MEXICO LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Leon
Referee: V. Caceres
Leon
Match Timeline
FC Juarez
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
30'
I. Diaz · Assist: I. Moreno
Leon
45'
I. Diaz · Assist: D. Cambindo
Leon
🔄
46'
I. Moreno ↔ B. Colula
Leon
🔄
46'
H. E. Martinez Yepez ↔ E. Ayon
FC Juarez
🔄
46'
R. Pizarro ↔ Guilherme Castilho
FC Juarez
🔄
46'
J. Aquino ↔ F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
FC Juarez
52'
O. Estupinan
FC Juarez
🔄
56'
M. Mosquera ↔ L. A. Carmona
FC Juarez
🔄
57'
E. Rodriguez ↔ N. Vallejo
Leon
🔄
57'
F. Beltran Cruz ↔ D. Arcila
Leon
🔄
57'
O. Estupinan ↔ L. Dupuy
FC Juarez
🟨
65'
B. Colula
Leon
68'
D. Arcila · Assist: I. Diaz
Leon
🔄
76'
D. Cambindo ↔ A. Alvarado
Leon
🔄
86'
R. Echeverria ↔ J. Cortizo
Leon

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
65.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Leon Win 62.7%
Draw 6.1%
FC Juarez Win 31.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leon1.25
FC Juarez1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leon Leon
WWDLW
30 GF / 55 GA
FC Juarez FC Juarez
WLDWL
52 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.49
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
15
BTTS Yes
28
16
Over 2.5
23
4.29
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leon Leon 31 matches
FC Juarez FC Juarez 35 matches
Leon Statistic FC Juarez
9 Wins 11
5 Draws 10
17 Losses 14
30 Goals For 52
55 Goals Against 58
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.49
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66
15 BTTS Yes 28
25 Over 1.5 31
16 Over 2.5 23
7 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 3
11 Failed To Score 5
4.29 Shots On Goal 4.03
12.81 Total Shots 12.43
4.87 Corners 4.37
51.8% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Juarez. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leon expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FC Juarez in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Juarez having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Leon Analysis

So far, Leon have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 19 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 16:24 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Diaz (8 goals), D. Arcila (3 goals), J. Rodriguez (3 goals), with creative support from I. Diaz (4 assists), I. Moreno (4 assists), J. Rodriguez (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Juarez Analysis

