COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
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Estadio Bello Horizonte

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.1%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Llaneros Win 58.1%
Draw 5.9%
Millonarios Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
Llaneros1
Millonarios1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Llaneros Llaneros
WWDLW
24 GF / 24 GA
Millonarios Millonarios
WLDWL
35 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.3
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
12
BTTS Yes
13
5
Over 2.5
12
3.67
Shots on Goal
5.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Llaneros Llaneros 25 matches
Millonarios Millonarios 27 matches
Llaneros Statistic Millonarios
7 Wins 9
12 Draws 7
6 Losses 11
24 Goals For 35
24 Goals Against 29
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
12 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 18
5 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 8
3.67 Shots On Goal 5.35
10.5 Total Shots 15.17
5.08 Corners 5.87
47% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Millonarios's more proactive style and Llaneros's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Millonarios. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Llaneros expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Millonarios in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Millonarios having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Llaneros Analysis

With 22 points from 19 games and a place of 14, Llaneros still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats with a 17:20 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Neider Ospina (2 goals), Jhon Vásquez (1 goals), Francisco Meza (1 goals), with creative support from Neider Ospina (1 assists), Jhon Vásquez (1 assists), Luis Miranda (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Millonarios Analysis

Millonarios sit 10 with 26 points after 19 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 31:23 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Rodrigo Contreras (1 goals), Andrés Llinás (1 goals), Leonardo Castro (1 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Contreras (1 assists), Francisco Chaverra (1 assists), Andrey Estupiñán (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Llaneros won 1 times, Millonarios won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Llaneros's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Llaneros 4-4-2 / Millonarios 5-4-1
H2H summary: Llaneros wins 1, draws 2, Millonarios wins 3
Last matches: Llaneros
23.08.26
Pri
Llaneros
Deportivo Pasto
1
0
W
19.08.26
Pri
Llaneros
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
04.08.26
Pri
Llaneros
Fortaleza FC
3
1
W
31.07.26
Pri
Llaneros
Bucaramanga
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pri
Llaneros
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Llaneros
Chico
0
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Llaneros
Alianza Valledupar
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
Llaneros
Junior
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Llaneros
Deportivo Cali
1
1
D
01.04.26
Pri
Llaneros
Santa Fe
1
0
W
30.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
Once Caldas
1
1
D
26.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
America de Cali
0
0
D
17.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
Cucuta
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
Atletico Nacional
0
2
L
09.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
Jaguares
2
0
W
05.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
Llaneros
Independiente Medellin
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Llaneros
Millonarios
1
2
L
10.02.26
Pri
Llaneros
Deportivo Pasto
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Llaneros
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
Last matches: Millonarios
22.08.26
Pri
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
05.08.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Pasto
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Millonarios
Junior
1
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Millonarios
Bucaramanga
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Millonarios
Colo Colo
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Millonarios
Universitario
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
2
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
America de Cali
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
Santa Fe
1
1
D
02.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
Jaguares
0
1
L
31.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Fortaleza FC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Once Caldas
4
1
W
18.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Atletico Nacional
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Chico
1
2
L
09.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Cucuta
2
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Pereira
5
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Internacional de Bogota
2
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Llaneros
2
1
W
11.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
1
0
W
H2H: Llaneros vs Millonarios
12.05.26
H2H
Millonarios
Llaneros
1
0
L
14.02.26
H2H
Millonarios
Llaneros
2
1
L
29.07.25
H2H
Millonarios
Llaneros
0
1
W
12.02.25
H2H
Llaneros
Millonarios
2
2
D
12.04.19
H2H
Millonarios
Llaneros
1
1
D
20.03.19
H2H
Llaneros
Millonarios
1
2
L
Last matches: Llaneros
04.08.26
Pri
Llaneros
Fortaleza FC
3
1
W
24.07.26
Pri
Llaneros
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Llaneros
Alianza Valledupar
0
0
D
30.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
Once Caldas
1
1
D
17.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
Cucuta
2
2
D
09.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
Jaguares
2
0
W
05.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
Llaneros
Independiente Medellin
2
2
D
10.02.26
Pri
Llaneros
Deportivo Pasto
0
1
L
02.02.26
Pri
Llaneros
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pri
Llaneros
Bucaramanga
1
1
D
14.11.25
Pri
Llaneros
Envigado
0
3
L
31.10.25
Pri
Llaneros
Atletico Nacional
0
3
L
19.10.25
Pri
Llaneros
Once Caldas
2
0
W
04.10.25
Pri
Llaneros
Fortaleza FC
0
0
D
20.09.25
Pri
Llaneros
Águilas Doradas
0
1
L
06.09.25
Pri
Llaneros
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Llaneros
Deportivo Pasto
2
1
W
11.08.25
Pri
Llaneros
Independiente Medellin
0
1
L
23.07.25
Pri
Llaneros
Chico
2
1
W
H2H at home: Llaneros
12.02.25
H2H
Llaneros
Millonarios
2
2
D
20.03.19
H2H
Llaneros
Millonarios
1
2
L
Last matches: Millonarios
22.08.26
Pri
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pri
Millonarios
Junior
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Millonarios
Universitario
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
2
2
D
20.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
America de Cali
1
3
L
02.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
Jaguares
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Once Caldas
4
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Chico
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Internacional de Bogota
2
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Cali
0
0
D
29.01.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Pasto
1
2
L
18.01.26
Pri
Millonarios
Bucaramanga
1
2
L
14.01.26
Fri
Millonarios
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
12.01.26
Fri
Millonarios
River Plate
0
1
L
13.11.25
Pri
Millonarios
Chico
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pri
Millonarios
Envigado
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Millonarios
Santa Fe
1
0
W
15.10.25
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Pereira
2
3
L
28.09.25
Pri
Millonarios
Atletico Nacional
0
2
L
13.09.25
Pri
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
0
3
L
H2H away: Millonarios
12.02.25
H2H
Llaneros
Millonarios
2
2
D
20.03.19
H2H
Llaneros
Millonarios
1
2
W