ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
05.09.2026 11:30
Sincil Bank
Referee: Andrew Kitchen, England
Lincoln
Match Timeline
Southampton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
43'
Conor McGrandles
Lincoln
44'
Welington · Assist: J. Ward-Prowse
Southampton
🟨
56'
Ivan Varfolomeev
Lincoln
🔄
62'
C. Larin ↔ D. Mubama
Southampton
🔄
63'
L. Scienza ↔ S. Edozie
Southampton
🔄
64'
I. Varfolomeev ↔ Y. E. Konak
Lincoln
🔄
64'
S. Bradley ↔ R. Hackett-Fairchild
Lincoln
🔄
64'
R. Street ↔ M. Ladefoged
Lincoln
🟨
75'
Freddie Draper
Lincoln
🔄
76'
C. McGrandles ↔ T. Bayliss
Lincoln
🔄
76'
B. House ↔ C. Ogbene
Lincoln
🔄
78'
F. Azaz ↔ L. Dobbin
Southampton
🔄
79'
Welington ↔ R. Manning
Southampton
🔄
84'
K. Matsuki ↔ N. Wood
Southampton
87'
M. Ladefoged · Assist: R. Hackett-Fairchild
Lincoln

Lincoln vs Southampton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
61.9%
1.22
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.69
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Lincoln Win 38.1%
Draw 20.7%
Southampton Win 41.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lincoln0.82
Southampton2.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lincoln Lincoln
WWDLW
7 GF / 17 GA
Southampton Southampton
WLDWL
16 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
2.29
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
5
2.25
Shots on Goal
4.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lincoln Lincoln 10 matches
Southampton Southampton 7 matches
Lincoln Statistic Southampton
3 Wins 5
1 Draws 1
6 Losses 1
7 Goals For 16
17 Goals Against 7
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 2.29
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 0
2.25 Shots On Goal 4.75
12.75 Total Shots 17.25
5 Corners 6.25
33.8% Ball Possession 60%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Lincoln won 0 times, Southampton won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Lincoln's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.3%)
Predicted formations: Lincoln 3-4-2-1 / Southampton 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Lincoln 3, Southampton 1
H2H summary: Lincoln wins 0, draws 0, Southampton wins 1

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One