Leones del Norte vs Libertad H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsLeones del Norte vs Libertad Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leones del Norte
32 matches
Libertad
33 matches
| Leones del Norte | Statistic | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 14 |
| 10 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 11 |
| 32 | Goals For | 42 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.94 | Shots On Goal | 4.12 |
| 12.88 | Total Shots | 11.85 |
| 4.19 | Corners | 3.79 |
| 47.3% | Ball Possession | 44.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Leones del Norte have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leones del Norte expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Libertad in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Libertad having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Libertad. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
With 39 points from 30 games and a place of 8, Leones del Norte still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 31:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Juan Luis Anangonó León (6 goals), D. Pazmiño (3 goals), C. Solano (3 goals), with creative support from R. Arroyo (3 assists), D. Pazmiño (2 assists), Elián Pepinós (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Libertad are currently 7 in the standings with 41 points from 30 matches. The record of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 33:34 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (10 goals), G. Cortéz (6 goals), A. Chére (5 goals), with creative support from G. Cortéz (5 assists), E. Patta (3 assists), Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Libertad
Away
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 8 |
Leones del Norte
Home
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|