Lillestrom vs Valerenga Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
67.2%
|
1.25 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.44 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.44 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.07 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.88 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Lillestrom
Valerenga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lillestrom
34 matches
Valerenga
29 matches
| Lillestrom | Statistic | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 12 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 14 | Losses | 11 |
| 58 | Goals For | 57 |
| 51 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.97 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.86 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.95 | Shots On Goal | 5.58 |
| 11.55 | Total Shots | 16.05 |
| 5.55 | Corners | 6.79 |
| 52.9% | Ball Possession | 49.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Valerenga. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lillestrom expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Valerenga in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Valerenga having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Lillestrom approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 26 points from 18 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 24:25, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (4 goals), Markus Karlsbakk (4 goals), Felix Vá (3 goals), with creative support from Felix Vá (5 assists), Ylldren Ibrahimaj (2 assists), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Valerenga sit 11 with 21 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 31:38 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Lucas Haren (8 goals), Mathias Grundetjern (5 goals), Carl Lange (4 goals), with creative support from H. Bjørdal (6 assists), Mathias Grundetjern (4 assists), Kolbeinn Finnsson (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lillestrom won 6 times, Valerenga won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Lillestrom's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.54 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49:15 | 34 | 47 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43:19 | 24 | 44 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 35 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38:29 | 9 | 33 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 |
Lillestrom
Home
|
19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:26 | 0 | 29 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 27 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 37:29 | 8 | 26 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 26 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 24 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26:36 | -10 | 23 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 |
Valerenga
Away
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 33:40 | -7 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 12 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 19 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30:43 | -13 | 18 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20:41 | -21 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
W
|