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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
17.10.2026 14:00
Brisbane Road

Leyton Orient vs Blackpool Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Leyton Orient Win 39.5%
Draw 34.9%
Blackpool Win 25.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leyton Orient1.83
Blackpool1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
WWDLW
32 GF / 21 GA
Blackpool Blackpool
WLDWL
16 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
11
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
7
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 17 matches
Blackpool Blackpool 12 matches
Leyton Orient Statistic Blackpool
7 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
7 Losses 7
32 Goals For 16
21 Goals Against 21
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
11 BTTS Yes 7
15 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 4
3.67 Shots On Goal 4.38
10.22 Total Shots 13.25
3.67 Corners 4.75
48.2% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Leyton Orient's more proactive style and Blackpool's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Blackpool. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leyton Orient expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Blackpool in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Blackpool having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Blackpool arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Leyton Orient Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Leyton Orient have collected 10 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 13:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Akhamrich (1 goals), J. Kabia (1 goals), T. Springett (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Akhamrich (1 assists), J. Kabia (1 assists), I. El Mizouni (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Blackpool Analysis

With 8 points from 7 games and a place of 15, Blackpool still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 13:13 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Bowler (2 goals), T. Bloxham (2 goals), J. Yates (2 goals), with creative support from J. Bowler (1 assists), T. Bloxham (1 assists), D. Charles (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Leyton Orient won 3 times, Blackpool won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Leyton Orient's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.4%)
Predicted formations: Leyton Orient 3-4-2-1 / Blackpool 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Leyton Orient wins 3, draws 2, Blackpool wins 3

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:12 6 19
W W L W W
2 9 5 2 2 8:5 3 17
D D W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:11 9 16
W W D L W
4 9 4 4 1 16:9 7 16
D W L D D
5 9 4 4 1 14:11 3 16
W D D W D
6 9 4 3 2 22:11 11 15
W D D W L
7 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
D D D W W
8 7 4 2 1 15:8 7 14
W D W W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:8 4 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L L W D L
11 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
L D D W W
12 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
D L W L D
13 8 3 2 3 16:15 1 11
W L L D W
14 8 3 2 3 12:14 -2 11
W D D L L
15 9 2 4 3 14:20 -6 10
L D W W D
16 8 2 3 3 9:9 0 9
W W L L D
17 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
L D W L W
18 8 2 2 4 13:14 -1 8
L L D L L
19 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D L L W
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
W L L D L
21 8 2 2 4 9:20 -11 8
L W D L L
22 8 1 4 3 8:11 -3 7
L L L D D
23 8 0 6 2 9:15 -6 6
L D D D L
24 8 1 1 6 5:13 -8 4
L L D L W
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two