Henrique (2 goals), Paulo Vitor (2 goals), with creative support from Thayllon (2 assists), Jean Lucas (1 assists), Allyson (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Londrina won 1 times, Avai won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:13 from Londrina's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (80.3%)
Predicted formations: Londrina 4-1-4-1 / Avai 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Londrina wins 1, draws 3, Avai wins 5

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16
Avai Away
25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
Promotion
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