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12.11.2026 21:00
Estadio Bello Horizonte

Llaneros vs Chico Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.66
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.98
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.3%
1.66 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
1.98 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40 ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Llaneros Win 70.3%
Draw 20%
Chico Win 9.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Llaneros1.26
Chico0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Llaneros Llaneros
W W L L W
6 GF / 7 GA
Chico Chico
W L D W L
4 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
19
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
17
3.97
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Llaneros Llaneros 38 matches
Chico Chico 37 matches
Llaneros Statistic Chico
11 Wins 10
12 Draws 6
15 Losses 21
38 Goals For 30
45 Goals Against 61
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
19 BTTS Yes 10
27 Over 1.5 26
13 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 20
3.97 Shots On Goal 3
10.86 Total Shots 9.73
5.03 Corners 4.3
46.4% Ball Possession 45%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Chico. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Llaneros expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Chico in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chico having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Llaneros Analysis

With 22 points from 19 games and a place of 14, Llaneros still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 17:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jhon Vásquez (6 goals), Neider Ospina (6 goals), Carlos Cortés (4 goals), with creative support from Jhon Vásquez (4 assists), Neider Ospina (4 assists), Juan Ramirez (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chico Analysis

With 17 points from 19 games and a place of 18, Chico still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 15:32 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jairo Molina (4 goals), Santiago Mera (3 goals), Alejandro Maya (3 goals), with creative support from Estiven Sarria (3 assists), Santiago Mera (2 assists), Delio Ramírez (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Llaneros won 4 times, Chico won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from Llaneros's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.3%)
Predicted formations: Llaneros 4-2-3-1 / Chico 4-4-2
H2H summary: Llaneros wins 4, draws 6, Chico wins 5

Standings

Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 3 3 37:17 20 39
W D W W W
2 18 10 6 2 31:12 19 36
D D W W D
3 18 9 7 2 26:10 16 34
D W D W D
4 18 8 8 2 30:17 13 32
W D W L L
5 18 9 4 5 28:18 10 31
W L L W W
6 18 9 2 7 28:25 3 29
W W L L L
7 18 6 9 3 25:16 9 27
L D D W D
8 18 7 6 5 22:18 4 27
W W D D W
9 18 7 5 6 23:21 2 26
W W L L L
10 18 6 7 5 22:21 1 25
L W W L W
11 18 7 3 8 19:26 -7 24
L W L L W
12 18 7 2 9 21:24 -3 23
W W L L W
13 18 4 8 6 22:25 -3 20
L W L W D
14 18 4 7 7 25:27 -2 19
W L D W D
15
Chico Away
18 5 4 9 15:29 -14 19
W L D W L
16 18 5 3 10 18:31 -13 18
L L L W W
17 18 3 8 7 16:26 -10 17
L L W D W
18 18 4 3 11 13:29 -16 15
L W L W L
19 18 3 4 11 17:35 -18 13
L L L W L
20 18 1 9 8 17:28 -11 12
L L L D L
Post season qualification