FC Juarez sit 11 with 16 points after 14 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 21:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Óscar Estupiñán (14 goals), Guilherme Castilho (7 goals), José Luis Rodríguez (4 goals), with creative support from José Luis Rodríguez (8 assists), Alejandro Mayorga (3 assists), Óscar Estupiñán (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Leon won 9 times, FC Juarez won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:10 from Leon's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Leon 4-3-3 / FC Juarez 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leon wins 9, draws 3, FC Juarez wins 2
Stats
Leon Leon
FC Juarez FC Juarez
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 8
20 Fouls 4
1 Offsides 1
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 6
10 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
390 Total passes 290
309 Passes accurate 220
1.28 expected_goals 1.69
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Leon
Formation
FC Juarez
O. Garcia
O. Garcia
I. Moreno
🎯
I. Moreno
V. Gauthier
V. Gauthier
S. Barreiro
S. Barreiro
S. Reyes
S. Reyes
I. Rodriguez
I. Rodriguez
E. Rodriguez
E. Rodriguez
R. Echeverria
R. Echeverria
F. Beltran Cruz
F. Beltran Cruz
I. Diaz
⚽ 2 🎯
I. Diaz
D. Cambindo
🎯
D. Cambindo
S. Jurado
S. Jurado
J. Aquino
J. Aquino
M. Mosquera
M. Mosquera
J. Manriquez
J. Manriquez
A. Mayorga
A. Mayorga
D. Garcia
D. Garcia
H. E. Martinez Yepez
H. E. Martinez Yepez
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
R. Pizarro
R. Pizarro
Puma
Puma
O. Estupinan
O. Estupinan
Leon 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
23
O. Garcia
G
7
I. Moreno
🎯 30' ↓ 46'
D
2
V. Gauthier
D
21
S. Barreiro
D
26
S. Reyes
D
29
I. Rodriguez
M
99
E. Rodriguez
↓ 57'
M
20
R. Echeverria
↓ 86'
M
6
F. Beltran Cruz
↓ 57'
11
I. Diaz
⚽ 30' ⚽ 45' 🎯 68'
M
27
D. Cambindo
🎯 45' ↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
1
Garcia Jordan
G
18
R. Funes Mori
F
16
J. Cortizo
↑ 86'
M
28
D. Ramirez
M
4
B. Colula
↑ 46' 🟨 65'
D
25
P. Bellon
D
19
A. Alvarado
↑ 76'
F
33
A. Villegas
D
22
N. Vallejo
↑ 57'
F
13
D. Arcila
⚽ 68' ↑ 57'
M
FC Juarez 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
S. Jurado
G
22
J. Aquino
↓ 46'
D
3
M. Mosquera
↓ 56'
D
26
J. Manriquez
D
4
A. Mayorga
D
5
D. Garcia
M
18
H. E. Martinez Yepez
↓ 46'
M
20
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
M
10
R. Pizarro
↓ 46'
M
11
Puma
M
19
O. Estupinan
⚽ 52' ↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
27
G. Ruiz
G
13
R. Fulgencio
M
29
E. Ayon
↑ 46'
F
17
L. Dupuy
↑ 57'
F
9
Madson
F
8
Guilherme Castilho
↑ 46'
M
33
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
↑ 46'
D
201
J. Carmona
M
237
E. Lopez
M
203
L. A. Carmona
↑ 56'
M
Last matches: Leon
26.04.26
Lig
Leon
Toluca
1
4
L
22.04.26
Lig
Leon
Club America
2
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Leon
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
19.03.26
Lig
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
0
5
L
15.03.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
4
L
01.03.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Leon
Club Queretaro
0
2
L
01.02.26
Lig
Leon
Tigres UANL
1
2
L
18.01.26
Lig
Leon
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
14.01.26
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Leon
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
03.01.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
2
L
02.11.25
Lig
Leon
Club America
0
2
L
26.10.25
Lig
Leon
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
Last matches: FC Juarez
26.04.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
FC Juarez
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
4
L
11.04.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Club Tijuana
1
2
L
08.04.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Club Queretaro
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Puebla
1
1
D
23.03.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Monterrey
2
2
D
08.03.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Toluca
1
3
L
05.03.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Club America
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Atlas
3
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Necaxa
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
FC Juarez
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
04.02.26
Fri
FC Juarez
El Paso Locomotive
4
2
W
31.01.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Cruz Azul
3
4
L
18.01.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Santos Laguna
2
2
D
14.01.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Guadalajara Chivas
0
1
L
10.01.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Mazatlán
2
1
W
30.11.25
Lig
FC Juarez
Toluca
0
0
D
27.11.25
Lig
FC Juarez
Toluca
1
2
L
24.11.25
Lig
FC Juarez
CF Pachuca
2
1
W
H2H: Leon vs FC Juarez
19.04.26
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
27.09.25
H2H
FC Juarez
Leon
2
0
L
25.01.25
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
1
0
W
20.10.24
H2H
FC Juarez
Leon
2
3
W
27.04.24
H2H
FC Juarez
Leon
1
1
D
13.11.23
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
2
1
W
18.02.23
H2H
FC Juarez
Leon
0
0
D
07.09.22
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
1
0
W
05.03.22
H2H
FC Juarez
Leon
0
1
W
18.09.21
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
0
1
L
20.04.21
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
2
0
W
22.08.20
H2H
FC Juarez
Leon
0
0
D
09.03.20
H2H
FC Juarez
Leon
1
4
W
15.09.19
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
Last matches: Leon
22.04.26
Lig
Leon
Club America
2
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Leon
Tigres UANL
1
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Leon
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
03.01.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
2
L
26.10.25
Lig
Leon
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
05.10.25
Lig
Leon
Toluca
2
4
L
24.09.25
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Leon
Club Queretaro
3
0
W
23.08.25
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.08.25
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
1
3
L
20.07.25
Lig
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
W
14.07.25
Lig
Leon
Atletico San Luis
0
1
L
09.05.25
Lig
Leon
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
21.04.25
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
0
2
L
12.04.25
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
0
W
H2H at home: Leon
19.04.26
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
25.01.25
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
1
0
W
13.11.23
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
2
1
W
07.09.22
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
1
0
W
18.09.21
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
0
1
L
20.04.21
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
2
0
W
15.09.19
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
Last matches: FC Juarez
22.04.26
Lig
FC Juarez
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
4
L
08.04.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Club Queretaro
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Puebla
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Toluca
1
3
L
05.03.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Club America
2
1
W
08.02.26
Lig
FC Juarez
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
04.02.26
Fri
FC Juarez
El Paso Locomotive
4
2
W
18.01.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Santos Laguna
2
2
D
10.01.26
Lig
FC Juarez
Mazatlán
2
1
W
30.11.25
Lig
FC Juarez
Toluca
0
0
D
21.11.25
Lig
FC Juarez
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
01.11.25
Lig
FC Juarez
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
22.10.25
Lig
FC Juarez
Monterrey
2
4
L
04.10.25
Lig
FC Juarez
Atlas
1
3
L
20.09.25
Lig
FC Juarez
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
13.09.25
Lig
FC Juarez
Necaxa
1
1
D
16.08.25
Lig
FC Juarez
Guadalajara Chivas
2
1
W
26.07.25
Lig
FC Juarez
Club Tijuana
1
1
D
20.07.25
Lig
FC Juarez
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
12.04.25
Lig
FC Juarez
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
0
D
H2H away: FC Juarez
19.04.26
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
L
25.01.25
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
1
0
L
13.11.23
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
2
1
L
07.09.22
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
1
0
L
18.09.21
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
0
1
W
20.04.21
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
2
0
L
15.09.19
H2H
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
L

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2 17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3 17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6 17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7 17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8 17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9 17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10
Leon Home
17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11 17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12 17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13 17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14 17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15 17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16 17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17 17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18 17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs